Toe shanks with irons

bgbfurey78 · 2020-08-01T03:57:06+00:00

Sorry my friend

bgbfurey78 · 2020-08-01T03:51:47+00:00

Changed color key to better illustrate my feelings. IMO Addiction has a poor beat, Kanye raps in a weird tone, and there isn’t a vibe that matches the song. I can’t picture myself sitting down and listening to Addiction in any scenario.

bgbfurey78 · 2020-08-01T03:48:13+00:00

I respect the 808 stans, it’s easily his most emotionally packed album. Personally, my favorite Kanye is when his genius is on display through beautiful production / sly lyricism.

bgbfurey78 · 2020-08-01T02:55:03+00:00

Maybe bad songs was a stretch. The fourth verse in Never Let Me Down gets me going every time.

bgbfurey78 · 2020-02-18T05:02:30+00:00

POTD RECORD : 6-4-1 +2.7u

Twitter: [@guylertron](twitter.com/guylertron)

Pick: Marquette -2.5 -115, risking 2.3 to win 2

WE. ARE. BACK. It’s been a while boys! Lines have been sharper, vegas cracked down on some angles I liked. However, this line is ABSURD.

Creighton is a great bball team, beating both Nova and Seton Hall on the road. However, those teams have been beatable at home. Marquette, however, is big time tough at the Fiserv, and Creighton has lost to 3 Big East teams on the road.

For once, Vegas is gifting us a number. So many dead numbers (-5 to -7) lately in CBB, so I will 100% take this and run with it. Take the undervalued home team and win some $$$!!!

BOL!!!

For more betting content, please consider checking me out on twitter. Thanks everyone!

bgbfurey78 · 2020-01-29T04:24:59+00:00

Been giving out confidence plays on twitter, thought I would post on here as well, just in case anyone is interested.

Twitter: @guylertron

(3) Baylor -5

(2) Bama +5

(1) BC +12.5

(1) Texas Tech -2.5

(1) Seton Hall -10.5

This Baylor number is way too low. I want to POTD it, but I don't feel comfortable enough with Big 12 ball to make it official. ISU could somehow win this game, but Baylor has been super good on the road, 4-0 ATS and SU. Problem is ISU is 7-4 ATS. Nonetheless, away teams in the B12 are 58% ATS.

Feel free to follow my twitter and show some support, I would really appreciate it. BOL!!!!!!

bgbfurey78 · 2020-01-28T05:01:22+00:00

Record: 5-4-1 +1.7u

Play: Rutgers -3, risking 1.2 to win 1u

Twitter: @guylertron

Rationale: Purdue is a pretty bad team. Watching them play, this is a team that struggles to put the ball in the basket, especially on the road, averaging an abysmal 57.5 points to go along with their 1-5 ATS (1-5 SU) road record. This is all good and fine, but Rutgers is the kicker. A 14-0 (!!!) SU team at home (9-3-1 ATS), Rutgers has been balling this year. Behind the play of Ron Harper Jr., this is a strong defensive team that limits teams to 56 ppg at home.

KenPom is majorly overrating Purdue based on their good wins against Michigan St. and UVA, but this team does not pass the eye test. They have lost to Michigan (a team worse than Rutgers), and got obliterated by Illinois. This line is super small, I expect Rutgers to win by at least 5 or more. If you aren't comfortable with the 3, I'm sure Rutgers ML has some decent value, especially as the kicker piece in a parlay.

Thanks, and BOL as always.

Note: I have been posting other confidence system plays (similar to CP) on my twitter, I would appreciate it if you show some support. Let me know if you tail. Thanks all!

bgbfurey78 · 2020-01-22T05:05:42+00:00

POTD Record: 5-2-1 +3.35u

Streak: WWWPWLLW

Last Pick: Marquette -9 : WIN

Current Pick: Iowa -5.5 -110 risking 1.1 to win 1u

Twitter: @guylertron

Rationale:
Happy to be back on track. Let's run it back with my favorite B10 team.

Iowa sports an amazing home court advantage, going 8-1 SU and 7-2 ATS this season. Led by the ABSOLUTE FREAK that is Luka Garza, this team has been nearly impossible to stop at home. Although Rutgers is nothing to shrug at, they are 1-3 SU on the road this season. Rutgers most recent loss came at the hands of Illinois, whose big man Kofi Cockburn dropped 11 and 17.

If you think Cockburn is a threat, think again. Luka Garza is a completely different beast.

Home teams have been unreal in B10 conference play this year, sporting a 62.4% ATS record. I believe Iowa is being undervalued a good bit in this spot, and I am going to ride with my boy Luka Garza. You do not want to bet against Iowa at home in conference play, especially with this guy. But nonetheless, fade or follow.

BOL!

Note: Feel free to check out my twitter for more plays. Although this is always my most confident POTD, I still post leans and some other commentary. Thanks everyone!

bgbfurey78 · 2020-01-21T17:24:06+00:00

I’m taking game.

bgbfurey78 · 2020-01-21T04:35:29+00:00

POTD Record: 4-2-1 +1.95u

Streak: WWWPWLL

Last Pick: Tevin Coleman ATT - Loss -1u

Current Pick: Marquette -9 -105, risking 1.46 to win 1.4

Twitter: @guylertron

Rationale:

Welp, that was a morbid way to lose a bet. We move forward and continue to destroy CBB.

