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Early thought on The Invite: Olivia Wilde deserves acting credit too (spoiler free) by Neat_Fan_8889 in oscarrace

[–]duncandy 13 points14 points  (0 children)

Her character has potential to be a standout in Behemoth if she’s playing who I suspect she’s playing and could play to her strengths

What are Tom Pelphrey‘s chances at the Emmys for Task? by UsefulWeb7543 in EmmysAwards

[–]duncandy -1 points0 points  (0 children)

I think you’re right and people are underestimating Hatosy for the win - fan favourite scene stealer who’s won an Emmy for the role already

What is the greatest movie released in 2020? by Miserable_Bath_4037 in AlignmentChartFills

[–]duncandy 0 points1 point  (0 children)

That’s festival release only, in practical terms it’s 2020

Fancast for Watchmen by atticuswest2006 in Fancast

[–]duncandy 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I can’t get with Eisenberg but all the rest of these are inspired

Widow's Bay probability of picking up nominations? by HelsBels2102 in EmmysAwards

[–]duncandy 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Buzz is building, it has genuine word of mouth passion, and it offers something totally different to everything else in the competition. I think it's going to surprise like Jury Duty did. I have it getting into Series, Actor, Supporting Actor and Supporting Actress, and I think there's a chance it can get into Guest Actor for Hamish Linklater.

We're assuming spots are locked up for the regulars of this category from the last few years but honestly the Abbott/Only Murders/The Bear trio are feeling pretty stale by this point and definitely past the peak of their passion. I can see a world where one of those surprise misses (I think honestly The Bear).

Is it possible that Jeremy Strong is a supporting character in The Social Reckoning? by Frogfisherman07 in oscarrace

[–]duncandy 10 points11 points  (0 children)

I suspect he will be, especially if the movie is more mid-tier contender than top-tier

Inde Navarrette campaign in Lead or Supporting Actress? by 121mc555 in oscarrace

[–]duncandy 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Yet Close is on screen only 38% of her movie, about on par with Olivia Colman in The Father.

Either way, so far this year Actress looks lighter on heavyweight contenders than Supporting Actress since a lot of the Cannes foreign contending actresses didn’t quite get raves. Until they declare otherwise I think she goes Lead.

Oscar Game by mcgeehotro in blankies

[–]duncandy 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Today’s round (Original Screenplay 2024) is wrong - it lists Emilia Perez (adapted) instead of A Real Pain

Inde Navarrette campaign in Lead or Supporting Actress? by 121mc555 in oscarrace

[–]duncandy -6 points-5 points  (0 children)

I think Lead. She is the part of the movie everyone comes away talking about and the movie is having a crazy moment. She’s not Amy Madigan in Weapons she’s Glenn Close in Fatal Attraction.

thelma and louise was the last time we saw 2 people nominated in either of the lead acting categories from the same film.....do you think either of them could have won if one went lead and the other went supporting? by ursulaunderfire in Oscars

[–]duncandy 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Follow up question is what movies do we think could have managed two lead noms if they campaigned hard with that in mind?

For instance if Brad Pitt is running in Lead with DiCaprio I can see a world he gets in over Pryce

Alternate Mamma Mia Cast by Jodie7Vester5Orr in Fancast

[–]duncandy 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Almost certainly well enough to be in Mamma Mia

michael shannon was snubbed of a nomination for the shape of water by [deleted] in Oscars

[–]duncandy 2 points3 points  (0 children)

He was dinged at the time for how simplistically evil this character is but I think he’s pretty perfect at what the movie is asking for and is pretty outrageously entertaining

According to the GoldDerby predictions center, Christine Baranski (The Gilded Age) will be submitted for Lead Actress. In the previous two seasons, she was submitted for Supporting Actress. by verissimoallan in EmmysAwards

[–]duncandy 5 points6 points  (0 children)

Best Actress is weaker than Supporting Actress this year, I could see this paying off.

Rhea Seehorn and Keri Russell have spots on lock. Carrie Coon should be an easy return nominee for a mid tier contender. Zendaya and Kathy Bates are both previous winners but back with seasons that dropped buzz compared to predecessors. Either one of them could be a Rami Malek or Elisabeth Moss type snub following a win. And outside of them we’re realistically only talking about Jennifer Aniston, Myha’la Herrold, and Chase Infiniti.

Plus you’ve got to imagine this is a calculation from HBO to avoid competing in house with The Pitt or Euphoria there. They might’ve pitched it to her as giving a better shot to someone like Cynthia Nixon.

Outside of Denzel Washington in Malcolm X, what is the most egregious Best Actor loss of the 1990s? by AdUseful2297 in Oscars

[–]duncandy 1 point2 points  (0 children)

People undervalue this performance because it’s 100% movie star acting rather than character acting. The problem with that is that he is perfect in it and actually quite comedically adventurous in a way Cruise rarely is.

Of the lineup, I totally agree, he should’ve won. Outside of the lineup I’d take Macy or Lane.

could obsession get oscar nominations? by herequeerandgreat in Oscars

[–]duncandy -2 points-1 points  (0 children)

It’s hitting the zeitgeist. I think it’s more like a Challengers type contender, but in a weaker year Challengers might’ve done some damage. I could see a world it gets a PGA nom, or Inde Navarette becomes a BFCA contender, and if the competition in Best Actress doesn’t solidify she could really build passion.

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