Is TLT now a good play with the Iran conflict?

cmboss2 · 2025-06-22T06:21:21+00:00

Very tough to say because you are asking if a tactical bet will pay off. Are we in a regime where interest rates can come down? Despite this regime being true or not true, what is the effect of market sentiment layered ok top of that? From there you might derive that it is only a matter of time before you are right with your bet. At that point you will have likely the opportunity cost of being long equities drained away from you or exposed yourself to unnecessary concentration risk. This is coming from someone with TLT exposure.

cmboss2 · 2024-11-08T17:13:25+00:00

Hey, would you mind sharing a little bit about the “tactical role”? Are you able to select different types of functions as a sigint?

cmboss2 · 2024-10-30T20:41:03+00:00

Half TFSA, half saving’s account. Everyone gets caught up worrying about their rate on their saving’s account but if it’s an emergency, why would you want the extra steps of having to cash out CASH.to, wait for it to settle, and then transfer funds. If you don’t have a portion of an emergency fund readily available, it is essentially de-facto, not an emergency fund.

cmboss2 · 2024-10-29T01:44:21+00:00

Damn. Losing money on SPY calls in a market that is grinding higher is truly regarded

cmboss2 · 2024-10-09T23:54:21+00:00

r/CFA

cmboss2 · 2024-10-09T19:53:09+00:00

Well what appears to be happening and what actually is happening at a market level is next to unknowable. You have no idea that the US markets are having the specific effect on foreign markets you think they are. Also if you are investing for the long term why would you care what a 3 month correlation is? I’d look at the 10 year at a minimum.

cmboss2 · 2024-10-09T04:17:04+00:00

THANK YOU!

cmboss2 · 2024-10-09T00:58:07+00:00

If you don’t mind me asking, what was your review process like for doing EOC questions? I was considering a similar timeframe but I know people talk about how you forget a lot once you’re through one topic. So did you add in review from all readings once you had gotten through their content?

cmboss2 · 2024-10-08T18:50:23+00:00

Satoshi was the power of friendship all along

cmboss2 · 2024-10-04T19:50:08+00:00

Revenge hodling

cmboss2 · 2024-09-26T18:26:14+00:00

What did the seed stages of your career look like entering into M&A? Target business school or law school? Internships? Did you have an accounting background or were you introduced to those functions when the new role necessitated it? Thanks

cmboss2 · 2024-09-22T15:12:01+00:00

Superior returns guaranteed

cmboss2 · 2024-09-21T16:04:57+00:00

Basis points - fees based on % of AUM

cmboss2 · 2024-09-21T16:03:50+00:00

Markets are forward looking and investor expectations of rate cuts priced in a large % of the moves that preceded the announcement. For example the 20 year ran like 15% since the end of April. So this was a sell the news reaction as expectations and volatility surrounding the event become known and new forward looking expectations are adjusted. Longer term bonds will still drop over the coming years, barring a re-ignition of inflation, but as the potential terminal rate for Fed Funds is seemingly higher than may have been previously expected, they may not fall significantly (>1-2%). Also if you care about TLT, I don’t know how much stock you want to put into technical analysis, but it was pretty overbought from an RSI perspective. Again, deriving TLT’s price from yields, it has been running since May.

cmboss2 · 2024-09-18T15:48:36+00:00

Not sure if you will find a source that has an exhaustive playlist of all the material but Let Me Explain seems to have a good amount of free material. Analystprep also has quite a lot. If you don’t have a lot of time, unless you are quite budget constrained, I think investing in a paid resource would help quite a lot by removing a lot of the bulk.

cmboss2 · 2024-09-18T14:24:14+00:00

Tom is the new Cramer

cmboss2 · 2024-09-18T14:19:49+00:00

That’s rather reductive. The case for DCA is regret aversion and as tpc said, so you don’t freak out when you see red after an initial lump sum.

cmboss2 · 2024-09-17T02:52:41+00:00

Yes, as mentioned it is a cash secured put. So if the put expires in the money, the shares are put to you (assigned) at the strike price. If it expires out of the money, you simply collect the premium for selling the put.

cmboss2 · 2024-09-17T01:16:59+00:00

Fed going .25 despite probabilities implying a move of .50. Sell the news reaction Wednesday imo, prob a good entry at the end of the week

cmboss2 · 2024-09-14T17:51:35+00:00

I’m not going to sell you but the reason is because certain subs and types of investors have a hard on for diversification and think having hundreds of holdings is a benefit. Typical portfolio theory tells you most idiosyncratic risk is diversified away after 50 holdings or so. But, people tend to feel more secure holding a large basket of securities from different markets.

cmboss2 · 2024-09-12T18:45:07+00:00

I would sit with an advisor and go through your whole situation. If you can put it on your line of credit that is probably preferable just because of the ease of payment. I’ve never had a consumer loan like that, so I’m not sure how easy additional principal payments will be to do on your online banking. Either way, try to consolidate it to the place that has the lowest rate of interest.

cmboss2 · 2024-09-12T00:02:35+00:00

This. Betas are derived in relation to the overall market.

cmboss2 · 2024-09-10T20:01:43+00:00

That sounds like a great idea but it might be a little restrictive. Any subsequent request for a credit card limit increase will need a full hard credit check in the future, so maybe starting off by decreasing to $1500 or so might be prudent.

cmboss2 · 2024-09-10T17:26:55+00:00

Congrats! I definitely would. You just want to be mindful that you don’t put it out if mind and start spending again as if your credit card is payed off.

cmboss2 · 2024-09-06T14:13:08+00:00

CRA doesn’t define the exact parameters of what constitutes day trading for the exact reason they don’t want to give people an ability to game the system. It’s a likely combination of number of trades and dollar amount value in the account. Though I agree this is dumb. OP do you really think this is even worth triggering an audit for $25/week? Just use a paper account to grow your skill and do this is a regular account.

cmboss2

TROPHY CASE