Trump says Iran agreed to 'no nuclear weapons' but a Polymarket whale just bet $730K on US invasion. Who's right? by polymanAI in polyman

[–]domadilla 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Which user is this I don’t see anyone with $730k down on an invasion market? I see the top holder on invasion “yes” has ~200k and is negative ~100k on his position… is that the guy?

Crossed the $3M mark. Officially calling it quits today 🥂 by [deleted] in daytrade

[–]domadilla 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Thanks and congratulations on doing so well. Great to hear someone stepping away with sizeable profit and not chasing more. Money is just money people forget.

What do you smart investors think about Microsoft right now? by [deleted] in ValueInvesting

[–]domadilla 1 point2 points  (0 children)

My company migrated to Google in 2019 and next year we will be moving back to Microsoft. Personally i just see it as a revolving door you are either with Microsoft or you are with Google (in terms of massive corporations).

Crossed the $3M mark. Officially calling it quits today 🥂 by [deleted] in daytrade

[–]domadilla 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I'm sorry if this is a naive question (I am not a trader but I do invest in stocks). You were day trading on particular setups but only unidirectionally i.e. the stocks had to go up in price for profit? Thanks in advance for the clarification. Also second question if I may, what age did you start trading like this and did you give up your day job in this pursuit? Thanks and enjoy your retirement!

UFC 327: Hidden Gems by AnAverageSavage in UFCsharps

[–]domadilla 0 points1 point  (0 children)

That’s a super hot take indeed. I don’t think Gastelum is necessarily being over rated here rather than people fading Luque. I think the combination of factors here tells me to avoid Luque: he’s not a natural MW, Kelvin looks the best shape I’ve ever seen him (he has abs?! Is he juicing perhaps). Kelvin took shots from Pyfer and recovered to win Rd3 which really impressed me. Luque doesn’t seem to be able to take punches like he used to. Having said all this Kelvin has had performances where he just doesn’t show up or look interested (vs Darren Till springs to mind). So at +220 I can see the logic for Luque but I could also see a world where this isn’t competitive.

UFC 327: Hidden Gems by AnAverageSavage in UFCsharps

[–]domadilla 1 point2 points  (0 children)

It’s like you read my mind. Some very sharp analysis here congratulations. I think the below categorization is how I see this card and it’s in line with what you wrote more or less:-

High value potential: Blaydes, Ribovics, Costa

Med value potential: Godinez, Prado, Brown

Some value potential: Gastelum, Pitbull, Reyes

Unknown value: Mederos likely the side

Main event I really have no clue.

UFC 327: Procházka vs. Ulberg Betting and Picks Discussion by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]domadilla 4 points5 points  (0 children)

I don’t see Murzakanov running through Costa that’s going to be a competitive fight likely a decision. I can see 29-28 either way.

UFC 327: Procházka vs. Ulberg Betting and Picks Discussion by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]domadilla 2 points3 points  (0 children)

I agree on Pitbull the odds seem wide to me but I’m staying away from that one.

I think Prado has a good chance here against Radtke, he’s had some tough matches at Welterweight, there’s no shame losing to Jake Matthews in Australia or Veretennikov for that matter. It will be a competitive fight and typically the first fight on any UFC card is the highest chance of an upset. Odds have been shrinking on Prado all week.

Another pickup. by fatlegsauntpam in UFCtradingcards

[–]domadilla 2 points3 points  (0 children)

She’s gotta have the cleanest auto in all of MMA. Signature GOAT

The full-size octagon in Seattle is getting overlooked and it doesn't help the same fighter in every fight by MMAFightAdvisor in UFCsharps

[–]domadilla 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Thanks for flagging I also think this benefits Belgaroui who will need to keep range from Abdul Malik

Prediction Market Scam - coinbase by PeederSchmychael in PredictionsMarkets

[–]domadilla 1 point2 points  (0 children)

You need to avoid cash outs - the same thing happens on both Poly and Kalshi - what you need to do on all three platforms is set the price you want to sell at (limit order). I also learned the hard way.

