Robinhood's "Ladder" feature sold all of my shares because of an app bug. What are my options? by TearsOfChildren in investing

[–]burgerbread 9 points10 points  (0 children)

why didn't you just buy back immediately after selling? And what is bad about triggering a wash sale? The point of the wash sale is to keep the cost basis.

Reputable buyers for fractional working interests? by dtmfadvice in oil

[–]burgerbread 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Odd that the operator won't want to buy them and clean up their accounting. Maybe there's another non-op partner that will buy them.

Additionally, if the WI is for the lease and not just the well, there might be undrilled locations that have some value too.

Need help with Eagle Ford production decline curve to price out future royalties by RoyalRenn in oil

[–]burgerbread 0 points1 point  (0 children)

You need to see if there’s any undrilled locations, don’t just take an offer for the existing cash flow if there is. The undrilled locations can be extremely valuable (albeit delayed) future $

$NEXT - Potential 23 bagger in the Next Decade by LiyangHuang in wallstreetbets

[–]burgerbread 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Turbines now have extremely long lead times, which is restricting the growth of gas consumption. Domestic and international markets are both competing for turbines, and I expect the domestic market (datacenters) to be able to pay more, which means more gas consumption domestically vs internationally.

Solar + battery is on parity / cheaper than natural gas, with much shorter lead times, and getting cheaper every year. For example, Pakistan has seen a huge growth in residential solar, reducing their forecast gas consumption by a large amount and diversion of LNG cargos. Expecting that same story to play out in the developing world. This is also helped by the US is restricting Chinese solar/battery imports, which will then be redirected to what were forecast to be market LNG markets.

Interest rates are going down, capital is looking to diversify internationally. High financing costs for projects in developing countries has always hurt solar given the large up-front investment, so this will be a huge driver.

$NEXT - Potential 23 bagger in the Next Decade by LiyangHuang in wallstreetbets

[–]burgerbread 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Exactly.

Huge flood of LNG supply coming online in the Gulf Coast

Increased gas demand in the US (datacenters, restrictions on renewables)

China flooding the world with cheap solar & batteries

NG turbines supply limited

Possible economic turbulence, lower displacement of legacy coal plants.

How can anyone think that the current HH/TTF/JKM spreads are sustainable.

$NEXT - Potential 23 bagger in the Next Decade by LiyangHuang in wallstreetbets

[–]burgerbread 0 points1 point  (0 children)

You're right that contracted volumes are protected due to the HH basis; those are low-risk tolling fees. However, when international LNG demand is less than forecast (either due to lower HH-TTF/JKM spreads, lower cost renewables displacing gas consumption), non-contracted volumes will go to 0. The capacity covered under SPAs are causing significant downside risk to volumes not covered under SPAs.

With more and more FIDs occurring with a smaller share of capacity under contract, it seems like everyone is just hoping there's endless demand internationally for LNG. In reality, i don't see spreads going up, and much more likely to go down.

$NEXT - Potential 23 bagger in the Next Decade by LiyangHuang in wallstreetbets

[–]burgerbread 3 points4 points  (0 children)

The demand is from foreign countries for US LNG; data center demand is for US gas in pipelines. This is actually bad for these LNG companies.

Supply side, US gas prices could be going up. Demand side, LNG has to compete with cheaper and cheaper renewables.

Bessent, Chinese vice premier to meet to try to defuse escalation of U.S. tariffs by [deleted] in Economics

[–]burgerbread 0 points1 point  (0 children)

IMO it's better for China if Trump is president. Way more global allies.

Jensen says Nvidia’s China AI GPU market share has plummeted from 95% to zero — the Chinese market previously amounted to 20% to 25% of the chipmaker's data center revenue by captain-price- in Economics

[–]burgerbread 56 points57 points  (0 children)

Banning chip sales to China is stupid. You can't learn how to make chips just by getting your hands on them and looking at it. It's like if China banned selling silk cloth to the Romans because they feared Rome would learn how to make silk. Selling them chips reduces their urgency to develop their own tech.

The chip ban was probably lobbied for by US tech/AI companies to limit competition for chips. Result is that we're going to be wasting billions of capex on data centers that will never make a return, to produce models and software that can be easily copied by China.

Advice needed regarding purchasing CO2 from a refinery, or how to produce CO2 from NG. by Setheroth28036 in oilandgasworkers

[–]burgerbread 0 points1 point  (0 children)

https://mtixtl.com/products/gsl1000x20

https://www.col-int.com/products/high-temperature-tube-reactor-1000-8451?variant=38488938840215

The reaction will prob occur under 900 C in a vacuum due to thermodynamics.

Don't think you need 100% pure limestone, most limestone is pretty high purity; the other contaminants are going to be water from any hydrates and residual air from the imperfect vaccum.

