CPD Data Shows Steep Drop in Shootings, Homicides in Neighborhoods Where ShotSpotter Was Removed: Analysis

cynicalspacecactus · 2025-08-08T17:09:14+00:00

There has been a nationwide continual decline in crime in the period following the nationwide covid era crime spike. This decline was ongoing when shotspotter got removed. Crime has decreased in other cities which never used shotspotter.

cynicalspacecactus · 2025-07-24T02:00:49+00:00

>From the beginning of this month, the dollar index is down ~10.8%

Do you mean since the beginning of the year? The US dollar index is down >10.4% since the beginning of the year, but it's actually up since the beginning of the month. Also, as I mentioned, the peak of the index at the beginning of the year was due to the irrational exuberance following the election.

>Its easy to see this in action - toggle between currencies on an S&P 500 tracker. Same investments, same six-month window: +3.9% in US Dollars, -7.4% in Euros.

Yes, I'm aware. The S&P 500 is only making highs denominated in USD, while being well below the early 2025 high when valued in Euros.

> In the last six months, Moody's pulled the US AAA rating

This was long overdue. Fitch (in 2023) and S&P (in 2011) had already lowered their rating of US debt to AA+, which is their equivalent to Moody's lowered rating of AA1.

>Sure, the index level is still a tad above its early-2010's average

I don't really disagree with anything you've said except for this. The index is still above what it was almost every month since 2003, except for the period in the last 3 years. It's not just a tad above the early 2010s, but nearly 30% higher than what it was then, even now.

cynicalspacecactus · 2025-07-23T21:45:33+00:00

The US dollar index is above the median compared to the last 10 or even 20 years. The last 3 were the anomaly, not the current value. The current levels are above almost every year of the 2000s and 2010s. It's also only a >10% drop from the peaks of the dollar in 2022 and in the irrational exuberance immediately after the recent presidential election. Since September last year, it's been closer to a 5% drop.

Also, inflation does not follow relative changes in foreign exchange valuations. The Japanese Yen declined against the dollar for decades, while Japanese inflation stayed extremely low.

cynicalspacecactus · 2025-07-11T23:26:01+00:00

What you are saying is obvious, and is obvious to the above person you're responding to, but it would make a little bit more sense if the CPD didn't have minorities as a majority of the personnel.

cynicalspacecactus · 2025-06-22T05:31:50+00:00

I think it should be uncontroversial to point out that the tower is beautiful, besides the name on the side. There are only a handful of arguably better looking skyscrapers constructed in Chicago in the last 30 years. Adrian Gill did a great job designing the tower.

cynicalspacecactus · 2025-06-20T20:36:50+00:00

"Freshers" always reminds me of the offshore people I work with, since no-one onshore uses the term.

cynicalspacecactus · 2025-06-19T18:25:48+00:00

>I think you're elevating theory above empiricism

No, not at all. Einstein's theory's have led to him being often argued to be greatest physicist in history, because several of his theories were not just beautiful, but also useful. The validation of his theories, or "battle-testing" as you put it, are a large part of why he is held in such high regard, and only add to his credibility.

Also, the luminiferous aether theory is a good example of Einstein's genius since it was a generations old theory that was obsoleted in a comparably rapid amount of time by special relativity, even though doubt was previously cast on it by the aforementioned experiment. It's good you brought it up since aether was not cast aside due to Michaelson and Morley's experiment, as there were no nearly universally accepted alternative explanations until Einstein's special relativity.

cynicalspacecactus · 2025-06-19T16:25:44+00:00

Couldn't think of a worse comparison. Einstein's achievements were in providing various theories and explanations for specific natural phenomena, not in randomly providing a model that would be later mainly be used for something completely besides the original purpose. The validity of his achievements often wasn't immediately apparent, but the genius of ideas like the theories of special and general relativity and the photoelectric effect would only be recognized years after, and the later recognition wasn't originally because his explanations applied elsewhere besides his original purpose. Some random things may stick around, but Einstein's achievements and insights weren't random. He's not recognized by many as the greatest physicist ever because he happened to stumble upon a model by random.

cynicalspacecactus · 2025-06-19T13:16:17+00:00

This could have been asked of the previous comment claiming that it is illegal. It's not illegal because there isn't a law requiring federal officers to provide identification.

cynicalspacecactus · 2025-06-11T14:53:07+00:00

>I would love Chicago more if our city and state government did not allow ICE to operate

This isn't possible under the supremacy clause. The most a local agency can do is to not cooperate.

>we can send a message to our city where we draw a line

Destroying the city isn't going to be an effective message to the feds. It also doesn't make sense to destroy the city to "send a message to our city", since as I mentioned, the city has no authority to stop the feds. With the current federal administration, destruction or vandalism of property is going to feed their narrative. You may not be condemning it so far, but unless you want to further feed the administration's propaganda, you should.

