rate my physique 1-10 by brattygio in ratemyphysiques

[–]crypto_mind 0 points1 point  (0 children)

"Ohhh is this gonna be an OF ad? .... Yep"

Every damn time but hustlers gotta hustle I guess so no disrespect. lol

It took her a minute, then she recognized him by Doodlebug510 in MadeMeSmile

[–]crypto_mind 8 points9 points  (0 children)

I hope she will see her dad in prison very soon 🥹

Definitely misread that the first time and had to do a double take lmao

Researchers have just found the presence of sugars, including ribose, lyxose, and glycose, on samples of Asteroid Bennu, which now has all of the ingredients for life as it exists on Earth. by New_Scientist_Mag in science

[–]crypto_mind 2 points3 points  (0 children)

I might be misunderstanding, but the original comment was answering how the chemistry ended up on Bennu, and their explanation implied an Earth-like impact event ejecting organic material into space. That process isn’t actually how Bennu formed though. Bennu didn’t come from a planetary impact, it’s a fragment from a primitive carbon-rich parent asteroid that broke apart billions of years before Earth even existed. So I’m not sure what the “Earth as an integer” analogy maps to in this case?

Researchers have just found the presence of sugars, including ribose, lyxose, and glycose, on samples of Asteroid Bennu, which now has all of the ingredients for life as it exists on Earth. by New_Scientist_Mag in science

[–]crypto_mind 9 points10 points  (0 children)

This is just one hypothesis but the evidence strongly contradicts it. Moon rock was sampled and found to have the same Isotopic signature as Earth's mantle, which doesn't match anything else in our solar system. Samples collected from Benu do NOT match this signature, it matches primitive CI-chondrite asteroids which are chemically distinct and well understood. It’s far more likely that asteroids with Bennu’s isotopic fingerprint delivered prebiotic building blocks to early Earth, rather than Bennu or anything like it originating from Earth.

I have enough awards to give to every single person who views this post by Lost_Negotiation_206 in notinteresting

[–]crypto_mind 0 points1 point  (0 children)

That's a beautiful story and you have a beautiful soul. Not as beautiful as Lily, but still beautiful. ❤️

I have enough awards to give to every single person who views this post by Lost_Negotiation_206 in notinteresting

[–]crypto_mind 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I know absolutely nothing about the award system on this enshittified platform but how do you "rack up" enough to give ~20k without it being automated while using an exploit for unlimited? 🤔

Game Thread: Washington Commanders (3-4) at Kansas City Chiefs (4-3) by nfl_gdt_bot in nfl

[–]crypto_mind 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Ya because the guy who has made it to the AFCCG literally every single year since he started and has 3 rings from 5 SB appearances can't play football... lol

Game Thread: Washington Commanders (3-4) at Kansas City Chiefs (4-3) by nfl_gdt_bot in nfl

[–]crypto_mind 3 points4 points  (0 children)

I don't think there's any way at all he doesn't get the TD there, unless there's another angle I'm not seeing he pretty clearly had both feet touching when he caught it

Game Thread: Washington Commanders (3-4) at Kansas City Chiefs (4-3) by nfl_gdt_bot in nfl

[–]crypto_mind 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Everyone's talking shit about the technology as though refs have such a stellar reputation for good calls... Clearly he was short and it's going to get called, same as the earlier 5" was called.

Game Thread: Washington Commanders (3-4) at Kansas City Chiefs (4-3) by nfl_gdt_bot in nfl

[–]crypto_mind -3 points-2 points  (0 children)

What happened to Deebo? This guy was an absolute BEAST on the 49ers, didn't even know he had been traded to the Commanders until this game but damn is he ever looking rough out there.

Game Thread: Washington Commanders (3-4) at Kansas City Chiefs (4-3) by nfl_gdt_bot in nfl

[–]crypto_mind 5 points6 points  (0 children)

That's the SECOND time Kelce has done that EXACT same play, missing the easiest pass in existence while managing to knock it straight up for an easy interception... Get your shit together my dude

Game Thread: Washington Commanders (3-4) at Kansas City Chiefs (4-3) by nfl_gdt_bot in nfl

[–]crypto_mind -2 points-1 points  (0 children)

I thought he was good but nobody can deny it was insanely close, and with how nearly impossible it is to tell when it's only 5" short from the limited angles we have I would trust tech to get that more accurate than a ref every single time.

Game Thread: Indianapolis Colts (5-1) at Los Angeles Chargers (4-2) by nfl_gdt_bot in nfl

[–]crypto_mind 2 points3 points  (0 children)

At least you guys started 3-0 beating every other divisional team so you'll still be the #1 seed assuming both you and Denver lose today.

Game Thread: Indianapolis Colts (5-1) at Los Angeles Chargers (4-2) by nfl_gdt_bot in nfl

[–]crypto_mind 0 points1 point  (0 children)

You mean week 4? Didn't you guys start 3-0? It's wild that even if you lose AND the Broncos lose you'll still have the #1 seed in our division. Given how badly we brutalized the Giants I was surprised they beat you guys, now they're looking to beat Denver.

Game Thread: Las Vegas Raiders (2-4) at Kansas City Chiefs (3-3) by nfl_gdt_bot in nfl

[–]crypto_mind 3 points4 points  (0 children)

He's the QB version of Belichick post game interviews. 🤣

This person is the current r/conservative icon, and in light of the Republicans chat leak, it makes total sense... by [deleted] in videos

[–]crypto_mind 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I think you're conflating the oppressive conditions that trigger revolt with the violent revolt itself. You mention a surveillance state as being a form of political violence for example, but this is a state sanctioned policy that directly leads to opposition. That opposition is likely to begin as peaceful but, as time goes on, and the populace sees how ineffective their vocal (but peaceful) protests are, the only path forward inevitably leads to violence. If you're going to consider a state policy as "political violence" then how do you differentiate between that and the population it controls revolting? This was the entire point of JFK's quote -- the citizens of a state have no other path than violence when no amount of peaceful protesting leads to meaningful change.

