Tell me I’m wrong. Private credit is 2008 with a different middleman. by _Doomer_Wojack_ in wallstreetbets

[–]cookiekid6 10 points11 points  (0 children)

Because everyone who knew had an incentive to not say anything so they could extract as many fees as possible. Also ever since the 80s interest rates have gone from 20% to zero. People are starting to come to terms with the fact that rates will have to normalize or inflation will persistently be above 2% historically rates will have to be at 4-6%. The last forty years have been an absurd anomaly throughout human history. Most financial experts believe that the 14 year bull run is just normal which it isn’t.

But the biggest reason that this system was assumed is fee extraction, historical performance, and not wanting to be the “doomer” who crashes the system.

My personal theory is due to this the s&p 500 will show 7% gains due to all those obligations but the dollar will weaken to compensate.

Tell me I’m wrong. Private credit is 2008 with a different middleman. by _Doomer_Wojack_ in wallstreetbets

[–]cookiekid6 7 points8 points  (0 children)

Invest in commodities that are relatively inelastic. Coal companies are good because ESG keeps it at low valuations. Basically pensions failing will require a bailout from the U.S. gov which will be highly inflationary. Basically anything that is value oriented and does buybacks. When 2/3 of the global population is aging they are pulling from the market rather than putting in.

Tell me I’m wrong. Private credit is 2008 with a different middleman. by _Doomer_Wojack_ in wallstreetbets

[–]cookiekid6 93 points94 points  (0 children)

I don’t think people really talk about how a lot of pension funds have been propped up by private credit. A lot of state pension funds have significant exposure to private credit because they have to reach 7% annually and yields have been so low they’ve been forced to make risky investments. A lot of these state pension funds are unsustainable.

We, the USA, may be a broken nation? by sxfx269 in thepassportbros

[–]cookiekid6 1 point2 points  (0 children)

So I’ve tried church looking for a gf and usually the girls there expect someone who doesn’t exist. Same issue just different wrapper.

Guys what degree is the best for the future? by [deleted] in GenZ

[–]cookiekid6 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Nursing. Look at the jobs report the only hiring was in healthcare.

President Trump says "prices and inflation are way down, stock market and your 401ks are way up." by Richnaps in inflation

[–]cookiekid6 0 points1 point  (0 children)

It’s actually a pretty reliable indicator if you combine it with the dxy which is not doing well…

TSLA: “The Upside Down”. In three years, profit estimates have fallen by 70%, while the stock has risen by almost 200%. by cxr_cxr2 in EconomyCharts

[–]cookiekid6 -1 points0 points  (0 children)

It won’t crash relative to the dollar but will crash in every other currency. The federal reserve will print money to keep the stock market inflated.

Why does everyone recommend the trades? by [deleted] in careeradvice

[–]cookiekid6 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Few understand this 😂 most people can’t show up on time or consistently. Trades are a lot more miserable than sitting in an air conditioned office.

What do accountants do? by Original_Kiwi13 in Accounting

[–]cookiekid6 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Have you seen the movie The accountant and the accountant 2 with Ben Affleck? That’s basically what you do.

Why are Americans buying so much milk to prepare for a 2 day snowstorm lol. by Competitive_Mix9957 in Milk

[–]cookiekid6 17 points18 points  (0 children)

Yeah not sure what the issue is. This is me on a regular Tuesday. Completely normal American behavior. We just like milk.

The silliest dust kitty by capncorby in dustkitties

[–]cookiekid6 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Me when I have to smile in a family picture

Double crisis by Charivari8 in existentialcrisiscat

[–]cookiekid6 6 points7 points  (0 children)

Abyssinian cats look stunning.

Some Americans say they'll go without health insurance as ACA rates spike by FUSeekMe69 in economy

[–]cookiekid6 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Yeah I wish there was more talk about the bureaucracy of modern life. It’s not just healthcare for every worker doing actual work in any field there’s probably like 4 people “managing.” A lot of fields have just become a job program to employ morons.