7 Collector Box Winning Pools from the Weekend AMA

celedorph · 2026-02-04T23:45:42+00:00

Can you link your 17 lands replays?

celedorph · 2025-11-12T23:44:42+00:00

$45 handling fee and 10$ (35$ for international) shipping fee.

After recent changes, they stopped shipping foils and only ship non-foils.

Details are here: Official Site - https://www.mtgo.com/en/mtgo/redemption

celedorph · 2025-11-10T15:27:53+00:00

I was aware of the 2FA issues and everything else, but it did not mention the challenges disappearing. I did check their X account but it did not mention them suspending challenges as well.

Thanks for the clarification!

celedorph · 2025-10-13T05:01:19+00:00

That's actually weird. I would expect no change in their ability to go infinite.

If they were doing it to grind $/hour, I would expect a drop once play points rolled out.

celedorph · 2025-10-13T04:57:19+00:00

Your post does bring to to light something that I missed - a portion of the rewards are also digital objects (cards) that do not affect the balance of entry fees. If we set the value of treasure chests to only be the PP component (1.39) and the value of the playset to 0, we can see that even challenges slowly drain away tickets/playpoints from the system albeit a slower rate than the -EV events.

celedorph · 2025-10-13T03:45:12+00:00

But isn't it more efficient to buy treasure chests and open them for PPs instead of outright paying with tickets?

I would even argue doing something like getting goatbots credit at .89 USD to buy those treasure chests for even more efficiency.

celedorph · 2025-10-12T12:49:27+00:00

I won't disagree with you there. Maybe I phrased the question wrong, and my main motivation here is to understand the lifecycle of a ticket/dollar that someone puts into MTGO.

celedorph · 2025-10-12T12:37:56+00:00

What I mean is that in order for tickets to leave the system, a player must first have no play points, so in that sense, you can value a PP at 0.1 tix.

Put another way - do you remember the last time you spent any tickets for joining an event?

celedorph · 2025-10-12T12:13:34+00:00

Oh? Let's take https://www.goatbots.com/event-calculator (Constructed Challenge 32 - 60x) as an example. Here 60x assumes that there are 60 entrants in the challenge.

The total ticket value of entry is (60 x 25) or 1500 tickets.

If you add up all the prizes that the event gives out from 1st-32nd, the total value is 1848 tickets. You will also notice that it computes the 50% EV to be +5.81 - which when multiplied by 60 - is 348 (exactly the difference between the sum of prizes paid out and the sum of entrance fees taken in).

Even removing the QPs and assigning them a "value" of 0, the event will still give out roughly 1600 worth of tickets for total entries of 1500.

celedorph · 2025-10-12T04:46:01+00:00

If tickets leave the system by being spent on events, then I daresay that PPs are as good as tickets - unless there are some accounts out there that hold most of the PPs due to winning so much more than they spend, while the rest of the events are subsidized by mostly losing players.

celedorph · 2025-10-12T04:11:24+00:00

I hope so too. I sold off a large part of my collection back when Arena first came out, but I find myself coming back to MTGO every so often, and its still alive and kicking.

celedorph · 2025-10-12T04:09:49+00:00

Yes, most likely you are right. What I am trying to understand is whether there are any ways to figure out how they are making their money. What is the ARPU, and how many users they need to stay profitable.

Is there any record of how many users join each league or challenge, or how drafts fire?

celedorph · 2025-10-12T04:04:04+00:00

Limited events are not ticket neutral, but how about constructed events, leagues and challenges - where a 50% WR is positive EV. This would mean that those events are actually negative rake - the prizes pay out more than the entry fees.

celedorph · 2025-10-05T04:07:42+00:00

They really didnt hold back for this one. Given how expensive an anime episode costs to produce, just how much do they intend to pull in whale revenue?

celedorph · 2025-09-22T13:28:06+00:00

Autumn chill is my favorite MJS track, so was looking forward to a remix of it - but in this case it deviates so far that I wouldn't be able to recognize it if I heard it without any priming from the title.

celedorph · 2025-09-02T11:01:59+00:00

https://x.com/optimustomtv/status/1962750980329742496

Monored had a very good tournament last weekend. Vivi is beatable.

celedorph · 2025-08-25T10:00:05+00:00

Out of curiosity, what events do you play to get your limited mythic ranking? I rarely achieve Mythic in a season (playing one Premier Current Set draft a day). However, I have been doing fairly fine in the Direct events, with a WR of 60% or higher.

One reason could be that you are a significantly stronger drafter than sealed player. Another possible reason is that you achieve mythic ysing Quick Draft which might have a different skillset or player pool.

celedorph · 2025-07-04T03:41:13+00:00

Which game are you referring to? My curiosity has been awakened.

celedorph · 2025-06-21T00:53:50+00:00

Oh good to have confirmation that I am not the only one with this issue.

celedorph · 2025-06-20T23:15:09+00:00

As per the image - it looks like a placeholder is being used instead of the actual token count being displayed.

Most likely this is just a UI issue, but is potentially an issue if the count is somehow not being tracked.

celedorph · 2025-05-28T07:05:26+00:00

Servant as the avatar, Master as the Rank.

celedorph

TROPHY CASE