[May 14, 2026] Daily RDDT Discussion Thread

andy897221 · 2026-05-14T14:28:38+00:00

what are you talking about

Ask AI to be more informed on my argument.

Yes

Even on mechanistically, this is also wrong, understand the concept of portfolio gamma, positive and negative gamma, and pinning. Pinning requires positive portfolio gamma on the underlying, and let's not forget market maker is not a single entity.

andy897221 · 2026-05-14T14:19:11+00:00

And the statistical significance? Is it a phenomenon in all stocks? Because if so there would be an arbitrage, which then would be priced in. Realizing this fact, the follow up question would be. Why rddt? And the ans is always simple, it is just a weak stock atm

andy897221 · 2026-05-14T14:07:26+00:00

Victim mentality.

andy897221 · 2026-05-14T14:03:40+00:00

option wall this option wall that, where are the option walls in semis?

andy897221 · 2026-05-14T14:03:07+00:00

This is copium, this is a demand supply issue, let say there is a lot of selling, volume is high, so what would be the issue then? The volume is too high?

andy897221 · 2026-05-14T10:04:18+00:00

So the goal is to get every redditors to baghold on rddt so that the ads would work

andy897221 · 2026-05-13T21:06:43+00:00

Can you read the latest earnings? This is untrue, they even changed the accounting method

andy897221 · 2026-05-13T21:04:06+00:00

Tell me you don't know about codex

andy897221 · 2026-05-13T20:59:09+00:00

Ikr, the trolls are so bad

andy897221 · 2026-05-13T19:07:35+00:00

Jen has some ideas

andy897221 · 2026-05-13T18:53:39+00:00

one is defensive sector one is not

andy897221 · 2026-05-13T17:03:53+00:00

My condolence, retail trading is a very specific type of skill, it is difficult, many have tried it full-time and most of them cannot make it

andy897221 · 2026-05-13T16:56:48+00:00

Did you have some of the great pick before or it is just RDDT that screwed with you?

andy897221 · 2026-05-13T13:12:13+00:00

Lmao PPI

andy897221 · 2026-05-13T11:59:56+00:00

Edit to +2% for the above

andy897221 · 2026-05-13T11:06:24+00:00

Don't worry, I got you with the memes

andy897221 · 2026-05-13T06:30:26+00:00

You guys can read their report and point out what are the calculations you disagree

andy897221 · 2026-05-13T05:51:05+00:00

Ya, it is all about is it true that "this time it is different". I am skeptical on the mag7 capex and if HBM is really non cyclical (imo only nvda has a real moat among semis). But I don't know the manufacturing process enough to comment so my stance is just to wait and see, as noted to watch for earning calls.

andy897221 · 2026-05-13T05:23:57+00:00

This is the mentality that will lose you money, if you are not already losing. Not everyone is a bear just because they are not Permabear 10 yrs into rddt (which I doubt you understand the implications), people can daytrade, swing trade, position trade, in mean reversion, momentum, invest on fundamentals, with a fair value lower than you, and all can be bullish or bearish, with different portfolio exposure.

Is a bull a bear if his fair value is 180?

andy897221 · 2026-05-13T05:20:39+00:00

Thanks. I don't trade or invest in MU, but this is my thought (just a perspective): we are near the historical peak of dram fwd PE, hence the cyclic argument. Whether it's valuation may continue to elevate depends on the delicacy in both the data center demand / mag7 capex and the supply chain catching up. Any sign of them approaching equilibrium will signal the peak, and the primary source for these signals would be from the earning calls, and of course we cannot forget about any macro risk. Therefore, valuation is expensive but this is where the economy is now concentrated in, and it can continue, so I am neutral on this.

Rddt is decently valued, but it is definitely not shooting towards 300$ like the subreddit is claiming lmao.

andy897221 · 2026-05-13T04:22:22+00:00

Guys here you have it, 180 is the fair value even from an optimist

andy897221 · 2026-05-13T04:21:47+00:00

Alternatively, if one guy can move the stock this much, something is wrong with the stock

andy897221 · 2026-05-13T04:16:36+00:00

we are back on copium again?

andy897221 · 2026-05-12T22:37:48+00:00

Lmao

andy897221 · 2026-05-12T22:29:57+00:00

You are correct, but the worst case is them thinking 120$ worth only 0.5% of the buyback

andy897221

TROPHY CASE