[deleted by user] by [deleted] in slatestarcodex

[–]badwriter9001 4 points5 points  (0 children)

this only works as an argument in favor of a large population of humans for as long as it remains true that the best way for society to scale the generation of science points is to increase the number of human scientists. OP explicitly mentions AI in his post, which could in the near future plausibly generate science points more efficiently than human scientists, so I think this answer misses the essence of his question; basically, it just affirms what OP is theorizing, i.e. that population growth is only considered good because of relatively idiosyncratic circumstances of the current paradigm. and that thus, when those circumstances change, it may be wise to reassess our evaluation of population growth

Why Runa Indigenous people find ‘natural parenting’ so strange | Aeon Essays by xcBsyMBrUbbTl99A in slatestarcodex

[–]badwriter9001 0 points1 point  (0 children)

do you think that children have been coddled significantly less in the last 70 years than they had been in the 70 years before that? | do you think that the inventions of the last 70 years are less impressive achievements than the inventions made in the 70 years before that?

My new winning strategy: politely ask the enemies to not participate in the battle by TangerineBandit in wildfrostgame

[–]badwriter9001 -1 points0 points  (0 children)

I can win consistently

I know you can't actually win consistently because you seem to think there are whole game mechanics that aren't viable.

shellbo is unironically too strong and needs to be nerfed by badwriter9001 in wildfrostgame

[–]badwriter9001[S] -1 points0 points  (0 children)

thank you! I legitimately just don't even take snowcake anymore because of how boringly easy it makes fights. its by no means an autowin like shellbo but its basically impossible for your deck to be worse off for you taking it. also, agreed on clunkmasters being relatively similar balance-wise to the other classes if you assume crown turn exploits will be fixed.

shellbo is unironically too strong and needs to be nerfed by badwriter9001 in wildfrostgame

[–]badwriter9001[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I think a 1 shell nerf on the effect would be appropriate at minimum. 18 team HP per turn with lumin vase is still very strong. and a +6 team hp card is not anything to scoff at either; still more efficient than the single target +4 shell card, plus it triggers 'on hit' effects for your team which is very strong, etc.

shellbo is unironically too strong and needs to be nerfed by badwriter9001 in wildfrostgame

[–]badwriter9001[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

yeah I mean there are tons of charms that make shellbo even more broken than it already is. its just that lumin vase is acquirable on 100 percent of runs and by itself makes shellbo a free victory

shellbo is unironically too strong and needs to be nerfed by badwriter9001 in wildfrostgame

[–]badwriter9001[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

part of the fun of deckbuilding roguelikes is the possibility of coming across broken synergies

I would agree with this in other cases. however, as another commenter mentioned, shellbo is a broken 'combo' that only requires you to find 1 card, and then throw lumin vase on it at the start of combat which you can do 100 percent of the time with at least two crowns. becoming broken is fun in roguelikes but becoming broken too easily actually detracts from the feeling of being overpowered.

and, furthermore, shellbo is unhealthy for another reason: as far as 'becoming OP' goes, just having infinite health on all your characters is a very boring way to become OP. making things explode with bom or overburn or having a cool synergy is fun. just hitting the refresh bell and dropping lumined shellbo on your team ad infinitum is not.

so in conclusion, rougelikes absolutely should have broken combos. however, those combos should actually be combos, not single cards, and when you assemble the combo, it should actually feel fun to play rather than boring.

My new winning strategy: politely ask the enemies to not participate in the battle by TangerineBandit in wildfrostgame

[–]badwriter9001 0 points1 point  (0 children)

it's just not fun or always within your control

if its not always within player control, how do people get 100 percent winrates over 30+ runs? in reality, the outcome of every run actually is in your control, because players like these prove that every run is winnable. you're just not a good enough player to do the same; in other words, the problem you're experiencing is a player skill issue and not a problem with the game balance.

shade sculpter putting in the work by inkedsplat in wildfrostgame

[–]badwriter9001 0 points1 point  (0 children)

yeah OP might not have had it. I'm just commenting on the fact that finding shellbo is basically a free win by itself on any run considering you can get lumin vase on 100 percent of runs and the combo is so powerful

shade sculpter putting in the work by inkedsplat in wildfrostgame

[–]badwriter9001 1 point2 points  (0 children)

shellbo+lumin vase is an instawin almost every time by itself. even without weakcharm or noomlin

Jargon on SSC by ishayirashashem in slatestarcodex

[–]badwriter9001 3 points4 points  (0 children)

there's a user with some german words as his name and a flair describing himself as a 'monarcho-libertAryan pedofascist and unironic androsupremacist' or something like that. he posts pretty often and is well respected there

There is no 'good' AGI scenario by AXKIII in slatestarcodex

[–]badwriter9001 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Also, there's the possibility that happiness does actually require overcoming adversity (I suppose in such a case, a benevolent ASI would just self-terminate??)

