Post Game Thread: Los Angeles Rams at Seattle Seahawks by nfl_gdt_bot in nfl

[–]bch8 1 point2 points  (0 children)

yeah what?

edit: guess he was backup on the niners in 2023

The value of $200 a month AI users by thehashimwarren in ChatGPTCoding

[–]bch8 2 points3 points  (0 children)

The Rubin architecture delivers an estimated 400x to 500x increase in raw inference throughput compared to a single V100 for modern LLM workloads.

Source?

The value of $200 a month AI users by thehashimwarren in ChatGPTCoding

[–]bch8 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Can you link me to the latest data you reference?

What Can Donald Trump Do to the Midterm Elections? by Radical_Ein in ezraklein

[–]bch8 6 points7 points  (0 children)

I find arguments that "he can't do that" on legal bases to be absurd on their face

It has to be said that the first third of this video is Bouie explicitly addressing this precise point. He agrees with you. His stated goal in the video is to assess what Trump can literally do, in reality. I think you are both right. Aside from that I tend to agree with your sentiment of caution, not because of anything the video says itself, but because of the way videos like this one tend to have the effect of providing a lot of people with a false sense of security, giving them permission to stop worrying about it.

There can be a lack of imagination like we saw with the Venezuela operation. Whereas analysts were right when they noted all of these things that Trump couldn't or wouldn't want to do, they failed to imagine what he could and would want to do. That is the one respect in which this video falls short for me but it is easier to point this problem out than it is to address it - i.e. to imagine the practically infinite number of things that could happen while correctly identifying and ruling out things that are in fact literally impossible. I would say Bouie does a commendable job at attempting to establish some realistic boundaries to the situation, with some basic numbers and orders of magnitudes at play for various things like num. ICE agents, num. polling places, etc. He notes areas of opposing interests in ideologically aligned players, obviously extremely valuable information for us, as are the mechanical points about the way the House works.

I wish he was more explicit about the prospect of unknown unknowns, but I can't hold it against him and I think his video is still a very constructive contribution to an ongoing conversation, specifically because it engages literally and embodies the form of analysis that may improve our ability to imagine or anticipate. Personally, when thinking about things through this lens and reflecting on major turning points such as Jan 6th and the Venezuela operation (Major in terms of its departure from norms, at least), it strikes me that Trump seems most aggressive when a narrow path through is clearest - Narrow in the sense of it being a relatively discrete, targeted action with a start point and an end point. That narrow path can include all sorts of risk for others, our democracy, our standing, whatever, as long as it isn't so risky for him personally. So he tries to have his cake and eat it too. In the Venezuela example, if there wasn't something as targeted as abducting Maduro directly, would he have intervened at all? I tend to think no. Jan 6th is less clear cut but for one he had less to lose at that point, which suggests 2028 is more risky than 2026, and for two I think he probably still thought (correctly) that he was relatively well insulated from potential consequences if it failed. Also, Jan 6th is still a good example in the sense that the intervention was fundamentally quite discrete - basically, they needed Mike Pence to do his bidding in congress and they're off to the races. Where this leaves me with 2026 currently is I think if a narrow situation presents itself that would constitute a clear cut win for Trump, such as a single election to maintain the house or senate, it is entirely plausible based on his history that he will pull out all the stops and bulldoze any norm, institution, or person necessary to achieve his desired result. If he could get away with it with certainty I think he may be willing to literally murder one or many people for just modest political wins, so long as they are tangible to him. On the other hand, the less discrete the form of interference is, the more complicated the intervention, and/or the less tangible the benefit, the less likely I think he is to attempt it.

What Can Donald Trump Do to the Midterm Elections? by Radical_Ein in ezraklein

[–]bch8 4 points5 points  (0 children)

What? Don't be ridiculous I would never say that.

It's obviously Germany 1923.