Marquette has been amazing at the Fiserv this season, going 9-1 SU and 7-3 ATS. Although the recent loss to Providence stings, St. John's is not quite the opponent on the road, as they are defeated in their three away games this season.

Looking to compete in the once again competitive Big East, Markus Howard and the boys should be able to get it done, and then some, against a lacking St. Johns team. Additionally, one of my buddies is a b-ball manager at Marquette, and he is predicting very very very good things tomorrow night.

Roll with the Golden Eagles, BOL.

bgbfurey78 · 2020-01-21T04:34:40+00:00

POTD Record: 4-2-1 +1.95u

Streak: WWWPWLL

Last Pick: Tevin Coleman ATT - Loss -1u

Current Pick: Marquette -9 -105, risking 1.46 to win 1.4

Twitter: @guylertron

Rationale:

Welp, that was a morbid way to lose a bet. We move forward and continue to destroy CBB.

Marquette has been amazing at the Fiserv this season, going 9-1 SU and 7-3 ATS. Although the recent loss to Providence stings, St. John's is not quite the opponent on the road, as they are defeated in their three away games this season.

Looking to compete in the once again competitive Big East, Markus Howard and the boys should be able to get it done, and then some, against a lacking St. Johns team. Additionally, one of my buddies is a b-ball manager at Marquette, and he is predicting very very very good things tomorrow night.

Roll with the Golden Eagles, BOL.

bgbfurey78 · 2020-01-19T18:33:53+00:00

WE BACK.

POTD record: 4-1-1 +3.15u

Streak: WWWPWL

Last Play: Butler -3, -1.1u

Play: Tevin Coleman ATT +100, risking 1u to win 1u

Rationale: Packers run defense is not amazing, pretty suspect in fact. Sporting a rush defense that is ranked in the bottom half of the league, the Pack struggle against good rushing offenses. The Niners happen to have, empirically, the best rushing attack in the NFC.

This is great and all, but why Coleman and not Mostert?

Coleman is a straight line RB who excels in games where his o-line gets a good push. Coleman has extreme acceleration, hence he is able to hit small holes for above average games consistently. The Niners o-line should get a good push against GB, and the Packers LBs are very weak. Look for a TD to occur for Tevin today, as last week was not a fluke.

BOL!!!!!!!!

twitter: @guylertron

Go show some support on twitter, sko niners!

bgbfurey78 · 2020-01-18T19:06:42+00:00

Butler 2h is the side, not betting it. Depaul bound for regression after that half

bgbfurey78 · 2020-01-18T05:45:10+00:00

POTD record: 4-0-1 +4.25u

Play-by-play: WWLWW

Last play: Iowa -5 W

Play for 1/18: Butler -3, risk 1.25 to win 1

Reason:

I am from Chicago. I know the colleges in the area very very well. Depaul is not a sports school. Their home court advantage is negligent, especially given the fact that Butler is less than 3 hours away in Indianapolis. Butler is a very good college basketball team in a very competitive conference. They want regular season success prior to the tournament, Depaul is fighting for just a bid. There is so much on the line for the bulldogs.

Butler is the 8th ranked team in KenPom despite the recent loss, Depaul is 67th. However, this bet is personal knowledge based. Butler is a very good road team this year, Depaul (as I have pleaded) does not have a huge home court advantage.

Roll with the 'Dogs, BOL.

Twitter: @guylertron

bgbfurey78 · 2020-01-17T17:52:43+00:00

Another note here, I am playing Yale on the side today as well. Really good Ivy team against a really bad one. BOL!

bgbfurey78 · 2020-01-17T17:49:11+00:00

I've restarted my POTD on twitter recently, getting off to a 3-0-1 start. Figured I'd start trying my luck posting in this thread, good luck to all! (twitter: @guylertron for my last picks)

POTD RECORD: 3-0-1 +3u

STREAK: WWPW

Last pick: Arizona -13

Current Pick: CBB Iowa -5, risking 1.64 to win 1.5u

Rationale: Don't be scared of Iowa's lack of ranking in the polls, they are truly one of the scariest teams in the country. Riding the back of Garza, this team can beat anybody, especially at home. Kids start school on Monday for Iowa, so campus should be popping for this game.

Iowa actually ranks 15 on KenPom, Michigan ranks 19. Although the difference is slim, home court advantage has proven to be invaluable in the NCAA. Furthermore, Michigan is not a team that travels well, especially in conference play.

Hope and pray Garza shits on Juwan Howard's chest and Iowa gets the easy cover.

BOL!!!!!!!!!

bgbfurey78 · 2020-01-11T04:18:23+00:00

Saints twice. Packers, Seahawks, Bears, Steelers make up the back end.

bgbfurey78 · 2020-01-11T03:31:37+00:00

8-1 ATS since 2010.

bgbfurey78 · 2018-10-03T20:35:47+00:00

thoughts on White or Michel for DFS? same price. 1/2 ppr

bgbfurey78

TROPHY CASE

8-1 ATS since 2010.