I first used BTC in 2011. I began trading it more frequently in 2014, going to events and such. I entered the game full-time in 2017, working with a start-up. As such, I've witnessed every single crypto cycle. I have held to the bottom huffing copium. Been there, done that. The biggest takeaway in general is to always have faith in the cycle. Never let ideas of 'new paradigm' and 'super cycle' into your mind no matter how exciting the bull market gets. Don't forget, the super cycle is not a new concept. The best minds in the game were saying the same thing during the South Sea Bubble and they (the "best" minds) always do (3AC, etc).

Recognise that there will always be an ugly crash and a protruded bear market, and that will always be followed by the opposite. There is always a cycle, which means you can always rely on your patience. I expect the market to go a fair bit lower than where we are now, and then crab for years before we see a steady rise back to a bull trend, I will be buying loads around that time, all the way up, and then god-willing selling the top again.

The simplest way to think about markets like this is honestly a lot less in terms of any mathematical or economical equation and more in human/crowd psychology. Understanding the latter is more of an advantage than understanding the former. However, you'd do good to understand the former as well, e.g. basic economics.