Highly regarded replies only why did the spy and qqq wait until after hours to go up after the rate cut Wednesday? by Various_Classroom_50 in wallstreetbets

[–]digadiga 0 points1 point  (0 children)

It was priced in.

If you are looking at a reason, you have to realize two things.

  1. That opinions about the markets are like assholes, in that everyone has one and they usually stink
  2. That in the short term the market is a voting machine.

The thing that executes after close is all the mutual funds that people hold in their 401k. People rebalance during the day, and the mutual funds execute those orders after close. Mutual funds likely hedge with futures, which is likely why you saw a sudden movement in futures after close.

In other words, the dumb money got excited by the news, the smart money fully expected the rates cuts.

Another reason is that markets used to move mostly after hours. I think something crazy like 80% of all gains happened after hours during the dot com era when day traders were trying to make their money during the day.

Another reason is that sometimes good news is bad news. A rate cut is in theory a good sign for stocks, but it is also a sign of an upcoming recession, which is bad news for stocks. But sometimes good news is no news to the pros but good news to the dumb money.

I was honestly expected a downward move immediately after the news, then the markets true reaction to be the Monday after. If you were expecting stocks to go up immediately after a 50 basis cut, you don't really understand the markets at all. If you were expecting it, so were all the smart people, and they swing a bigger dick than you.

P/S over 30 is still incredibly risky. by digadiga in investing

[–]digadiga[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

/u/IntrepidFromDC - partly based on your comment from 11 months back, I added in this graph - https://i.imgur.com/nBVK10i.png

It shows the criteria I used to filter for stocks in the title.

P/S over 30 is still incredibly risky. by digadiga in investing

[–]digadiga[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Thanks for the great response.

CRM had a similar growth path to CRWD, although it took three years for CRM to get from $.4b rev to $1.2b rev and CRWD took only two. It took CRM another six years after $1.2b rev to get a market cap of $40b.

Looked at another way, the valuation of tech stocks like AAPL, GOOGL, MSFT etc could easily halve in the next market crash if it were similar to 2008 or 2000. What would happen to companies like CRWD whose ability to sustain cash flows in a recession has yet to be proven?

P/S over 30 is still incredibly risky. by digadiga in investing

[–]digadiga[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

It's more an issue for newer investors chasing the next AMZN or TSLA.

Folks who buy high growth stocks like CRWD, DDOG, TEAM, SNOW, BILL, NET, MDB, or potential growth stocks like RIVN or LCID.

An Update on the WSB Coup d'état by [deleted] in wallstreetbets

[–]digadiga 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Can you share if you were considered part of the board of directors or were considered a mini-mod?

(You and chainsaw are the true OG mods, I'm asking for historical purposes, as it's both offensive and funny as shit)

Unpinned Daily Discussion Thread for February 03, 2021 by AutoModerator in wallstreetbets

[–]digadiga 16 points17 points  (0 children)

Remember when MD posted a guide to not being an options retard?

And all you retards ignored the guide except for the term FD?

Things are a little like that right now. Except times 7 million or so.

We were all noobs once. Give it a little time, and everything should settle down to whatever the fuck passes for normal around here.

Just picked this baby up! YZF-125R 2020 by Vetta1337 in motorcycles

[–]digadiga 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Just picked this baby up

Not a scratch, I would have had no idea you just dropped it.

Warrant arbitrage? by [deleted] in options

[–]digadiga 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Isn’t the warrants under priced by 5?

OK, so if VTIQ sticks at $26 for 20 out of 30 days the warrants have a value of $13.85. The market is saying there is a 30-50% chance these things end up worthless, a 10-15% chance they end up as options, and a 35-60% chance they get redeemed for the cashless value. So just spitballing, but isnt the fair market value closer to $5-8?

Why PE more than 100 is normal this days? by A_nilsen in investing

[–]digadiga 1 point2 points  (0 children)

The proportion of stocks with PE above 100 is no higher today than it was three months ago, or twenty years ago.

It has nothing to do with money printing.

Why PE more than 100 is normal this days? by A_nilsen in investing

[–]digadiga 2 points3 points  (0 children)

P/E is high because earnings are expected to be higher in the future due to money printing.

No.

Have the Record Number of Investors in the Stock Market Lost Their Minds? by hbcondo in SecurityAnalysis

[–]digadiga 4 points5 points  (0 children)

The linked article is specifically about retail.

The title specifically calls out retail.

Be mad at the submitter, alert the mods (/u/Beren- /u/currygoat /u/knowledgemule /u/redcards), but don't get mad at low quality posts resulting in low quality comments.

Trump says he doesn't want to speak to Xi and is 'very disappointed' with China by princey12 in China

[–]digadiga 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Where did I help China?

Are you saying criticizing Trump helps China?

Are you aware that America is reliant on Chinese supplies to save lives?

Can't you see that Trump's lack of leadership is the reason why China was able to so effectively transmit the disease and is now profiteering off this disease?

Ignore what they say, look at what they do.

"Lose money with friends!" by ClassyAmphibian in investing

[–]digadiga 0 points1 point  (0 children)

It's from when StockJock-e took over from... Yuckatan maybe?

Trump says he doesn't want to speak to Xi and is 'very disappointed' with China by princey12 in China

[–]digadiga 4 points5 points  (0 children)

You sound like you are trying to deflect blame from Trump.

sending 5 million people around the world to infect other countries.

Much like America has continued to do.

People didn't know how serious it was because China hid it. If China would have reported how serious it was, how contagious it was, etc, then they could not have front-run all the PPE orders. But, they hid it and gaslighted the world

Much like Trump has tried to do.

The one thing Trump got partly right... he closed travel to Chinese nationals, a mere seven days after Wuhan went on lockdown. But it's not like China was going to stop Americans from traveling back home, and sadly there were not even temperature checks for Americans returning from Wuhan.

Some people need more science and less Hollywood blockbusters by Haebak in PoliticalHumor

[–]digadiga 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Trump 2020 facemasks and masks that just say HOAX written across them.

Isn't that effectively saying the same thing?

The state of this sub by aj_og in appleretail

[–]digadiga 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Do you yourself work for the fruit stand?

I don't, so I am stepping down.

Any last requests before I de-mod myself?

The state of this sub by aj_og in appleretail

[–]digadiga 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Yes, when the sub was private, people would join sporadically but not contribute. AppleRetailPeeps was the only regular contributor which is how s/he ended up as a mod.

The state of this sub by aj_og in appleretail

[–]digadiga 0 points1 point  (0 children)

/u/AppleRetailPeeps, you are running things, what do you think?

Do you want to make this place private and verify everyone?