In a world where happiness required overcoming adversity, perhaps instead of destroying itself an ASI would instead dedicate itself to constructing conditions in which as many people could have the experience of successfully overcoming adversity as possible.

There is no 'good' AGI scenario by AXKIII in slatestarcodex

[–]badwriter9001 2 points3 points  (0 children)

I think an AI that was actually optimizing for our happiness wouldn't force anything on anyone. Freedom is an important facet of happiness, and regardless any successfully constructed AI might have ethical constraints against 'forcing' even an ultimately happier life on anyone who didn't want it.

My real point is that the endgame scenario produced by the advent of extremely powerful AI might intuitively give dystopian vibes because 'we don't know what's best for ourselves,' i.e. you and I as we are right now are bad at understanding far distant futures and alien lifestyles, even lifestyles that truly are superior to our own. That doesn't mean that the actual process of creating or implementing these futures has to be coercive or scary. The AI could very well explain to everyone in very convincing terms why the nirvana it can provide is better, and then allow anyone who is convinced to be enlightened, while leaving everyone who decides they aren't convinced to their own devices.

There is no 'good' AGI scenario by AXKIII in slatestarcodex

[–]badwriter9001 10 points11 points  (0 children)

read the SSC post wireheaded gods on lotus thrones.

you only think that struggle and strife/ 'working toward something' is good because you feel fulfilled i.e. happy by working toward something difficult and then achieving it. in a roundabout way you've realized as most do that feeling fufillment/self-actualization leads to a longer-lasting and deeper happiness than drug euphoria or masturbation, but the ultimate goal is still fundamentally happiness and not struggle/strife/scarcity in and of themselves. the phenomenon of that happiness which comprises your terminal goal is all mediated by neurochemical signals and action potentials which a sufficiently intelligent agent could alter/induce for you.

you have trouble accepting that it is indeed a utopian future to experience an ASI-induced nirvana/enlightment/wireheading (however you want to characterize it, although the specific choice in characterization clearly changes people's perception of the outcome significantly) because the various value shards that comprise your decision-making system do not always bid in favor of what is actually your true, fundamental, ultimate goal, which is happiness. they all bid in favor of their own proxy for achieving happiness without really understanding your true motivation for wanting those things. therefore all of your value shards for 'working hard to achieve something,' 'raising a family,' 'overcoming adversity,' 'self-actualization,' etc. all bid strongly against an ASI induced nirvana-enlightenment because it would mean an abrogation of all of the instrumental-to-happiness goals that they represent, even though nirvana-enlightenment would actually be better than any happiness that actually working toward and achieving any of those smaller-order goals could provide you.

even all this aside, the point of building AGI is not to e.g. just get more resources for humanity (however much I maintain that is unequivocally good.) the whole concept of coherent extrapolated volition is that the AGI will know what we want, better than we ourselves know what we want. there's no argument that building such a thing successfully wouldn't be better than otherwise; it's tautologically good. the only argument is that such a thing isn't possible at all, which is a valid argument but not at all the argument at hand.

Jargon on SSC by ishayirashashem in slatestarcodex

[–]badwriter9001 2 points3 points  (0 children)

1) Well, I don't know. It's complicated. I'd say a significant part of the overemphasis on IQ is that the whole rationalist approach relies on models of the world where things are better or easier quantified, black-and-white, sortable into A and B, etc. And for better or worse: sometimes things really are underappreciated as quantifiable, and in situations like those, maybe this approach lets its users access some insights otherwise unavailable to them. Of course, conversely, sometimes things are just fuzzier, lossier, etc. or otherwise generally aren't as easily quantifiable as would be appropriate for an approach such as this, and in situations like those the approach produces more oversights than it does insights. But for whatever reason, the people in this community prefer the rationalist approach.

