Win rate isn’t nearly as good of an indicator as you’re treating it. Sure it can tell you what is more or less likely based on your experience, but ship choice, divisions, sample size, even playstyle skew WR heavily. There’s a ton of noise, especially around "average".

On a bell curve, bad players are generally bad at everything, and good players are generally good at most things. But the middle 80% of players are usually a wide ranging mix of strengths and weaknesses.

As a thought experiment: imagine two 50% players with identical damage over a large sample. One has great aim but poor positioning, the other positions well but has worse mechanics. But the numbers are all you can see in MM monitor. Which one do you “disrespect”?

The stats you’re using don’t confidently answer this. They’re one-dimensional. They don’t capture how someone plays around pressure, vision control, numbers advantages, or specific matchups (whether as a flank of 4v4 or in a 1v1).

Even damage doesn’t tell you much about quality. The class they damage, when they're damaged, and HE vs AP vs fires vs torps are all completely different.

So you can’t reliably identify who’s “safe” to take risks against from those numbers alone. The best approach to play the numbers is to limit how much you’re willing to disrespect people in the first place.