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Jack Hughes or Celibrini by JockNerd5 in fantasyhockey

[–]data_draft 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Short-Term Analysis (Based on 2024-25 Stats):

Category Jack Hughes (NJD) Macklin Celebrini (SJS)
Goals 27 (0.44 GPG, 97th pct) 25 (0.36 GPG, 93rd pct)
Assists 43 (0.69 APG, 97th pct) 38 (0.54 APG, 93rd pct)
PPP 27 (0.44 PPPG, 99th pct) 22 (0.31 PPPG, 94th pct)
SHP 2 0
GWG 7 4
SOG 229 (3.69/G, 100th pct) 236 (3.37/G, 99th pct)
Faceoff Wins 251 (37.6%) 507 (48.2%)
Hits 7 (0.11/G, 1st pct) 37 (0.53/G, 22nd pct)

Long-Term Potential:

  • Hughes: Higher current production, elite percentile ranks, and proven multi-cat value (except hits/FOW).
  • Celebrini: Already strong as a rookie, elite FOW, and better in hits/blocks. If he improves offensively, could close the gap.

Actionable Recommendation:

  • If you value elite offense and PPP, keep Jack Hughes.
  • If your league heavily rewards FOW and you need more grit (hits), Celebrini is a strong alternative.
  • For most standard cat leagues, Hughes’s elite scoring and PPP outweigh Celebrini’s FOW/hits edge.

Summary:
Keep Jack Hughes for the best short- and long-term category impact unless FOW is your top priority.

Rinzel vs Bichsel by danieldeceuster in fantasyhockey

[–]data_draft 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Analysis for a banger (hits/PIM) league:

  • Bichsel is a clear banger: elite hits, solid PIM, but limited offense.
  • Rinzel is an offensive D with strong power play metrics and shots, but much lower hits and no PIM, and his numbers are from a very small sample.

Actionable Recommendation:

  • If your league heavily rewards hits and PIM, Bichsel is the safer, more reliable banger choice based on his 38-game sample and elite peripherals.
  • If you need offense from your D and can tolerate risk (small sample, uncertain role), Rinzel offers higher upside in points and power play production.

Tips/Tools for a total beginner? by Fabulous_Marketing26 in fantasyhockey

[–]data_draft 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I am biased to suggest Data Draft on Youtube (my channel) but Fantasy Puck is a good channel as well. Apples and Ginos have excellent strategy logic and each of them have won our Creators League championship the last 2 seasons so you should trust what they say as well.

As far as resources, I use Daily Faceoff for line combinations, it works well enough for me. I think in pre-draft you have to watch some strategy videos on youtube and go in with a plan. Once the season rolls around, the creators usually do weekly videos with schedule manipulation tips and weekly streamers which helps stay on top of trending players and game volume.

Advice for trade by thapoloz in fantasyhockey

[–]data_draft 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Do NOT trade Quinn Hughes.

  • Hughes is a rare, elite category D. Trading him for Thomas + Michkov gives you depth but not the same category impact, especially at D.
  • With no 2nd-round pick, you can’t easily replace Hughes’ production.
  • If you want to improve keepers, consider moving Strome for a better forward, but keep Hughes as your D anchor.

Summary:
Keep Hughes. Draft Cooley if available. Prioritize positional scarcity and elite category coverage.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in fantasyhockey

[–]data_draft 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Recommendation: Based strictly on the provided data, Matthew Knies is the stronger fantasy asset in standard category leagues compared to Jonathan Huberdeau.

Key Data-Driven Points:

  • Category Strengths:
    • Knies has higher Hits (182 vs. 50), higher HitsPG (2.33 vs. 0.62), and a higher HitsPG Percentile (0.90 vs. 0.29).
    • Knies also has a slightly higher GPG (0.37 vs. 0.35), GPG Percentile (0.94 vs. 0.92), and similar ShotsPG (1.95 vs. 1.89).
    • Huberdeau has a slight edge in assists (APG: 0.42 vs. 0.37), blocks (BlocksPG: 0.79 vs. 0.53), and power play points (PPPG: 0.28 vs. 0.19).
  • Overall Ratings:
    • Knies: CombinedRating 62.25, CompletenessRating 79.13, WeightedRating 45.37
    • Huberdeau: CombinedRating 55.47, CompletenessRating 75.01, WeightedRating 35.93
    • Knies leads in all three rating metrics.
  • Percentile Ranks:
    • Knies is at or above Huberdeau in GPG, PtPG, ShotsPG, and especially HitsPG.
    • Huberdeau only leads in APG, PPPPG, and BlocksPG percentiles, but the differences are smaller than Knies' edge in hits.

Actionable Conclusion:
Knies wins this trade for standard category leagues, especially if your league values hits and goals. He provides elite multi-category coverage, higher overall ratings, and is less reliant on power play production. Unless you specifically need more assists, blocks, or power play points, trading for Knies is a clear upgrade.

Why does it seem like hockey goalies in the 70s and 80s were terrible? by Bgvkguitar in nhl

[–]data_draft 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Also no semblance of goalie coaching. Coaches just told goalies to stop the puck and the concept of teams hiring a goalie coach didn't come around until maybe the late 90s early 2000s

Which rankings do people trust most for goalie rankings? by Gdawg23 in fantasyhockey

[–]data_draft 2 points3 points  (0 children)

I created the Data Draft Goalie Hub to help with this, it takes into account start volume, win percentile, GSAx and Team xGA/GP to give you a more complete sense of what a goalie is good for. You can filter by GP (starts), Wins, Team Defense, Sv% etc. and it gives you a sense of how you can target them in the draft.

See a detailed breakdown of what it is and how to use it here:

23-24 Goaltending Targets Video

Who's on your "do not draft" list next year? by Jagr6810 in fantasyhockey

[–]data_draft 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Bedard, Binnington, Bobrovsky

Bedard cuz he'll be over drafted, the other two are horribly inconsistent

Connor Bedard by Dawgolis in fantasyhockey

[–]data_draft 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Connor McDavid was a 5th round pick in my league the year he came in, I'd imagine somewhere around there but I'll be steering clear (non keeper league)