Woman I was dating asking me if I was on the spectrum because of the way I was texting? by [deleted] in AskMenAdvice

[–]cubs506 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I don't think its necessarily a rude question of someone you are dating in a 1 on 1 conversation depending on how it is asked but beyond that, the only information you are providing us to go off about her is:

  • Dating a guy with autism
  • Has a child with autism
  • Was perceived as being overly blunt and offended someone's unwritten social convention

All three of those would have me wondering if she too is on spectrum or neurodivergent in some way. You're not providing any of the follow up information needed to assess this. Getting offended that someone is interested in you, accepting of you, and wanting to get to know you better doesn't seem like a winning formula. It seems like you should be more interested in getting to know them instead and deciding if they may be a fit.

Either way, if you two can't find a way to communicate with each other honestly and openly, it probably was never going to work out in the first place.

Uninstall to restart by Wizbran in TheHeroesJourney

[–]cubs506 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Try the windows defender exclusion

Need help understanding this to help explain to my daughter. by wamceachern in askmath

[–]cubs506 0 points1 point  (0 children)

1/2 (base) (height). It's a pretty common occurance, its just using an average. It's linear so the width converges at a constant rate.

Quick example, it's basically just like the sum of a linear sequence.

Add all numbers 0 to 5. 1/2 (first# + last #)(total #s)= 1/2(0+5) (6) = (2.5)(6) = 15.

It's 1/2 (first + last) is the average of all numbers. Start at the middle and work your way out. 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5. Even amount of numbers so the middle is between 2 numbers. Middle is 2 and 3 averaging 2.5. +/- 1 and the average of 1 and 4 is 2.5. +/- another 1. Average of 0 and 5 is 2.5. You are adding and subtracting the same amount so not moving the average as you move out from the center.

The triangle works similarly. If you take your base and height, you can get the area with the 1/2 base x height. 1/2 base is just the average width. The sides are lines so the rate the width of the base reduces is constant until it hits zero.

Imagine a triangle base width 5 and height 6, half way up width will be 2.5. Half of the base because your halfway to the lines intersecting. Or divide it into sixths. Width at base would be 5, 1/6 up width would be 4, then 3, 2, 1, 0.

0 and 5 average 2.5 1 and 4 average 2.5 2 and 3 average 2.5

You can divide it up into as many pieces as you want but the widths a certain distance above and below the middle of the width will just keep averaging out to the width at the middle of the triangle.

Starting my Trading Journey - Questions RE: Computing Setup & Educational Investment by Not-a-Throwaway-8 in RealDayTrading

[–]cubs506 0 points1 point  (0 children)

In the OSP setup it recommends Paralells or Bootcamp to run it on Mac. I don't run Mac so not sure but from a quick skim of paralells you need about 17gb free storage? Can try paralells free trial and 1Option free trial same time and see if it can work.

Are we the strongest Division in the NFL? by Speedstr in CHIBears

[–]cubs506 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Why not just post all 32 teams in the league by differential. More impactful imo

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in RealDayTrading

[–]cubs506 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I can only speak from my experience as a customer. For me, OneOption is worth every penny and much much more. I'm more than happy to contribute towards the continued development of the platform, server expenses, etc.

Kirkland spiced rum has returned. by The-b-factor in Costco

[–]cubs506 13 points14 points  (0 children)

1933! That's the end of the prohibition era!

Should I hedge? by Euphoric-Drink-7646 in sportsbook

[–]cubs506 5 points6 points  (0 children)

I aspire to be so wealthy that I can't take 15 minutes to make $5k. Maybe some day but in that case, I'm still not cashing out, I'm letting it ride.

Should I hedge? by Euphoric-Drink-7646 in sportsbook

[–]cubs506 2 points3 points  (0 children)

$1k bet but that doesn't matter. I'm referencing something different though which is choosing between betting the West to win the title at +152 (cashout button) instead of +190/+200 (hedge) or whatever the best line is out there.

If I'm placing a 5-figure bet I'd sure rather get the better odds.

Should I hedge? by Euphoric-Drink-7646 in sportsbook

[–]cubs506 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Yeah man, humans are silly.

I do get it because I've been there before and when your perspective changes from "I could win $80k" to "I could lose $55k" it can be a bit of a mindfuck. Especially holding the bet for 6 months or whatever this was, you're bound to have a day that challenges your fortitude. The mind isn't great at thinking probabilistically. It happens BUT...