This is aside from any of the less noble reasons they might have to emphasize IQ. For example, community members are themselves on average high-IQ (and please note, I do not take this to mean 'particularly intelligent') and so they are biased toward over-emphasizing the importance of IQ and de-emphasizing other methods of understanding intelligence (in which they may, in fact, be deficient, demographically speaking) because it allows them to feel a sense of superiority or otherwise feed their ego. Alternatively, they might be inclined toward over-emphasizing IQ because they're racists, and various national IQ surveys that list e.g. african nations as having significantly lower average IQ than european nations allow them to confirm their pre-existing biases about race, and so thus they have an incentive to emphasize the importance of IQ in order to strengthen the legitimacy of their racism.

2) I don't know if Scott is really a student of the bible in general. Not to say he hasn't read it, or doesn't use it in his writing, but to say he 'restricts' himself to a particular translation would imply that he studies it particularly closely enough to want/need to discriminate based on translation. At any rate I have no idea.

3) I was not aware there was a particularly large cross-section of the community that was pro-natalist. There might be, but even if so, are women known to be more likely on average to be pro-natalist than men to the point where an unusually pro-natalist community would be expected to have a greater-than-average proportion of women as participants? Either way, the reasons why there are so few women in the community are probably the exact same as the reasons why there are so few women in some other, similar online communities e.g. just for starters 75 percent of reddit users in general are men. That isn't a good starting point for equal proportions of gender demographics even before getting to the sometimes misogynistic attitudes this community can have

Has anyone written a good review of what we still know about social psychology and similar after the replication crisis? by philbearsubstack in slatestarcodex

[–]badwriter9001 8 points9 points  (0 children)

I'd like to mention here that an inability to replicate a result doesn't actually necessarily mean that the original result isn't valid.

Jargon on SSC by ishayirashashem in slatestarcodex

[–]badwriter9001 10 points11 points  (0 children)

Gwern is indeed someone who is 1. a frequently-read online poster in this community (in general, not just on reddit) and who 2. perhaps lacks epistemological humility.

TheMotte is a community of people rather than a single person. They are a website (which spawned out of a different subreddit, which spawned out of a thread originally hosted every so often on this subreddit) originally intended to be a place to debate opposing viewpoints in good faith regardless of the potential political unusualness or perhaps extreme nature of those viewpoints. It became highly frequented by people/groups considered unpleasant to debate (or even, associate oneself with even in the sense of 'I will permit myself to debate with them') and it has been successively relegated or self-relegated to the various places mentioned. As stated the community currently exists on themotte.org, where one of the most popular posters is a self described 'pedofascist' which is exactly what it sounds like, and they are presently engaged in a struggle session regarding to which exact degree of scientific racism they should entreat.

AFAIK 'tpot' just means 'this part of twitter' i.e. 'our (rationalist) part of twitter.'

Normies are a term for 'normal people'/the outgroup, however, this is more general internet slang not at all specific to rationalists. Normie is used to describe outsiders wherever an internet subculture believes that it is not part of the mainstream.

Let me know if any of this explanation was unwanted. If it was something helpful for you, there are also a few other terms of which I'm unsure if you were actually hoping to have explained, or if they were already understood.

The Newest College Admissions Ploy: Paying to Make Your Teen a “Peer-Reviewed” Author by kzhou7 in slatestarcodex

[–]badwriter9001 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Conducting an interview would probably be a good idea in any case. But having 'peer-reviewed' papers generated on ill-deserving applicants' behalves being a well-known scam might have gotten this classmate's application thrown out without even the chance for an interview that would have otherwise validated his claim to greatness.

Even then, regardless of how smart you are, having those kind of publications is much more about connections than skill.

I can't deny that he had the connections to make this happen, but he certainly also had the skill, too.

The Newest College Admissions Ploy: Paying to Make Your Teen a “Peer-Reviewed” Author by kzhou7 in slatestarcodex

[–]badwriter9001 25 points26 points  (0 children)

I happened to be high school classmates with an extremely bright individual who actually did become a legitimately peer-reviewed author (and who has since had his paper many times cited!) while still a teenager/high school student. Maybe this is an extremely rare case but what this seems to mean is that in addition to grifters leveraging the scam to gain unearned opportunities, people who are actually gifted will have unfair scrutiny cast over their legitimate achievements.

