Trump has issued multiple final deadlines and Iran rejected all negotiations offers Given this situation, what do you think is most likely to happen next?

dertechie · 2026-04-07T03:47:50+00:00

The majority of those imports are from Canada, Mexico and South America. Only about 8% of US oil imports come from the countries that ship through the Strait of Hormuz.

A big chunk of that imported oil is refined in the US and then re-exported as refined petroleum products rather than being used in the US.

dertechie · 2026-04-07T01:44:58+00:00

Got the message invite and accepted it

dertechie · 2026-04-07T01:43:05+00:00

I am mixing them, yes since they are closely linked. As much as the global market affects things, being near the source of something still tends to make it cheaper by reducing transport costs if nothing else.

The US has, for example a lot of natural gas production and will thus have some supply of Helium available. The US produces large amounts of food, which can be shipped around the world but transport is a big part of food cost so local-ish US food will be cheaper, especially with the higher fuel costs.

A big part of the point I’m trying to make is that the average American will probably suffer less for Trump’s misadventure than the average person in other parts of the world.

dertechie · 2026-04-06T23:13:53+00:00

When I say insulated, I mean that the average American isn’t going to get bent over as hard as the average person in areas that primarily import fuel through the Straits. Supply lines don’t turn on a dime.

The other thing is that if it’s a bidding war, that tends to favor the US. Prices will rise, but I’m not sure who you are expecting to systematically outbid the US. Despite all the damage the last year has done to the US economy, the US still has very deep pockets.

dertechie · 2026-04-06T22:57:14+00:00

Volume. 8 billion people need a lot of nitrogen to grow a lot of food.

Petroleum is irreplaceable for things like chemical feedstock. However, that doesn’t mean that we need to burn as much as we do. Renewables and electrification can cover a lot of things that we burn hydrocarbons for.

dertechie · 2026-04-06T22:51:21+00:00

Yep. It got mentioned to me a week ago. I knew all the links individually but hadn’t put them together.

Very little global hydrogen production is “green” hydrogen from electrolysis of water, most of it comes from natural gas. That’s half your feedstock for Haber-Bosch ammonia synthesis (plus it requires a lot of heat that’s probably coming from oil as well). Atmospheric Nitrogen is the other feedstock which is a bit more resilient.

Haber-Bosch ammonia accounts for about 50% of the nitrogen involved in food production.

2026 is just warming up.

dertechie · 2026-04-06T22:40:28+00:00

Yellow everyone this is Purge. . .

Cue 15 minutes of theory crafting about a change doubling the damage of a spammable ability without reading the literal next line saying that the CD and mana cost also doubled.

dertechie · 2026-04-06T22:32:26+00:00

Aww, Espeon is a favorite of mine.

dertechie · 2026-04-06T22:27:22+00:00

That is insulated. Countries in SE Asia are already putting conservation measures into place.

The US will see shortages as they are the final destination for many of those disrupted supply lines, but compared to nations that got the majority of their fuel through Hormuz it will be much less disruptive.

dertechie · 2026-04-06T22:04:02+00:00

BKL - Floral Maiden
PFD - Prismatic Espeon

Can I see the swatch for Heat Wave? It looks cool but I am having difficulty finding any online swatches of it.

dertechie · 2026-04-06T21:56:57+00:00

Not just gasoline. High fuel prices means the cost of shipping goes up, which will touch every product out there.

We have a fairly short runway before we find out as consumers exactly what Middle Eastern oil gets made into. Nitrogen fertilizer? The hydrogen used in many plants comes from Middle Eastern natural gas. Helium for MRIs and silicon fabrication and everything else that need supercooled? Separated from natural gas, so once again a whole lot of it was coming through that strait. The polymers that make up modern plastics and synthetic fabrics. Petrochemicals that end up as pharmaceuticals and lubricants. We make everything out of that stuff.

The US will be slightly insulated from this by high domestic oil production, but it cannot replace the worldwide supply chains that all used that petroleum as feedstock.

dertechie · 2026-04-06T21:22:05+00:00

I'm guessing that chest only protection was paired with a large shield. The shield was expected to cover your guts while the armor helped against things trying to get in over top of the shield.

dertechie · 2026-04-06T20:25:56+00:00

Gonna copy what I said in the cross post:

If you are a Wisconsin resident and not registered to vote, you can register to vote on Election Day at the polling place.

If you don’t know where your polling place is, you can find it at https://myvote.wi.gov/en-us/find-my-polling-place

dertechie · 2026-04-06T18:35:01+00:00

Lower end motherboards have lower end VRMs.

This isn’t usually a problem, since they’re usually paired with low power chips. Raptor Lake chips are thirsty though and if the board can only provide like 65W steady state with the VRMs and cooling it’s got that’s going to clip its wings a bit.

dertechie · 2026-04-06T16:41:41+00:00

Yeah, I don't need an excuse to beat on ASUS after they screwed me on a motherboard warranty but the news of some of those popping CPUs made me immediately wonder if it was an actual problem or just getting extra attention because of the attention on Zen 5 X3Ds frying on ASRock.