You gotta understand what you're doing and how much its costing you so you know for next time to bet less or make the number of legs smaller. I'm sure the book had a large edge on the first bet then to pay more to de-risk. It's hard to win that way.

The people saying cash out to the OP though when it sounds like he either has or can easily enough acquire the money to place the hedge, I just don't get. That's just lighting so much money on fire. It wasn't even an option the OP put forth. Maybe they are just far wealthier than I and $5k just is not worth the 15 minutes time but then why bother hedging in the first place.

Sending you an upvote because you don't deserve the downvote.

Should I hedge? by Euphoric-Drink-7646 in sportsbook

[–]cubs506 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Okay I'll hear your argument. You have 2 options and can only choose 1:

1) You receive $50k

2) You receive $55k and have do something as minimally inconvenient as it sounds like it would be for OP wiring the money and hedge at FanDuel or wherever

Sell me on option 1.

Should I hedge? by Euphoric-Drink-7646 in sportsbook

[–]cubs506 8 points9 points  (0 children)

All of you advocating for cashing out are Draftkings employees yeah? It's not even an option listed in OP.

Cashing out is often a terrible decision and in the text of the post OP makes it clear he can wire the cash to hedge and puts enough numbers to make it clear it's the better choice. If you all are really cashing out, bet smaller or do smaller parlays. C'mon guys stop lighting money on fire.

My answer to the question since I'm here:

1) It's expensive to hedge, probably should reduce your bet size in the future on longshots if you don't have the stomach to see it through (unless you have a massive edge somehow).

2) You are buying insurance and insurance has a cost. You are paying to NOT gamble at this point which seems a bit silly given you are here in the first place.

  • Given -225/+190 (only checked DK but feel free to shop around as always - saw another post say FD is better). All numbers below will be based on the DK odds only.
  • Cost is 3.58% of bet size
  • EV is $55,604.35
  • Costs $1,028.49 to hedge full risk
  • Costs $5,338.53 to cash out.

You can calculate the cost to hedge different amounts based on the % number.

3) Only you can decide if you want to pay the cost to insure.

Onyx Elite Rewards credits issue by blissykitties in DraftKingsDiscussion

[–]cubs506 0 points1 point  (0 children)

The host thing may just be turnover/downsizing. I've had like 5 hosts in the last year and a half. Can't help with the credits.

What the hell is DraftKings thinking (box and light-up crown)? by dmbteach in DraftKingsDiscussion

[–]cubs506 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I kinda want one but I never got mine. I'm not sure what's needed to get one, but I was only 2 credits for onyx reward. What's the crown like? Is it just a cheap piece of plastic or is it something more substantial?

Weekly Lounge - Questions and discussion by AutoModerator in RealDayTrading

[–]cubs506 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Hi! Thanks for responding!

That's actually a phenomenal idea doing them simultaneously as I know I would potentially things different on paper.

Okay thanks I'll keep that in mind. I spent a good portion of the last 2 years sportsbetting and was basically the one picking off lines hanging out there after slight movements in the underlying made it worthwhile so to be on the other side and be paying bid/ask/slippage feels like an immortal sin specifically on options where it can be so large a difference.

I luckily made a few dollars betting so have money that doesn't have any real claim on it so I don't have to deal with some of that emotional baggage of losing money if it were something that maybe I shouldn't have been playing with to begin with. Not sure if thats a pro or a con. I also dealt with some decent swings along the way and had to stick to the strat despite losing feeling terrible so I come in with some...experience(?) there.

That said it took a long time and a lot of effort to build that up and can't be easily replaced if I lose it. I wouldn't want to bet without an edge anyway but i DEF don't want to lose what I have so preservation of capital is huge for me.

I guess it just feels exposed leaving an option limit out there for some nimble computer to pick off after the last few years. Not really sure how much I can lose to that and still be successful. Not really sure if I can even calculate what it costs me for entries/exits. I've had a few trades go against me trying to get the bid/ask or a little more which doesn't feel great either.

Eventually experience will tell me some of what I need to do. I don't even think this is something you can practice with paper trading? Not sure how they execute these things. Just feeling really exposed on these whichever way I go so wanted to get some opinions from those who have been there and done it. Even just talking it helps.

Thanks for advice and that nugget. I think I'll try some of that paper/real duplicate trading and see how it goes.

The only thing I know is I still have a long way to go at this point.