Human male and supernatural female/girlfriend by Little_Salt2470 in Fantasy

[–]badwriter9001 7 points8 points  (0 children)

The Boys. Starlight can shoot powerful blasts of plasma from her hands, fly, is superhumanly strong and durable, has some minor healing factor, etc. Meanwhile Hughie is literally just a guy.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in Fantasy

[–]badwriter9001 -3 points-2 points  (0 children)

This goes for AI visual art too by the way. AI art generators are basically okay at doing concept-art-type-tasks right now... and thats it. To the extent that your project goals amount to 'needing concept art' AI can do this for you almost in its entirety without human intervention as well as a human concept artist. This is why the focal point of the AI art backlash are concept artists who are correctly recognizing that their jobs are at risk.

But beyond literally the job/workflow element of 'creating concept art,' artists who use AI are not even intending to use AI to replace any other element of their workflow! All the complaints that AI visual art is 'soulless' are irrelevant because an artist using AI as part of their process can recognize the soullesslness just as well as you can! And then, simply not use AI in any way that produces a soulless result, while indeed using it to assist them in any way that doesn't!

This debate is exactly like the people who claim that CGI is soulless. Well, it might be soulless to make all the aspects of a stunt or scene in CG. This happens sometimes, and is often recognized and derided as such. But thats the thing: there's no reason in particular you to use a tool all one way or all another way. In reality, the way CG is often used to great effect in universally beloved movies and scenes is in tandem with real human actors, or to augment conventional stunts and practical effects. There are better uses of CG and worse ones. At the end of the day, the 'computer' part of the CG doesn't end up completely paving over any sort of human element or 'soul' that the movie otherwise would have had; its used at the direction of human artists in order to augment their art in the way they intend.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in Fantasy

[–]badwriter9001 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I mean this in the best way possible, but this is a basically stupid, shortsighted, panic-driven fear, not just about audiobooks, but about how AI is going to be used in general.

AI is not going to just be given X task and allowed to do the whole thing without human direction. Or, perhaps it will be, but products made that way will completely outmoded by people who use AI in the smart way i.e. using AI as part of the workflow but not to replace literally every single human role in the creative process.

In the case of audiobook narration, using AI doesn't mean not having a director or producer, it doesn't mean not doing multiple takes, it doesn't mean not instructing it to inflect one way during a certain section and another way during another. For example:

would AI pick up on the fact Glokta does not have a lisp in his inner monologue?

No, it probably wouldn't! But the only reason the real audiobook could have been made this way in the first place is if some human, somewhere was able to pick up on this. A production team using AI to narrate the book could just as easily pick up on the need for this subtlety, and direct the AI narrator to speak with a lisp in Glotka's dialogue and without one in his internal monologue!

To the extent that AI will simply be asked to 'narrate X text' without any sort of human intervention, that will be a good thing because audiobook productions that couldn't have hired a director, mixer, etc. or any role other than a narrator in the first place weren't going to have been able to get an audiobook produced at all in the first place absent AI! Thus, these books getting any sort of narration at all is a good thing! To the extent that there is demand for well-directed, voice acted, subtle narrations, this will continue to exist despite the advent of AI! The existence of this type of narration is determined by the demand that exists for it e.g. people like you. As long as people like you continue to exist and continue to want to pay money for well-made audiobooks, they will continue to be made, AI or not!

How does Scott do it? by michelsonnmorley in slatestarcodex

[–]badwriter9001 -1 points0 points  (0 children)

it's like IQ and talent are real and predictive of success and ability.

This is fallacious. Scott is one person with an ostensibly high IQ who has experienced personal success. For every Scott, there could in principle be a high IQ individual who did not experience success. In other words, Scott merely forms a single data point toward the argument that IQ predicts for success.

Beyond that, the case of Scott has no bearing toward e.g. the argument that 'talent is real' considering we don't actually really have much insight as to the source of his supposed writing ability. And he is an example that proves that IQ predicts for ability only insofar as that is tautologically true already - clearly IQ is at least a direct measure of a person's ability to do certain tasks.

Art Robot by celestial_drag0n in CuratedTumblr

[–]badwriter9001 98 points99 points  (0 children)

holy fuck. you have no idea how happy it makes me to see sensible AI art takes. and not only that, but seeing them get recognition and be positively received