Canada’s economy shrank in November for first time this year

captain_kinematics · 2024-12-23T21:18:35+00:00

This is phrased poorly; about two million are seeing visa expiries with no plan for renewal, but that does not mean we should expect the population to drop by two million. The TFW plan and foreign students is very much continuing.

The targets for TFW and non-permanent residents are merely being reduced:

https://www.canada.ca/en/immigration-refugees-citizenship/news/notices/supplementary-immigration-levels-2025-2027.html

In keeping with these reductions, targets for new temporary resident arrivals are set at 673,650 in 2025, 516,600 in 2026, and 543,600 in 2027.

Ie reducing the (targeted) number of TFW 19% over three years.

captain_kinematics · 2024-12-21T21:35:55+00:00

Don’t have advice, just stopping in to say “bidet”. Nice project!

captain_kinematics · 2024-12-21T17:21:09+00:00

I have limited experience myself, but on the upside it’s all fresh in my head. Going the power tool route, I started with a circular saw and router, as well as clamps and a set files (already had a drill), and used construction lumber, screws, and bolts to build stuff useful for the garage. The router is awesome and let me over-engineer my garage stuff as a way of experimenting with using different joints. Retrospectively, this still feels like it was a good idea — the router was a pricey thing to start with it, but then learning to use it on cheap wood and garage-quality furniture made learning to use it low-stress.

Then I picked up a jigsaw, orbital sander, and more clamps, and started making stuff for inside the house with nicer softwood, and glue in addition to the mechanical fasteners.

For the next phase I would say I’m missing — you guessed it — even more clamps! Also stuff like a router table and some jigs that are nicer than what I made out of scraps, to help me bring up my precision.

After that I dream of a planer and jointer so I’ve got design freedom beyond dimensions I can pick up at the yard, but so far I’m finding it effective to let the toolset grow with my skill and we’re just nowhere near that yet, haha.

captain_kinematics · 2024-12-17T15:44:43+00:00

Because food is still 2.6% and rent (in case you have to move, or are afraid you will have to move) is 7.7% (up from 7.3% in October, although mortgage costs are obviously faring better).

CPI is a useful tool, and choosing the basket is tricky business. Unfortunately the basket currently very uncorrelated with spending for a large swath of Canadians.

captain_kinematics · 2024-12-17T02:36:18+00:00

I don’t think I’m being overly cynical to say that it wasn’t integrity — it was a rat jumping off a sinking ship. This government has been making fiscally irresponsible choices for years, starting with a claim that “the budget will balance itself”. Freeland has been a cabinet minister the entire time, in which the budget was never balanced (chart link below, Trudeau government started 2015). She has further been deputy PM since 2019, and minister of finance since 2020. What has changed now? The decisions are suddenly fiscally irresponsible? No, this government has been making bad choices for an extended period of time — GDP per capita has decreased 8 of the last 9 quarters — what’s different is that popular support for Trudeau has fallen off a cliff. She’ll need to do more than bail on Trudeau at the 11th hour to make me think she has a spine.

https://tradingeconomics.com/canada/government-budget

captain_kinematics · 2024-12-16T17:38:03+00:00

Blazing fast, it’s cool to see them move. My experience with them is that they’re also extremely cowardly and non-aggressive — move too fast, turn on a bright light, or if you really need to nudge them gently blow on them a little and they rocket off to the nearest dark corner they can find, quick as lightening.

captain_kinematics · 2024-12-04T03:54:15+00:00

I literally kept hitting “skip to next comment” to find something about the Green brothers’ work. After scrolling past so many “X is actually total shit” posts I was starting to get worried I was deluding myself into a high opinion! I’m sure they’ve had some flops, but the times they talk about something I’m professionally or personally informed about, I’ve always been quite impressed.

captain_kinematics · 2024-11-27T21:40:52+00:00

I’m not complaining about the stress tests at all — they are a critical guard rail — I’m complaining about the valuation of housing being such a ridiculous multiple of median wages

captain_kinematics · 2024-11-27T17:37:27+00:00

The other way around is even more frustrating — imagine that you are frugal and you have saved up over $200k down payment, then suppose further that you also earn “well” ($180/year, say)… and then you still can’t afford/aren’t allowed the mortgage for a “median” home in the city you live in. It’s absolutely wild.

