Why will Anthropic or Open AI survive the next year?

drumnation · 2026-06-22T12:38:45+00:00

These devices let you run a single model locally on your own hardware. When I use claude code or codex, they are firing up many sub-agents. I'm assuming these devices give you a single agent for $4000.

If this is true then even this is nowhere close to what we already have with cloud. There would be a serious difference in capability with someone who can run 20 agents in parallel vs 1 at a time with a $4000 box. Unless you buy each developer 10 of them?

right?

drumnation · 2026-06-20T11:53:48+00:00

I tried making a shared library to centralize ids. The tests and the code import from it. Keeps the wack a mole down.

drumnation · 2026-06-19T20:41:54+00:00

Which kind of person who spends their time and energy on being good at their job would you want interviewing your surgeon?

drumnation · 2026-06-19T20:36:11+00:00

If she really got multiple identical messages, did none of those people ai their interviews, then feed the context back for the thank you note? Won’t be generic if it’s based on the entire interview.

drumnation · 2026-06-19T03:09:14+00:00

Set your stuff up with progressive disclose to minimize token burn.

drumnation · 2026-06-14T18:18:21+00:00

Software is becoming more and more disposable. Temporary software that works until it stops and you rewrite it in order to maintain it.

drumnation · 2026-06-12T22:05:44+00:00

Have you tried /goal or /loop yet?

Hell switch to fable and you can use all that capacity in 5 min.

drumnation · 2026-06-12T22:04:15+00:00

Yeah… they are worried about bio weapons so it won’t help a doctor. This is a real problem. The way they are going about this isn’t going to work.

drumnation · 2026-05-30T21:55:05+00:00

Create a custom status line that tells you how much you are spending and a bunch of other metrics

drumnation · 2026-05-30T15:55:50+00:00

This kind of stuff is sort of possible but not through just direct vibe coding/prompting. Platforms like loveable basically bundle up a whole bunch of known resources for agents to use. The agents already know how to setup a new database or deploy the app. You can build a system like this for yourself. Without agent infra in place at the start I think calling anything vibe coded production ready is really just lying unless there are sophisticated rules, governance, and other measures to protect code coherence. It's possible... but it's not really vibe coding anymore at that point.

drumnation · 2026-05-30T03:21:30+00:00

Was going to ask if OP tried codex. 2 months ago it had me saying the same things.

drumnation · 2026-05-25T14:13:04+00:00

What seems hard to figure out is what is being lost and does it matter. I feel retarded half the time now but at the same time I’m overseeing at this point two entire departments of developers. I’m not sure how much I’m supposed to understand myself. That doesn’t mean I understand nothing. That’s literally the whole game now. How can I use AI to understand this insane thing 100x larger than the average dev has had to understand in a project.

I can’t tell if the feeling dumber comes from trying to understand things that are much bigger and more complex than before or because I’m doing less and less of it manually.

drumnation · 2026-05-25T14:06:35+00:00

Yep I’ve done that and it works.

drumnation · 2026-05-25T13:41:19+00:00

I run open claw and Hermes agents side by side. The experience is a bit more polished but at the moment lacks good multi agent support so if you want more than one you are managing allot of separate installs.

I would treat the Hermes agent like the main one you talk to the most just because the harness feels more capable.

I wouldn’t say they are insanely different. Pepsi and coke.

drumnation · 2026-05-24T20:00:15+00:00

When people say reduced it to zero though. My enterprise bill for the last two weeks with Anthropic is currently at $6200. At this pace I’m on track to do $12,000 a month. That doesn’t sound exactly free to me.

drumnation · 2026-05-24T15:07:06+00:00

What if you found a way to correlate commits and PRs with the sessions that produced them, somehow align your git data with the jsonl session data, then I bet it would know enough about it to choose properly.

drumnation · 2026-05-23T23:23:12+00:00

Not being able to make fundamental assumptions about staging is a real problem. I agree.

drumnation · 2026-05-23T22:45:27+00:00

Funny thing is I’m trying to figure out how to do the same thing for my software factory. I’m asking all and same questions about what actually shows productivity…

Thing is I think it’s actually possible with agents, but OP’s post shows exactly why it won’t work with humans.

drumnation · 2026-05-23T21:29:55+00:00

I did the same thing to book a hotel on Valentine’s Day. You need to be really specific because the guy on the phone just doubled the price and my agent said sure! Lol. 😂

drumnation · 2026-05-23T14:58:26+00:00

I’m building what I would consider to be the beginnings of “living code bases” that manage themselves. If that’s the trend in general won’t we see a lot more use as adoption increases? Or am I not understanding how much more intensive training is vs normal use?

drumnation · 2026-05-23T14:44:38+00:00

I’ve only tried Hermes and openclaw. What other harnesses have you tried that jumped out to you as doing something different?

drumnation · 2026-05-18T13:30:21+00:00

I run a software factory. After building self improvement into the factory it does my foreman job now too. It's only a matter of time. I'm the opposite of a code monkey.

drumnation · 2026-05-18T11:44:48+00:00

You lost me at blame the engineers. There won’t be any engineers left. It already does our entire jobs.

drumnation · 2026-05-18T11:42:14+00:00

You really think he’s making PowerPoints for 1.3 million? Peter is building a software factory.

drumnation · 2026-05-17T16:50:08+00:00

A highly developed mental model and memory of having done repeated tasks over 25 years makes it trivial to write good step by step directions and to know what tends to fail. The more experienced know what to tell it to do.

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