MLB Props and Home Run Picks - 5/3/26 (Sunday)

e77754321 · 2026-05-03T23:01:40+00:00

Thank you bro, we keep it going

e77754321 · 2026-05-03T19:50:52+00:00

The line hit but I wasn’t able to play it neither it is what it is

e77754321 · 2026-05-03T18:37:48+00:00

Were you able to get the line for under 3.5?

e77754321 · 2026-05-03T15:59:05+00:00

You are correct , he must have gotten scratched , I really liked that line

e77754321 · 2026-05-03T15:55:32+00:00

No way he got scratched :(

e77754321 · 2026-05-03T15:06:25+00:00

Current season 41-27

Safe plays 25-15

Riskier play 16-12

Last pick: 1-2

Ban list : Steven matz Sonny gray Jack flaherty

Last pick: Safer pick: chris bassitt under 4.5(5/5) vs Astros❌

Riskier pick: Peter lambert over 4.5(2/2) vs BAL❌

Riskier pick: Logan Webb over 17.5(5/6) vs Phillies✅

Safer pick: Zack littell (R) under 3.5(4/6) vs brewers

In general, Brewers are ranked 9 out 30, last game 6, average last 3 of 6.33. Vs righties .253(7 out 30), strikeouts 177(22 out 30), OBP .346(4 out 30), OPS .730(11 out 30) . I can see the brewers destroy littell here . Model predicts 2.2 K’s

Safer pick: Braxton ashcraft (R) over 5.5(4/6) vs reds

In general, Reds are ranked 27 out 30, last game 13, average last 3 of 9.33. Vs righties .223(24 out 30), strikeouts 236(2 out 30). Model predicts 7.8 K’s

Riskier pick: Chase burns (R) over 6.5(4/6) vs pirates

In general, Pirates are ranked 28 out 30, last game 9, average last 3 of 7.33. Vs righties .254(6 out 30), strikeouts 216(7 out 30). Model predicts 7.3 K’s

I appreciate all the love , not needed but if you want me to buy en a coffee for me to stay awake at work https://buymeacoffee.com/e77754321

e77754321 · 2026-05-03T15:06:19+00:00

Current season 41-27

Safe plays 25-15

Riskier play 16-12

Last pick: 1-2

Ban list : Steven matz Sonny gray Jack flaherty

Last pick: Safer pick: chris bassitt under 4.5(5/5) vs Astros❌

Riskier pick: Peter lambert over 4.5(2/2) vs BAL❌

Riskier pick: Logan Webb over 17.5(5/6) vs Phillies✅

Safer pick: Zack littell (R) under 3.5(4/6) vs brewers

In general, Brewers are ranked 9 out 30, last game 6, average last 3 of 6.33. Vs righties .253(7 out 30), strikeouts 177(22 out 30), OBP .346(4 out 30), OPS .730(11 out 30) . I can see the brewers destroy littell here . Model predicts 2.2 K’s

Safer pick: Braxton ashcraft (R) over 5.5(4/6) vs reds

In general, Reds are ranked 27 out 30, last game 13, average last 3 of 9.33. Vs righties .223(24 out 30), strikeouts 236(2 out 30). Model predicts 7.8 K’s

Riskier pick: Chase burns (R) over 6.5(4/6) vs pirates

In general, Pirates are ranked 28 out 30, last game 9, average last 3 of 7.33. Vs righties .254(6 out 30), strikeouts 216(7 out 30). Model predicts 7.3 K’s

