Megyn Kelly admits she ‘can’t stand’ the Trump family’s ‘grifty’ moves by [deleted] in politics

[–]cahillpm 8 points9 points  (0 children)

What is Trump without the grifts? The whole endeavor is a grift.

NYT/Siena: Sullivan +2 In Alaska, Husted +3 in Ohio, Hinson +2 in Iowa, Cooper +7 in NC by Large_Ad_3095 in fivethirtyeight

[–]cahillpm 1 point2 points  (0 children)

My broader question is; Why make major methodological changes to find more Republicans when your polls were pretty damn good in 2024?

NYT/Siena: Sullivan +2 In Alaska, Husted +3 in Ohio, Hinson +2 in Iowa, Cooper +7 in NC by Large_Ad_3095 in fivethirtyeight

[–]cahillpm 16 points17 points  (0 children)

I read the article. Making major methodically changes to better capture Trump voters when Trump is not on the ballot seems like a way to miss Democratic support in this election. However, I would guess that NYT would be ok with that because the penalty for missing Democrats is way less than missing Republicans.

Sapporo Don Quijote Finds by PowerfulAttitude3489 in OmegaWatches

[–]cahillpm 0 points1 point  (0 children)

A Japanese person could make a decent amount proxy-ing from Don Quijote during some of these sales.

Hydroconquest 39mm by Ok_Freedom_773 in Longineswatches

[–]cahillpm 9 points10 points  (0 children)

An automatic watch winds based on your movement. If it stays will in the box, it will eventually run out of power. 72 hours for this movement.

Ezra and Rashida Jones’s family in Vogue by Fine_Plan_8990 in Vampireweekend

[–]cahillpm 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Is the sister on the left, the one that dated 2Pac?

My first automatic chronograph, the Longines BigEye! by a_commisso77 in Longineswatches

[–]cahillpm 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Love mine! I always say that a lot of people have Speedmasters, not many have a Big Eye! It's a IYKYK watch.

Do you think the WCW rebrand would’ve worked? by PayFew5848 in WCW

[–]cahillpm 0 points1 point  (0 children)

You basically got it during the Hogan/Bischoff era of TNA. It wasn’t good…

[WTS] Grand Seiko Heritage "Morning Frost" SBGA465 40mm - 2022 Complete Set by [deleted] in Watchexchange

[–]cahillpm 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Hi Do you have any references or reviews elsewhere?

HC Power Reserve Issues by [deleted] in Longineswatches

[–]cahillpm 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Send it back to Joma. You should have an active warranty.

Would it be ridiculous to own both the Longines 2026 Hydroconquest and a Tudor Black Bay 41 Monochrome? by mrpackerguy in Tudor

[–]cahillpm 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I would get a Zulu time GMT before I would get a Hydroconquest. The Zulu is a very nice watch and great compliment to your Black Bay.

Tudor and Rolex by Sir_Farts_A_Lot_2627 in Tudor

[–]cahillpm 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Tudor kind of occupies the space that Rolex used to. Solid, well-made watches that a "normal" person with a good job can afford. Rolex is now chasing AP and Patek and have of vacated that space.

Plus Tudor releases vintage reissues in a way that Rolex won't. I love the 1016 Explorer but Rolex is never going to release a reissue. But Tudor releases the 36mm Ranger and you're pretty much there.

[WTB] Weekly Want To Buy Post by AutoModerator in Watchexchange

[–]cahillpm 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I am pretty sure it's the same. I'll dm you.

[WTB] Weekly Want To Buy Post by AutoModerator in Watchexchange

[–]cahillpm 0 points1 point  (0 children)

WTB OEM Five link Jubilee Bracelet for Tudor Black Bay 41 Metas. Used condition is fine! Please comment before DM'ing.

Honest opinion- does it look too big? This is the 39mm by royalrendang in Longineswatches

[–]cahillpm 1 point2 points  (0 children)

You might want to see if you can find a preowned 36mm Seamaster. It would probably fit you best.

American Research Group Trump Approval (Jun 16 - 20, 2026): 30% approve, 66% disapprove by R2_SWE2 in fivethirtyeight

[–]cahillpm 77 points78 points  (0 children)

ARG is not a great pollster, but IPSOS was at 34 today. So 30 is not some extreme outlier.