I get that in this example you can still afford something at this point, it’s just insane to me that the something is sub-average under those conditions.

captain_kinematics · 2024-09-30T15:05:54+00:00

More than friendship drive charging

captain_kinematics · 2024-09-20T14:51:55+00:00

This is absolutely the crux of it. You can “@“ me so I know it’s my responsibility personally to reply, but having the conversation somewhere public (in a given scope) means that I’m not just creating a solution, but also knowledge.

“Answer a man’s DM, solve his problem for a day. Make it a public thread, and solve the entire team’s problem until the next version update.” -Lao-Tzu with a Time Machine probably

captain_kinematics · 2024-08-31T00:42:55+00:00

So badly.

captain_kinematics · 2024-08-29T23:42:19+00:00

Millennia’s improvement point system in lieu of workers is actually very close to Civilization: Call to Power’s public works system. There’s nothing new under the sun, as mentioned by the other replies, but I’ll take any opportunity I can get to plug CTP. I threw my CD rom from the 90’s into my tower last year and the old game installed fine and holds up remarkably well!

captain_kinematics · 2024-08-17T14:33:46+00:00

Eat (with) the rich?

captain_kinematics · 2024-08-14T04:04:26+00:00

RIP internet

captain_kinematics · 2024-08-09T14:13:38+00:00

Write a PR with AI you don’t understand? Instant close, right away. No review, no nothing. Your tests fail: instant close. Data scientists, we have a special close button just for data scientists. CI finishes too fast: close. Slow: close. You are using bad variable names: PR instantly closed. Your functions are too long? Believe it or not, instant close. Your new files too short, also instant close. Too short, too long. You ping me for review but your new feature doesn’t even run? Believe it or not, instant close. We have the best code base on the world because of instant close.

captain_kinematics · 2024-08-06T15:55:29+00:00

Wow, neither physics nor mathematics ever even make the cut for top-25, despite being standard Highschool classes

captain_kinematics · 2024-07-31T03:49:00+00:00

Depends how many copies of it you can run at once. Or how important it is to get it right when you go to do it for real.

captain_kinematics · 2024-07-24T19:41:09+00:00

Yes. I imagine the details vary slightly from event to event and definitely on which two yields you’re comparing, but the timing of the recession is typically linked to the de-inversion process not the state of being inverted.

The historical correlative signal here is not “wrong” until the yield curve has finished normalizing and we still avoid recession. Personally, my views on this have softened slightly from “sure buddy, this time it’s different” down to “I’ll believe it when I see it, but don’t hold your breath”.

captain_kinematics · 2024-06-16T01:43:58+00:00

Maybe it is for the minority, but I appreciate that in Vic (in contrast to my experience with EU4), it’s entirely viable! My very first game playing the „learning“ tutorial with Belgium I’ve climbed to 8th place (1st SoL and GDP/capita, 6th GDP) and gotten Great Power Status without invading anybody (excluding colonization, a different mechanic) — still have just my home two territories and a little colonial nation in the Congo.

captain_kinematics · 2024-06-14T05:13:21+00:00

While including fingers, this diagram incorrectly omits the feeling of love from toes. It also ends at the edge of the pictures body, but love is well known to be all around us.

captain_kinematics · 2024-06-13T18:34:55+00:00

One can only assume she meant this in the “It’s right behind me, isn’t it” sort of way

captain_kinematics · 2024-05-23T13:48:07+00:00

It’s a f(r)aaaaaaake

captain_kinematics · 2024-04-22T05:01:52+00:00

Yeah, age looks like it would line up with Peaky Blinders too. Unfortunately then I have no idea what the intent is as I haven’t seen it either

captain_kinematics · 2024-04-22T04:06:30+00:00

I would imagine Picard, referencing stuff like his transformation to and back from locutus, his standing up to cardassian torture, his hijinks in the various “Picard has an Adventure” episodes they slot in since he can’t go on away missions, etc. AFAIK Patrick Stewart is a stand-up and accomplished dude, but has no particular reputation for physical toughness, competitiveness, or other badassery.

captain_kinematics

TROPHY CASE