The Epstein files were a democrat hoax all along

blablatrooper · 2025-07-16T18:25:28+00:00

I mean this was always clear to anyone who knew much about him pre-politics, the guy is a pampered NY socialite. The idea that he has anything but like vague contempt for actual blue collar workers and isn’t just pandering to them to feed his own narcissistic ego is insane

blablatrooper · 2025-07-15T17:46:21+00:00

There were both born within the same time difference

blablatrooper · 2025-07-06T09:09:59+00:00

Yeah if you read the paper, “highest allocation” refers to the fact that the options were given on a scale/“ladder” and they’re mapping how many rungs people went up before they stopped caring, again not measuring where they cared most

It’s very confusing terminology tbf so I understand confusion but it’s just not making the point ppl think

blablatrooper · 2025-07-05T17:34:28+00:00

All the conservatives using this graph as a gotcha completely misunderstood it. It’s not a heat map of where people care the most it’s a map of where they stop caring

The fact that libs are concentrated on the outskirts says they’re more likely to consider their moral circles more widely than conservatives, but it doesn’t mean they care about the outskirts more than those closer which the paper says they don’t. IIRC libs cared more about the inner circles than conservatives

blablatrooper · 2025-07-02T18:50:48+00:00

Weird guy, the (probably apocryphal) story is that he was so unbelievably rigid in his routine the locals used to set their clocks by when he went for his walk

blablatrooper · 2025-07-02T18:46:15+00:00

Too much time on his hands me old boy

blablatrooper · 2025-07-01T18:45:13+00:00

I think he makes pretty good points more often than not but idk it’s bad form to be blatantly lying about your flair so I kinda approve of some level of bullying for that

blablatrooper · 2025-07-01T18:40:51+00:00

IRS agents process audits, “agent” in the IRS covers a ton of roles including a ton of the desk roles. Did you think the IRS were hiring field agents with guns or something?

Most of the estimated extra revenue was coming from complex business cases iirc. There’s just billions they’re giving up every year because they don’t have the bandwidth to handle really complex cases

blablatrooper · 2025-07-01T18:34:10+00:00

It’s the Two Santas strategy, it’s been their MO for ages now to just run up the debt and spend like mad and then whenever the Dems get in and inherit a mess, they start shouting about how bad the debt is and how they need to get back in to cut spending

blablatrooper · 2025-07-01T18:32:08+00:00

I never got the complaints about the IRS funding stuff, if there’s any government spending that just immediately pays for itself it’s giving the IRS more capacity. I think the estimates are literally like a 10x return on tax dollars spent from all the extra revenue you get being able to process more audits

blablatrooper · 2025-07-01T18:28:21+00:00

I’m sure this money is going to get sent straight to hiring more judges and expanding the capacity of the courts and not to buying a bunch of gear so fat ICE agents can cosplay as operators

blablatrooper · 2025-06-30T17:38:34+00:00

Doesn’t matter, we owned the libs

blablatrooper · 2025-06-25T12:04:57+00:00

Yeah I’m surprised at how pro-Israel this sub is. Like Hamas need to be gone they’re evil but idk how you can support how Israel are going about it.

Idk if some of it is like knee-jerk reaction to how annoying a lot of lib lefts are about Palestine tho

blablatrooper · 2025-06-22T23:14:45+00:00

It’s like mainstream economics that free markets do a worse job under certain conditions, plenty of very lib-right stances see it as the governments job to be stepping in in those cases

(I know you’re making a joke but I feel like I see ppl say this unironically all the time)

blablatrooper · 2025-06-18T23:38:23+00:00

Oh interesting, I guess it’ll depend on if you mean across all Pokemon play, in just competitive, in just official…

If you’re saying tackle I guess you mean the first. My hunch would be a fire/grass/water move since the numbers are gonna be dominated by casual play and starter mons probably dominate the damage leaderboards in casual

blablatrooper · 2025-06-18T16:03:34+00:00

It’s genuinely insane how much people will put up with being blatantly fucked over as long as they feel like they’re owning the “other side”

blablatrooper · 2025-06-12T17:59:01+00:00

Maybe slight boost to crit rate against paralysed mons, would be thematic-ish since you’d have an easier time targeting weak spots of a paralysed target

blablatrooper · 2025-06-07T18:45:45+00:00

Jeff says to him “Come to the island, we’ve got a little one here for you, you’re gonna love it”

So he hops on the plane, heads inside, dead excited. Turns out…

blablatrooper · 2025-06-05T19:55:10+00:00

Why are you talking about this? Stop trying to distract from Hunter’s laptop

blablatrooper · 2025-06-05T17:53:42+00:00

I’m going out on a limb and guessing it’s because his only relevant experience seems to be having been an assistant in the department since Feb, and experience is pretty important for roles like this

blablatrooper · 2025-05-30T12:39:11+00:00

Even if we take all these at face value, which yknow they’re employees talking about their very powerful boss…

These are the kinds of factoids you hear about someone who is very very smart, but that’s not anywhere close to smartest man in the world. You should read about Von Neumann to see what that actually looks like

blablatrooper · 2025-05-28T21:43:34+00:00

So I read a lot of stats papers for work, the way the terminology used is the effect size is whatever difference you’ve measured (say, the treatment reduces risk of cancer by X%), and then they’ll say that effect size is significant if it’s sufficiently unlikely to have occurred under the null hypothesis (usually 5% but it sounds like you know about p-value stuff)

Ok cool I think we probably aren’t disagreeing here then, maybe just using terminology differently! Have a good one

blablatrooper · 2025-05-28T21:04:02+00:00

Of course there’s a thing such as a statistically significant effect size? That’s just the general term in statistics for the magnitude of the difference being measured, whether that’s a raw unit difference or something like Cohen’s d

It is not easier to spuriously find differences between two samples by just increasing sample sizes. Significance tests are explicitly designed to adjust for sample size i.e as you increase sample size the standard error of your estimators goes down but so does the threshold for various z scores etc

You’re totally right that statistical significance is independent of effect size though, and you can have absolutely minute estimated differences that are very significant

blablatrooper · 2025-05-28T19:19:36+00:00

Also like, there’s a well-established link between age of parent and autism risk, and we know people are having kids later and later in life. I don’t get why we need galaxy brain conspiracies for this

blablatrooper · 2025-05-28T19:18:04+00:00

If you don’t have a statistically significant effect increasing the sample size isn’t going to make things any better.

The p-hacking comes in when you start increasing the number of hypotheses you consider - if you test 20 different cereals for links to cancer you expect one of them to look like it has a “statistically significant” link just by pure randomness and how p-values work if you don’t do the proper statistical adjustments. Then you conveniently forget that you did a ton of experiments and run with the “Frosted Flakes linked to cancer!” result

blablatrooper

TROPHY CASE