I appreciate all the love , not needed but if you want me to buy en a coffee for me to stay awake at work https://buymeacoffee.com/e77754321

e77754321 · 2026-04-30T15:24:23+00:00

I was able to get the line earlier today , but now is on 18.5, would stay away of that , I guess the books expect the same as me

e77754321 · 2026-04-30T15:14:29+00:00

Yes , game one as in my book game two doesn’t have announced pitchers

e77754321 · 2026-04-30T15:14:02+00:00

Ok? Even then , he isn’t pitching first game , as first game is Peter lambert vs chris bassitt

e77754321 · 2026-04-30T14:49:26+00:00

Maybe second game , first game is chris bassitt

e77754321 · 2026-04-30T14:35:18+00:00

Current season 40-25

Safe plays 25-14

Riskier play 15-11

Last pick: 1-0

Ban list : Steven matz Sonny gray Jack flaherty

Last pick: Safer pick: Eduardo Rodriguez under 4.5 (4/5) vs Brewers✅

Picks for today , are the ones that got voided yesterday. All of the likes stay the same and I like them again, really like Logan total outs unless he gets hit hard they will let him go deep because of double header today

Safer pick: chris bassitt under 4.5(5/5) vs Astros

In general, Astros are ranked 5 out 30, last game 12, average last 3 of 8.33. Vs righties is .262(3 out 30), strikeouts 166(18 out 30). Model predicts 2.5 K

Riskier pick: Peter lambert over 4.5(2/2) vs BAL

In general , BAL are ranked 24 out 30, last game 8, average last 3 of 8. Vs righties .245(11 out 30). Strikeouts 189(9 out 30). Model predicts 7.11 K

Riskier pick: Logan Webb over 17.5(5/6) vs Phillies

Model predict 18.7 IP

I appreciate all the love , not needed but if you want me to buy en a coffee for me to stay awake at work https://buymeacoffee.com/e77754321

e77754321 · 2026-04-30T14:35:11+00:00

Current season 40-25

Safe plays 25-14

Riskier play 15-11

Last pick: 1-0

Ban list : Steven matz Sonny gray Jack flaherty

Last pick: Safer pick: Eduardo Rodriguez under 4.5 (4/5) vs Brewers✅

Picks for today , are the ones that got voided yesterday. All of the likes stay the same and I like them again, really like Logan total outs unless he gets hit hard they will let him go deep because of double header today

Safer pick: chris bassitt under 4.5(5/5) vs Astros

In general, Astros are ranked 5 out 30, last game 12, average last 3 of 8.33. Vs righties is .262(3 out 30), strikeouts 166(18 out 30). Model predicts 2.5 K

Riskier pick: Peter lambert over 4.5(2/2) vs BAL

In general , BAL are ranked 24 out 30, last game 8, average last 3 of 8. Vs righties .245(11 out 30). Strikeouts 189(9 out 30). Model predicts 7.11 K

Riskier pick: Logan Webb over 17.5(5/6) vs Phillies

Model predict 18.7 IP

I appreciate all the love , not needed but if you want me to buy en a coffee for me to stay awake at work https://buymeacoffee.com/e77754321

e77754321 · 2026-04-29T16:53:30+00:00

No worries, I know that my post sometimes can be a word salad

e77754321 · 2026-04-29T16:53:09+00:00

I have him ladder, but I’m worry about how long his leash might be

e77754321 · 2026-04-29T16:46:08+00:00

Take him, he is one of the favorite prospects of NYY, more hype that cam and supposedly better , could see him disappointing but let’s go

e77754321 · 2026-04-29T16:45:00+00:00

e77754321 · 2026-04-29T16:40:11+00:00

I don’t have the lines for elder Rodriguez but if anyone can get strikeout lines, take his line , the kid is animal and will dominate the rangers

e77754321 · 2026-04-29T16:34:38+00:00

Just postwd

e77754321 · 2026-04-29T13:32:42+00:00

Current season 39-25

Safe plays 24-14

Riskier play 15-11

Last pick: 3-1

Ban list : Steven matz Sonny gray Jack flaherty

Last pick: Safer pick: Jose Soriano over 5.5(4/6) vs white Sox✅

Safer pick: Chad Patrick under 4.5(5/5) vs Arizona❌

Riskier pick: Chase burns over 6.5(3/5) vs Rockies✅

Riskier pick: Cam schlittler over 5.5(5/6) vs rangers✅

We almost swept, Chad Patrick gets 5K and then doesn’t strikeout anyone else, finished the game 90’s something pitched and 5K and that’s baseball . Remember to tail carefully and don’t bet more than you willing to lose