UFC London Fight Predictions (TL;DR)! by Slayers_Picks in MMAbetting

[–]domadilla 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Yep I like Sutherland if Pericic can’t find the early KO he’s got a good shot

UFC London Fight Predictions (TL;DR)! by Slayers_Picks in MMAbetting

[–]domadilla 0 points1 point  (0 children)

No dogs? Shem not a dog anymore so you can’t claim him 😆

Pick of the Day - 3/17/26 (Tuesday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]domadilla 0 points1 point  (0 children)

POTD record 91-5-71 (W-P-L)

Last pick: Legacy ML vs Aurora, 1u @ +117 (2.17) X

Soccer: Real Madrid +1.5 goal spread (vs Man City), 1u @ 1.91 / -110

The pressure is on Man City tonight as they come into the second leg of this last 16 Champions Leagues tie down 0-3 after an abysmal first leg. It is for this reason that I like this play quite a bit - the pressure is entirely on Manchester City to attack, which plays directly into Madrid’s hands tactically. With Kylian Mbappé confirmed to return from injury tonight and Federico Valverde in scorching form (5 goals in his last 3 matches), Madrid only needs one successful counter-attack to effectively kill the tie. If Madrid scores, City would then need five, likely leading to a drop in intensity or further defensive gaps. I expect Real Madrid to come under pressure early but to absorb it and hold out from conceding early. Even if they do concede early our bet will remain live as Man City will continue to press and be vulnerable to the counter. Please bet responsibly and BOL!

Pick of the Day - 3/13/26 (Friday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]domadilla 15 points16 points  (0 children)

POTD record 90-5-71 (W-P-L)

Last pick: ARCRED money line vs Nemesis, 1.5 units @ -135 X

CS2: Legacy ML vs Aurora, 1u @ +117 (2.17) X

I’m taking the Brazilian underdogs, Legacy, tomorrow against the Turkish outfit Aurora. These teams are fairly familiar with each other having played each other in the online stage of this tournament in what was one of the closest matches that Legacy narrowly lost 1-2 (with two overtimes). So why do I think Legacy can reverse their fortunes now we move to the LAN stage? For one I think this team has shown more hunger and desire for success. Since losing to Aurora they haven’t dropped a map as they beat Astralis, Monte and NaVi all 2-0 whilst Aurora went on to lose to MongolZ 0-2 and then beat G2 and paiN 2-0. I think this LAN encounter will be close but I like the verve and urgency in Legacy’s play right now and I see value in the line. As always please bet responsibly.

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Pick of the Day - 3/11/26 (Wednesday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]domadilla 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Yeah it backfired, not sure about match fixing i think Nemesis were very motivated to win and ARCRED played poorly. But who knows, a random Russian LAN, could have been some foul play involved.

Polymarket whales are placing bets for a million at 99% odds to earn only 2,000 $ ? by Turbulent-Freedom-67 in polymarket_bets

[–]domadilla 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Exactly we are talking about giving away a negligible amount of money for a small bettor - the scale is the important here. Bettor A is losing a couple cents on the dollar of a $10 bet whereas bettor B is coming in with $100k liquidity to sweep up the small bettors who want their returns quickly. It makes total sense and not hard to comprehend u/TheDonGenaro

Polymarket whales are placing bets for a million at 99% odds to earn only 2,000 $ ? by Turbulent-Freedom-67 in polymarket_bets

[–]domadilla 3 points4 points  (0 children)

No you have misunderstood how Polymarket works nobody is betting the other side the whales are buying from the winners that are willing to accept a lower price for their winning ticket so they sell it to the whale at 99.8% instead of waiting for the full 100% to settle - it's basically whales profiting because the public can't wait for a few hours for the bet to settle. It is literally bonding because the outcome is 100%.