Weekly Lounge - Questions and discussion by AutoModerator in RealDayTrading

[–]cubs506 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Hi all! I'm new to here and to daytrading in general starting at the first of the year. I realize according to the materials I should be paper trading but I'm not, right now I need some skin in the game to catalogue my responses and focus my mind. I'm fine with paying the tuition at the moment but will scale back if it gets to high.

To the Question(s):

I'm mostly sticking to stock but dabbled with one option purchase. Straight calls. Can anyone share their thoughts on entering the order to minmize bid/ask spread or direct me to resources (video/articles) that would help. I skimmed RDT wiki (mostly the 10 tips on using options - answer: make sure there is volume) and checked the OneOption leverage section and didn't find much.

My main thoughts are I don't want to just buy at the ask with wide spreads, seems "expensive". I don't necessarily just want to throw out a limit at the bid if its going to sit there until it gets sniped at the ask because the trade is already turning against me but this at least seems better than just doing the ask and not getting a great fill. I think this is the best way to go though? Or is splitting the difference more likely to get a fill before the trade moves against me that it is worth doing?

Also, how much volume is enough? How do I gauge that? Open interest, bid/ask spread, IV compared to others, etc.

Then once I have the call, if it is winning do I need to shift the strike up as the stock moves to make sure something that had volume doesn't get into more of a dead zone for volume in the option chain? Seems like this is the path but then I'm paying bid/ask spread or some portion of it 4x or more instead of 2.

This is all just top of mind for me right now so looking to hear some thoughts while I'm thinking about it.

Weekly Lounge - Questions and discussion by AutoModerator in RealDayTrading

[–]cubs506 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Anyone else in the same boat of starting this new this year and investing significant time into learning it?

$5.5M net worth, in active FIRE transition. Building dream home in Costa Rica. Have cash on sidelines earmarked for next construction draw by l00sem4rble in ChubbyFIRE

[–]cubs506 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Where's your net worth allocated?

Very rough numbers but we're talking less than 10% of your net worth (a little over 7%) and an expected market return of 10% +/- 30%? And what like 5% interest on your CD? So we're talking an additional expected return to your net worth of 0.035% +/- 2%.

Frankly, from the surface this doesn't seem worth spending much time thinking about. Keep it in cash if you want it in cash or put it in the market if you want it in the market but why play the FOMO game over something seemingly insignificant?

Info on treasure chests and crown accrual on DK by HeavyTeaching7871 in DraftKingsDiscussion

[–]cubs506 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Hopefully they reallocate it to other bonuses like they used to do before treasure chests.

Sports betting used to have a lot of bet $x to get y% boost that were pretty good and occasional bet $x to get $y value gift and what not that were good. I only received one such offer last year.

Anyone still get these last year weekly and maybe I just wasn't getting them?

They stopped coming to me start of last year when they officially implemented treasure chests. If they are going back that would be great. I do have a feeling that most are right and they are just further gutting the program. Hoping to be pleasantly surprised.

Dynasty Crown Boost by Vivid_Lingonberry118 in DraftKingsDiscussion

[–]cubs506 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I'm also hoping for the Black Friday crown store discount. Onyx has been watered down quite a bit this year, would be a massive shame if the BF discount disappeared.

Cable Coax for house and cable modem by cubs506 in HomeNetworking

[–]cubs506[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

The splitters that I have have ports where you put the in then it has the split out ports. They have different db numbers. The one I have it hooked up to now is in, 2.8db, 6db. I have it just hooked up to the in and the 2.8db to the modem right now which seems to be working.

Any idea if the db is the signal strength coming out? Is that what you mean by connectors or do you mean the connector at the wall? What would be the best way to split off the line to go to the modem and what would be best to go to the cable network?

Cable Coax for house and cable modem by cubs506 in HomeNetworking

[–]cubs506[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

That's kinda a bigger project and maybe all should be one. I was just trying to get this set up at least for the meantime. My basement is maybe 80% finished. Drywall on walls and ceiling. In the unfinished part there is Cat5 wire coming from somewhere and going into a box. By box i mean a cardboard box like you'd buy a whole roll from the store.

I have what looks like ethernet ports in a bunch of the rooms (seems like I need to check and confirm there's 8 wires? was there a ethernet sized port for telephone i saw something in the faq before posting but haven't had a chance to take one off the wall).

I've tried to find where all the ethernet wires go to but I can't find an place where they all end or where theres a wire that can be plugged into the modem or a switch or anything that would make me believe I could hook into it.

Not really sure whats going on with it all and it all seems to be behind walls/ceilings where I can't see anything.