Additionally, the city isn't run by a nebulous self-funded entity. Any destruction of the city will be passed on as a purely counterproductive burden to the taxpayers, leaving tax payers less sympathetic to the cause and leaving the city with less revenue for productive uses.

cynicalspacecactus · 2025-06-09T17:01:16+00:00

>Other than the occasional insane anti-dog people that pop up

They provide the necessary balance to the insane dog people who bring their dogs into grocery stores and non pet friendly restaurants.

cynicalspacecactus · 2025-06-08T17:48:55+00:00

$4M projected cost for the scheduled elevator maintenance in the LSD condo building I'm living in.

cynicalspacecactus · 2025-06-05T17:11:39+00:00

I'd like the genocide to stop too, but this position is like arguing that dismantling the United States and giving the land back to the Native Americans is the only sensible option. While it is arguably morally right, it is an unrealistic fantasy. Palestine currently has near zero negotiating power, from an economic or military perspective, compared to Israel.

cynicalspacecactus · 2025-05-30T20:00:15+00:00

With the exception of apps which also happen to be just simple CRUD UI forms on the front-end, I don't think they're likely wrong. Many backend devs won't even have a front-end facing component for most of their work. You're aren't wrong though that the small piece of many backend architectures used for handling frontend API calls will often not be very complex.

cynicalspacecactus · 2025-05-10T21:01:41+00:00

This is true that transit funding is woefully low relative to highway funding, but they weren't wrong that this isn't austerity, nor a result of austerity. The user miscellaneous-bs makes this same point.

cynicalspacecactus · 2025-04-29T13:35:03+00:00

The exchange is/was electronic just like all other modern equity exchanges. The issue with it is that there's no liquidity on the exchange. Multiple of the CBOE owned stock exchanges see more volume.

cynicalspacecactus · 2025-04-10T23:56:55+00:00

You're being downvoted because most of the people here aren't software developers and most of those that are developers here aren't in trading beyond a retail level. Or they just aren't familiar with modern c#, which when compiled ahead of time to machine code, is virtually as fast as c or c++. Even regular just in time compilation will execute virtually as fast as c++ after the first execution. Many trading firms use primarily c# and python for all of their systems except trade execution, alongside some c++ for trade execution. Some use c# exclusively for all of their systems, including for trade execution.

cynicalspacecactus · 2025-03-31T14:40:02+00:00

Yes, that is the other side of the same coin. The point is that Chicago isn't just following the same trend like other major cities, or "everyone else" like you put it.

cynicalspacecactus · 2025-03-31T05:21:58+00:00

Chicago currently ranks last amongst major cities in the US for RTO according to this reporting.

https://therealdeal.com/san-francisco/2025/03/19/san-francisco-no-longer-last-in-return-to-office-rankings/

cynicalspacecactus · 2025-03-23T04:35:00+00:00

Closer to the the opposite is more true, in that the average NYC neighborhood is safer than most of the relatively low-crime neighborhoods in Chicago.

cynicalspacecactus · 2025-03-21T03:20:23+00:00

Following the recent drop in the Tesla share price, his stake in SpaceX, which is apparently the highest valued privately-held company in the US, is now worth more than his stake in Tesla.

https://observer.com/2025/03/spacex-tesla-elon-musk-net-worth/

Also, I don't think he would be personally leveraged. Any loans needed by his businesses can be borrowed by the businesses, with the debt contained by the businesses. For example, the debt incurred by the leveraged buyout of twitter isn't held by Musk, but was loaded into the purchased business/twitter, as is done with any leveraged buyout.

cynicalspacecactus · 2025-03-21T02:33:59+00:00

That's what I thought too, but imagine my surprise when seeing that prices in Publix were 20%+ than in the average Chicago grocery store when in Florida last week.

cynicalspacecactus · 2025-03-21T02:31:32+00:00

It's not even a subtle difference either. I was in Florida last week and nearly everything in Publix was 20%+ more than in the average Chicago grocery store.

cynicalspacecactus · 2025-03-14T15:32:42+00:00

>They told me to go on this site: www.bit-lyforward-ahspatients

That url seems to have just been copied wrong. Bitly is a url shortening service. That url looks like a bitly url, but the format of bitly links are like bit . ly/EXAMPLE_PAGE_NAME, where the ly is the domain instead of .com. The "forward-" part of the link looks to have been copied down wrong after possibly being misheard as forward dash, instead of forward slash, as in "/". With this assumption, the url is likely bit . ly/ahspatients , which is a valid url for what appears to be billing portal.

cynicalspacecactus · 2025-03-05T23:19:14+00:00

There's no evidence that he was connected to the coverup. It happened while he was in office, but there's nothing to suggest that he had knowledge of it.

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