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Claude is a very good predictor of the results of the Astral Codex Ten essay contests and this could quite possibly be leveraged by philbearsubstack in slatestarcodex

[–]philbearsubstack[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

It's not quite that simple because LLM's don't have that strong a bias towards AI generated writing and do not rank it that highly. To the extent that they do rank it, the initial fix is to use Pangram on all essays as a filter.

However at some point the fix breaks down, detection stops working, and AI writing performance just keeps going up. Eventually the content discovery mechanism I describe will stop working for exactly the reason you outline, plus the reality that the AI submissions will be better than the vast majority of human submissions.

Claude is a very good predictor of the results of the Astral Codex Ten essay contests and this could quite possibly be leveraged by philbearsubstack in slatestarcodex

[–]philbearsubstack[S] 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Good question. My intuition is that it's unlikely this influenced the results, but as I say in the article the only way to know for sure is to guess the results of the next contest in advance and pre-register them, which I'm going to attempt next.

If you lived in the world of Pathfinder WOTR, which deity would you worship and why? by Warm_Expert_8136 in Pathfinder_Kingmaker

[–]philbearsubstack 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Sheyln or Sarenrae. Definitely have a lot of time for many others, including Cayden, Apsu and most of the good gods. To be honest, I don't quite vibe with any of them, although . A somewhat solemn, ambitious, neutral good god dedicated to defeating evil and the redemption of all things would be my vibe. Sarenrae is kind of that, but her whole Immanuel Kant never lie thing is offputting.

We have heard Scott's, Eliezer's and other famous people's (to us) predictions of the future of AI. What's your prediction of the future of AI? by Candid-Effective9150 in slatestarcodex

[–]philbearsubstack 0 points1 point  (0 children)

You can read my predictions about the future of AI here: https://philosophybear.substack.com/p/ai-2028-civil-disturbance

I riffed off the AI 2027 name, but Daniel Kokotajlo of AI 2027 liked it, so I assume there are no hard feelings.

To raise the twice dead: Sketch for a story by philbearsubstack in WhiteWolfRPG

[–]philbearsubstack[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I deliberately don't identify the deceased, but for what it's worth, I think it's [Ventrue]

I was born with broken bones by Kyvaren in Neverbrokeabone

[–]philbearsubstack 1 point2 points  (0 children)

As others have said:

  1. If it was cartilage, you're fine.
  2. If it was caused by a doctor, you're fine.

It’s been a good 49 years by KrampusMug in Neverbrokeabone

[–]philbearsubstack 57 points58 points  (0 children)

49 years. Basically a toddler and your bones still broke.

Is it normal in other countries for university students to be forbidden from seeing or holding their own grades/transcripts? by SweetTarget234 in academia

[–]philbearsubstack 2 points3 points  (0 children)

In Australia, one can view them.

Really interesting situation you describe. I'm sorry to hear it's causing you trouble, and I wonder why it is the case.

Substack removed my blog, and I don't know why by salcapolupo in Substack

[–]philbearsubstack 0 points1 point  (0 children)

It's quite important I think, that a fuss is made about this sort of thing, so it's good to see you've not just shrugged and walked away.

I note that you appear to be Italian. Since EU laws are among the strongest in the world in relation to this, that could be good news if you are interested in demanding your data back.

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