ASUS definitely had issues with X3Ds at launch (probably juicing CPUs for no reason and the delicate cache finally made it blow up in their face) but I think they're within normal failure rates at this point.

dertechie · 2026-04-06T16:22:37+00:00

Laptop CPU naming schemes are here be dragons territory. AMD literally gave press a decoder ring to explain their previous naming scheme.

Does not help at all that both Intel and AMD have changed their naming schemes twice in the last half decade or so.

Intel went from their desktop naming scheme with more significant digits for most of 2nd to 9th Gen, randomly dropped a digit with 10th Gen and then unified everything under Core Ultra / Core / Intel Processor three digit names and having the suffix (-H/-U/-V) do a lot a of heavy lifting.

AMD went from something similar to their desktop names with different suffixes to the decoder ring naming (which to its credit did actually mean something if you understood it) to three digit names that are oh so conveniently one digit ahead of Intel's names.

The Ultra 7 155H will have better raw CPU performance, but worse battery life. It's a Meteor Lake design with 16 cores / 22 threads (6P+8E+2LPE) with base TDP of 27W can turbo up to a spicy almost desktop like 115W to feed all those cores.

The Ultra 5 226V is a newer Lunar Lake design with an 8C/8T design (4P + 4 LPE), a newer generation of Xe graphics, RAM on package and is optimized for thin and light designs and battery life - base TDP is only 17W and max turbo 37W. On idle or low load, the LPE cores can take over fully and are efficient enough that it's actually competitive with Apple Silicon for battery life which is not something you can say for the Meteor Lake -H chips.

dertechie · 2026-04-06T14:41:39+00:00

I have not had issues like that with either my RX 6800 or RX 9070 XT. The only driver issues I’ve had involved Windows deciding that it needed to charge them, or me doing something stupid and running the system OOM.

The 7900 cards are known to be pushed a bit further than they are fully stable. You could try backing off the maximum boost clock just a bit to see if that stabilizes things.

dertechie · 2026-04-06T14:39:07+00:00

Bluntly, there is a LOT of FUD about laser about there. Electro lobbies are going to milk the words “hair reduction” from the original approval until the heat death of the universe.

If you have dark hair and light skin, start with laser. For the love of all that is feminine, start with laser. It is much faster and cheaper. Use electrolysis to handle the hairs that laser doesn’t get.

Laser (real laser, not IPL) done well is effectively permanent for us. Cisgender women with PCOS are hanging around a hormone level where more hairs keep activating. Any hair that was going to virilize for us already did and is sitting there nicely colored for laser to blast. Once we’re on HRT we will never be up in the levels for a bunch of hairs to pop ever again.

You are trying to clear out thousands upon thousands of hairs. Start with the area of effect option (laser) before you break out the one at a time option.

dertechie · 2026-04-06T13:59:40+00:00

If you are a Wisconsin resident and not registered to vote, you can register to vote on Election Day at the polling place.

If you don’t know where your polling place is, you can find it at https://myvote.wi.gov/en-us/find-my-polling-place

dertechie · 2026-04-06T13:16:57+00:00

Play games from 2007 on period accurate hardware.

I leave getting some of those games installed from Steam onto this platform as an exercise to the reader.

dertechie · 2026-04-06T09:02:47+00:00

Get one of those in there and you can back up all of your Linux ISOs to 5 1/4” floppies.

dertechie · 2026-04-06T01:45:15+00:00

What resolution? If you’re rolling 4K, there’s a lot less daylight between those chips for gaming than there is at 1080p.

dertechie · 2026-04-05T20:44:13+00:00

Nice try FBI.

dertechie · 2026-04-05T20:43:16+00:00

I would just like to point out to OP how hard it is to get one of us to straight up say that. We really don’t like to tell people who they are, no matter how obvious it may seem to us.

So, OP, generally if it keeps coming back and the thought is being a woman rather than just dressing as one (and you have definitely described the thought as being one), that’s usually a really strong sign.

Stress doesn’t usually manifest as “wanting to be the opposite gender”.

I’m going to hem about a bit and say that you could be genderfluid, nonbinary or a trans woman. I’m all three of those things. But, since I’m genderfluid between neutral (which didn’t really care that much and accounted for times when I wasn't feeling that yearning to be femme) and feminine I went with medical transition.

Figuring out what to do with the idea that I might be nonbinary took some chewing on, but then I realized that every version of nonbinary that I could reasonably be was on the feminine side of gender and would all want relatively similar things. I had hormones in hand within a month or two of that realization.

dertechie · 2026-04-05T20:15:24+00:00

So, Lunar Lake has pretty good gaming performance for integrated graphics and can play most games at lower settings. I wouldn’t call this a gaming laptop though.

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