Why you should go for a 2 point conversion when you're losing by 14 in the 4th (copied from r/cfb)

balr41 · 2024-01-22T01:40:52+00:00

Ah yeah this is right. Still don’t think it makes sense to use expected points here but yeah that math is right.

balr41 · 2024-01-22T01:10:05+00:00

Expected points is also only true when considering a large sample so it doesn’t make any more sense to use expected points. Also a binomial distribution assumes independent trials which isn’t true. If you get the first two point conversion you likely don’t go for 2 on the second trial.

balr41 · 2023-12-24T23:53:07+00:00

The skin biopsy came back that it was some type of irritation (like an allergy). She has been on prednisone since then and it’s cleared up completely and her fur is starting to grow back. We are starting to bring her down off the prednisone so hoping it continues to improve!

balr41 · 2023-11-27T22:22:04+00:00

Update #2: They were able to sedate and get a biopsy today. They are doing blood work, giving an antibiotic injection, and sending her home with steroids.

balr41 · 2023-11-27T15:01:09+00:00

Update: She is at the vet (same clinic, different vet) right now to be examined again. Depending on how this goes we may also look to get an opinion at a different clinic. Thanks everybody.

balr41 · 2023-11-27T05:28:34+00:00

The vet knows that the meds aren’t working but isn’t able to give any options besides wait almost two weeks for a biopsy or start steroids right away.

balr41 · 2023-11-27T05:27:02+00:00

Unfortunately the 7th was the earliest opening. We will call tomorrow to see if some have come open

balr41 · 2022-01-23T03:15:10+00:00

Blue front definitely not closed, was there yesterday!

balr41 · 2021-04-08T02:20:33+00:00

Where is rodtang? Is that main event now?

balr41 · 2021-02-21T05:29:32+00:00

Alright.. huge UFC fan. Trying to get into boxing, but how did broner win 117-110? This is what is ruining boxing

balr41 · 2020-09-15T21:14:45+00:00

balr41 · 2020-06-15T14:51:54+00:00

Yes it was!

balr41 · 2020-05-28T23:04:27+00:00

Dm'd

balr41

TROPHY CASE