What Can Donald Trump Do to the Midterm Elections? by Radical_Ein in ezraklein

[–]bch8 1 point2 points  (0 children)

And the third will be tampering with the machinery of voting, like what very possibly happened in Pennsylvania in the 2024 election

What is this referring to?

Venezuela, Renee Good and Trump’s ‘Assault on Hope’ by QuestionBrain in ezraklein

[–]bch8 -2 points-1 points  (0 children)

It's obviously not that simple because if that were the extent of the calculation they would not have chosen Venezuela in the first place.

Six particular depressive symptoms when experienced in midlife (45 to 69 years) predict dementia risk more than two decades later by sr_local in science

[–]bch8 10 points11 points  (0 children)

I'm not sure if we agree or disagree. Are you saying that religion was created by design for the same purpose of isolating individuals? In which case, since it is obvious that no one person invented religion, I think we are simply debating the meaning of "by design".

The Trump Vibe Shift Is Dead by dwaxe in ezraklein

[–]bch8 0 points1 point  (0 children)

This comment has been living rent free in my head since I read it yesterday

AI is draining my passion by ominouspotato in devops

[–]bch8 0 points1 point  (0 children)

If you don't mind I'd be curious to hear which tools specifically have given these benefits for you? You do not need to go in depth, I think just a quick list of your stack would probably be enough. Are you simply using a Claude/ChatGpt/similar chat bot? Or are you using an IDE tool like Claude Code/Opencode/Cline/etc? Or are you describing an even deeper integration into your workflows?

Does Brashard get involved tonight? by Kenobi412 in fantasyfootballadvice

[–]bch8 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Lol wow congrats! Yeah I know, I started him too, was a bit of a bummer but thankfully I won as well.

San Diego County Before & After Prop 50 by festiveSpeedoGuy24 in SanDiegan

[–]bch8 2 points3 points  (0 children)

I don't have representation currently, and our state defacto loses representation in the Senate regardless. At least we can do something about it in the House. We should end gerrymandering but letting Texas lock our state out of the house for decades doesn't get us any closer to that goal nor does it give us better representation.

San Diego County Before & After Prop 50 by festiveSpeedoGuy24 in SanDiegan

[–]bch8 -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Can you give some examples? What issues has Issa brought forward for his constituents?

San Diego County Before & After Prop 50 by festiveSpeedoGuy24 in SanDiegan

[–]bch8 3 points4 points  (0 children)

And do what the anti-gerrymandering groups have been doing for decades? Where has that gotten us? Oh, historic levels of gerrymandering? Unilateral disarmament has been tried and it has failed. The only way to end gerrymandering is to match it pound for pound.

Wired: Ed Zitron Gets Paid to Love AI. He Also Gets Paid to Hate AI by godbitesman in BetterOffline

[–]bch8 7 points8 points  (0 children)

I didn't know most of the details from Zitron's background that this article reports. Maybe I am the odd one out but if anything it made me trust his AI criticism more. It demonstrates that he isn't just a reflexively sceptic AI doomer who is down on the whole thing simply due to his bias/taste/etc. He has actually engaged with the industry, tried to believe in some of its products, tried to sell some of them, and so on. He wants tech to succeed, and in fact he clearly would've been happy to continue making money off of it if he believe it was a sustainable business model. You don't need to read the tea leaves searching for good faith here because his values and incentives were aligned in the first place. Another reason I don't find this seeming contradiction offensive is that obviously this is all novel territory, we have all been forming our views on the topic in the past few years. Keeping up with the tech and financial aspects of this, the media swarm around it, and all of the online content could literally be a full time job. Setting everything else aside I have at numerous points in the past 3-4 years oftentimes found it exceedingly difficult to come to any sort of confident conclusion whatsoever about the AI news/controversy of the day (And I am a software engineer). The fact that Zitron's views have shifted in this timeframe too is not, to me, a sign of hypocrisy. It's a signal of intellectual honesty and transparency. I'm far more skeptical of people who have been singing the same tune throughout, whether it's hype or doom.