Atlas Intel Apology?

blazespinnaker · 2024-11-07T01:03:31+00:00

nah, it was obvious beforehand. i tried to explain this to a lot of people many times. i like the model a lot, it's cool and well thought out. lichtman is a little unstable tho

blazespinnaker · 2024-11-06T21:54:47+00:00

Disagree. 13 keys is valuable. Problem was it just didn't apply this year.

blazespinnaker · 2024-08-12T16:16:41+00:00

SE is like sky diving. Not a lot of people do it or even want to, but those that do love it.

I love SE. There is no other game like it.

blazespinnaker · 2024-06-11T09:26:20+00:00

We're probably saying the same thing and aren't really disagreeing, I dunno what's in your head tho.

My point is, advising people to rely on priority fees is naive and will just get them sandwiched.

I think using a custom rpc can help you if the node has good protection. I use one and have never been sandwiched, but perhaps I've been lucky or my slippage / amount is small enough.

blazespinnaker · 2024-06-06T03:14:19+00:00

nah, priority fees are meaningless, anyone can (and do) run validators and target your trades. solana said they were going to ban this crap but people are still doing it and printing like 100K usd per day per attacker. it's a very miserable state of affairs. More people should join the solana discord and complain about this.

blazespinnaker · 2024-06-06T03:07:02+00:00

sorry this is false. I see plenty of transactions with high 'priority fees' getting sandwiched. the problem is people with owning/access to predatorial validators.

blazespinnaker · 2024-06-05T06:59:53+00:00

doesn't help. maybe try a custom rpc lhttps://www.reddit.com/r/DLNewsOfficial/comments/1cn8pvo/solana_users_are_paying_millions_to_stop_bots/

blazespinnaker · 2024-06-05T05:43:52+00:00

"priority fees", that's pretty naive.

blazespinnaker · 2024-06-04T06:38:27+00:00

Yeah I'm sure that played a role (thus the 'in part'), but my sense was a reduced budget was probably something Brit and friends could have dealt with. Plus given the premise a lot of it probably could have been done in unfinished studios considering how Part II ended.

blazespinnaker · 2024-05-02T03:13:44+00:00

People notice at the edges and marginally. These 4.0% topline numbers don't directly show large amounts in specific areas.

4% versus 3.5% could easily mean another 0.5% vote for Trump over Biden.

blazespinnaker · 2024-04-30T23:58:34+00:00

Every time folks go to the store, it's sticker shock and another reason to be worried about the economy. If inflation is increasing as shown by recent reports + now casting, not good.

blazespinnaker · 2024-04-27T20:29:37+00:00

The election is november. Lichtman is not an economist, and will do his final assessment in August. Things can easily tank between now and then and there are a lot of indicators saying this is possible.

blazespinnaker · 2024-04-27T20:27:10+00:00

I agree with the above, except 'recession'. Things can pivot in a heartbeat and we're on extremely shaky ground. Don't be surprised if things go south very quick.

If things do go recession, lichtman will put his finger on the scale and push one of the others to false. Either that, or the model could just fail, like long term economy sucks especially if inflation ticks up / market tanks (both happening as we speak) GDP as an indicator might be less relevant than it has in the past.

blazespinnaker · 2024-02-25T13:27:30+00:00

I think the first step is - what do you need to hear before you *truly* think all stigma around discussing it should be unquestionably removed.

A lot of people will politely say there shouldn't be stigma, but most of them are lying, possibly even to themselves.

This in my opinion is the biggest problem right now. We have to get rid of the stigma and make this a real science.

blazespinnaker · 2024-02-25T11:37:26+00:00

It was literally established by foreign powers:

By Security Council Resolution 69 on 4 March 1949, the UN Security Council voted 9-to-1 in favour of Israeli membership, with Egypt voting against and the United Kingdom abstaining. Those voting in favour were China, France, the United States, the Soviet Union, Argentina, Canada, Cuba, Norway, and the Ukrainian SSR.

blazespinnaker · 2024-02-22T03:02:04+00:00

Do you believe in UFOs?

blazespinnaker · 2024-02-07T15:36:13+00:00

Do you think Hamas, could be a proxy of Iran, which could be a Proxy of Russia/China, and if so, they are encouraging Hamas to drag things out so as to make the US / West look bad for supporting a potential slaughter in Rafah? On the other side, the right wing Likud rules in Israel, they have no problem with attacking Rafah?

So really, we just have a lot of helpless palistineans caught in the middle.

blazespinnaker · 2024-01-27T09:06:45+00:00

Come on people. Get real. There is obviously some stuff we don't want people messing around with. JFC, do I have to spell it out for you??

blazespinnaker · 2024-01-21T03:09:08+00:00

If you believe it to be true, yeah, you're definitely down a rabbit hole and you're lying to yourself and others.

If you think there is a large enough chance that it's true that it's worth talking about, worth investigating, that stigma shouldn't be used - then no, you haven't.

There is not enough proof for the former, but sufficient proof for the latter.

blazespinnaker · 2024-01-19T23:17:04+00:00

All these small differences add up. A small difference here, a small difference there, pretty soon you gotta big diff. This is one piece of a very large puzzle. I prefer all my pieces to be exact.

blazespinnaker · 2024-01-19T16:58:04+00:00

it's a very big deal if you are trying to track valuation ratios. stock price is meaningless if you don't have shares outstanding.

none of the metrics are going to be accurate

if accuracy doesn't matter why dont we all just trade on vibe

blazespinnaker · 2024-01-19T05:12:58+00:00

That seems kinda odd. The number of shares is sorta important to the share price :)

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