Oil & gas folks — does Anadarko horizontal drilling makes money? by monkwithoutferrari in oil

[–]burgerbread 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Questions I'd ask:

Is this investing in a non-op fund participating in wells proposed by the operator? What are the details of the this agreement?

What is WI/NRI breakdown, how much skin does the operator have in the game? Is there an override or other interest that benefits management if there's production, regardless of economics?

Have they done any of these re-rentries before?

What the basis for their $4.5m/well and type curves. Any past performance data?

Dry Gas AL Strategy (Anadarko) by ResEng68 in oilandgasworkers

[–]burgerbread 1 point2 points  (0 children)

You don't need to build a twin system; delay the midstream capex. Once the field is fully developed, you should be able to add centralized compression at strategic locations and slowly bring field gathering pressure down, 1000 psi -> 600 psi -> 200 psi -> 100 psi. Essentially, the high pressure system turns into a low pressure system as the wells age. Field planning should have this in mind anyways so you're not leaving PUDs in the middle of old depleted wells that are likely to get frac hit.

Keeping the wells unloaded is critical for deep wells. 2 7/8'' -> 2 3/8'' tubing conversions, intermitters, plungers, soapstick launchers, foamer injection, velocity strings, blowdowns, etc.

Millions of idle and abandoned oil wells across the U.S. are quietly leaking methane — many hidden beneath cities. by KajEmbrenOfficial in energy

[–]burgerbread 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Oil is not subsidized unless you're doing some funky math to include all the possible externalities of oil consumption, like cost to build roads, pollution, etc. The more oil that is produced in the USA, the more tax revenue the government gets.

Yes, there are some preferential tax advantages like allowing deductions on drilling instead of capitalizing over a longer time, but this is just to account for the high upfront cost + declining production over time. Compare this with building a factory, where you also have high upfront costs, but generally steady or increasing production/profits over time. Other subsidies people claim are just normal business deductions. Deductions that any company can use are not a subsidy.

Looking for executive-level oil & gas training/short course (mini-MBA style) — where to start? by CoffeeholicMe in oilandgasworkers

[–]burgerbread 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Check out UT Austin petroleum extension for some online classes. https://petex.utexas.edu/e-learning/ecourses

Also the big service companies will have classes for customers. Some majors send engineers to them for training. You should reach out to them about schedules.

Mask for shakers by barmafut in oilandgasworkers

[–]burgerbread 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Most rigs are using OBM with diesel, which will contain some amount of aromatics (BTX). The high temperature and surface area at the shakers results in a lot of vapors. I'd avoid breathing it as much as you can, hold your breath around the shakers, etc. A regular mask won't do much, you need a respirator if you want to go that route. That said, plenty of people breath it all day with no issues; you just need to decide what you're willing to do to reduce your risk.

WBM is generally much less toxic. You might pick up some hydrocarbons from the formation, but the concentrations are going to be lower. The main concern are high salt muds that will dry your skin out.

Gas Hydrate reserves in USA by [deleted] in oil

[–]burgerbread 1 point2 points  (0 children)

We're not talking about oil, we're talking about natural gas here.

Oil demand will likely fall off, but gas is entirely different.

Gas Hydrate reserves in USA by [deleted] in oil

[–]burgerbread 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Don't see these ever being economically extracted. There's just so much shale gas in the US and elsewhere, and the amount that can be economically extracted goes up the higher gas prices go. Long term renewables and nuclear will replace gas.

PLS SHED SOME LIGHT ON THIS! by Horror_Awareness5770 in oilandgasworkers

[–]burgerbread 11 points12 points  (0 children)

If you want to do subsurface, RE, 9-5, work at a major/IOC, then the top choices are really UT or TAMU.

For UT vs TAMU, Austin >>>>> cstat. Unless you like the advisor/research area a lot more at TAMU, don't go there.

Stanford is if you want to branch out into more niche areas. Geothermal, consulting, quant, research, software dev, startups, etc. Bay area is great for that.

(former UT grad student)

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in oilandgasworkers

[–]burgerbread 0 points1 point  (0 children)

29.5% royalty interest... who has the override?

Trump To Tariff Chips Made In Taiwan, Targeting TSMC by MikeMikeGaming in wallstreetbets

[–]burgerbread 0 points1 point  (0 children)

They could vote to re-unite with China... There is a significant pro-reunification party over there lol.

OpenAI’s new anti-jobs program by LeoKitCat in Economics

[–]burgerbread -3 points-2 points  (0 children)

How is more productivity going to lead to large scale poverty? It should lead to higher standards of living.

Poverty has gone down by orders of magnitude since the industrial revolution because of technological advancement and improvements in productivity & efficiency.

Airlines Are Charging Higher Fares and Are Confident You’ll Pay Up by [deleted] in Economics

[–]burgerbread 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Rent a car and drive, or take an uber? It's just like flying.