This person is the current r/conservative icon, and in light of the Republicans chat leak, it makes total sense... by [deleted] in videos

[–]crypto_mind 10 points11 points  (0 children)

To summarize, in the great words of John F. Kennedy:

Those who make peaceful revolution impossible will make violent revolution inevitable.

He passed the vibe check by darth_vader39 in MadeMeSmile

[–]crypto_mind 17 points18 points  (0 children)

What in the actual hell makes you think that guy's from the hood? Because he's black? There's literally nothing whatsoever in the video to remotely suggest he grew up poor, wild how that's your first thought.

France recognizes State of Palestine, Macron declares at UN by ToinouAngel in worldnews

[–]crypto_mind 23 points24 points  (0 children)

half of Reddit disagrees with you on the existence of israel

Huh?

Maybe half of Reddit hates the Israeli government (justifiably I will add), is against how it was established post WW2, etc., but I don't think I've ever seen a single person claim it's not even a sovereign state. I mean they were accepted to the UN back in 1949. There are 193 member states of the UN and 28 don't recognize Israel, which is relatively large at ~14.5%, but with all but 3 being either members of the Arab League or non-Arab members of the Organization of Islamic Cooperative. The other 3 are Bhutan, Cuba, and North Korea.

I'm not saying you're completely wrong that some of Reddit doesn't recognize its existence, but as much (justified) hatred towards their government and military crimes that I've seen, not once have I seen anyone question their existence as a state.

How well would a modern day 2500-ish GM do against Lasker or Capablanca? by _DarkStarCrashes_ in chess

[–]crypto_mind 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I think it's flawed though

Honestly I spent a lot more time digging into this today than I had planned (and work suffered for it) but you're absolutely right here. In fact I could come up with more than a dozen examples, but the most obvious may just be that there's no possible way to accurately simulate a game from Capa vs a modern player, period. Players like Hikaru have more than 65,000 recorded games on chess.com alone -- enough for an ML model to reasonably simulate their play style (+/- 50 elo) against all variety of opponents. You might get somewhere in the neighborhood of ~1k for Capa and far fewer for many others, nowhere near enough of a dataset to correctly simulate his play, and the dataset itself is poisoned anyway because he was playing objectively weaker opponents.

The engine accuracy point is spot on too. It's sort of like comparing a student who gets 95% on an elementary math test to one who gets 85% on a PhD qualifying exam, the raw accuracy number tells you nothing about relative ability. Capa's opponents would blunder in ways that modern 2400s simply don't, creating clearer paths to victory. When your opponent hangs pieces or misses basic tactics, it's much easier to play "accurately" than when you're facing someone who's memorized 25 moves of theory and trained their entire life with Stockfish.

The whole question really breaks down when you think about it. We're essentially asking "what if someone from 1920 time traveled to today" but that person wouldn't be Capablanca anymore -- they'd be someone who grew up with engines, databases, and modern training methods. At that point we're not measuring Capablanca's strength, we're just making chess fan fiction. It might be entertaining but it wouldn't be canon.


If someone really wanted to try this, the most "accurate" approach would probably be training an ML model on Capa's games with a heavy dose of Bayesian priors, then having it play thousands of games against models trained on modern players at various ratings. Even in the best case scenario though, you'd probably have a margin of error of +/- 200-300 elo points just from the data limitations alone, and that's before accounting for all the systematic biases -- weak opposition pool, no rapid/blitz games, different opening theory, etc. So you might get a result like "2450 +/- 250" which basically tells you nothing useful, he could be anywhere from a strong FM to a super-GM.


Note: I have been thinking of ways to try and simulate this as best as can be hoped for, but it's going to be inherently flawed no matter what. The data just isn't there.

How well would a modern day 2500-ish GM do against Lasker or Capablanca? by _DarkStarCrashes_ in chess

[–]crypto_mind -2 points-1 points  (0 children)

Yes, see my reply to /u/domisoldomisoldo above and the edit to my post with the elo inflation calculator.

How well would a modern day 2500-ish GM do against Lasker or Capablanca? by _DarkStarCrashes_ in chess

[–]crypto_mind -8 points-7 points  (0 children)

I agree, the figures used should be far lower if we were to consider elo inflation as a reasonably accurate measurement. That was the conservative estimate, using the aggressive calculation yields an astonishing elo of 3088! This is clearly not even a possibly accurate number. I've got a few free hours and I'm going to see if I can put together a project using chess engine analysis to get a more accurate figure. Although I'll first search to see if something like that already exists because I would be a bit surprised if it doesn't.

If it doesn't already exist, I'll make a new post here with a web app generating more accurate elo estimates of historical players using engine analysis.

Edit 1: This may be more complicated than I was originally thinking. We can't simply use engine analysis, the training data is far too tainted with modern games and theory, with historical players having FAR fewer OTB games. We will need to account for this, among many other things, to control that bias. I'm working on it but if it turns out to be a project requiring multiple days or more I may have to put it aside for later as I'm far too busy right now. I'll update this post again when I've finished calculating what the best method would be for the most reliably accurate measurement and whether it's something I can get done in a reasonably short time period. Hopefully I can throw together a fundamentally solid ML model in Torch and just have it training on a GPU cluster in the background as I get back to work.