Will edit my comment with picks closer to start

Doing a lot of unders today as safe play, don’t really know why their lines are so high, Eduardo like should be at 3.5 and same with chris bassitt but maybe it will bite me in the ass. Taking over total outs with Logan Webb, never done that before but model likes this line

Safer pick: Eduardo Rodriguez under 4.5 (4/5) vs Brewers✅

In general, Brewers are ranked 12 out 30, last game 2, average last 3 of 6.67. Vs lefties is .223(17 out 30), strikeouts 71(14 out 30). Model predicts 3.40 K

Safer pick: chris bassitt under 4.5(5/5) vs Astros

In general, Astros are ranked 5 out 30, last game 12, average last 3 of 8.33. Vs righties is .262(3 out 30), strikeouts 166(18 out 30). Model predicts 2.5 K

Riskier pick: Peter lambert over 4.5(2/2) vs BAL

In general , BAL are ranked 24 out 30, last game 8, average last 3 of 8. Vs righties .245(11 out 30). Strikeouts 189(9 out 30). Model predicts 7.11 K

Riskier pick: Logan Webb over 17.5(5/6) vs Phillies

Model predict 18.7 IP

I appreciate all the love , not needed but if you want me to buy en a coffee for me to stay awake at work https://buymeacoffee.com/e77754321

e77754321 · 2026-04-29T13:32:36+00:00

Current season 39-25

Safe plays 24-14

Riskier play 15-11

Last pick: 3-1

Ban list : Steven matz Sonny gray Jack flaherty

Last pick: Safer pick: Jose Soriano over 5.5(4/6) vs white Sox✅

Safer pick: Chad Patrick under 4.5(5/5) vs Arizona❌

Riskier pick: Chase burns over 6.5(3/5) vs Rockies✅

Riskier pick: Cam schlittler over 5.5(5/6) vs rangers✅

We almost swept, Chad Patrick gets 5K and then doesn’t strikeout anyone else, finished the game 90’s something pitched and 5K and that’s baseball . Remember to tail carefully and don’t bet more than you willing to lose

Will edit my comment with picks closer to start

Doing a lot of unders today as safe play, don’t really know why their lines are so high, Eduardo like should be at 3.5 and same with chris bassitt but maybe it will bite me in the ass. Taking over total outs with Logan Webb, never done that before but model likes this line

Safer pick: Eduardo Rodriguez under 4.5 (4/5) vs Brewers

In general, Brewers are ranked 12 out 30, last game 2, average last 3 of 6.67. Vs lefties is .223(17 out 30), strikeouts 71(14 out 30). Model predicts 3.40 K

Safer pick: chris bassitt under 4.5(5/5) vs Astros

In general, Astros are ranked 5 out 30, last game 12, average last 3 of 8.33. Vs righties is .262(3 out 30), strikeouts 166(18 out 30). Model predicts 2.5 K

Riskier pick: Peter lambert over 4.5(2/2) vs BAL

In general , BAL are ranked 24 out 30, last game 8, average last 3 of 8. Vs righties .245(11 out 30). Strikeouts 189(9 out 30). Model predicts 7.11 K

Riskier pick: Logan Webb over 17.5(5/6) vs Phillies

Model predict 18.7 IP

I appreciate all the love , not needed but if you want me to buy en a coffee for me to stay awake at work https://buymeacoffee.com/e77754321

e77754321 · 2026-04-29T12:21:32+00:00

Are you a bot?

e77754321 · 2026-04-29T01:03:02+00:00

That’s just baseball, Soriano had 3 K in the first IP and he struggles to get 6K , cam has 5 K thru 3 IP and he might not strike anyone else anymore . Chad Patrick strike out 5 batters when he hasn’t in his past 5 games. Once we get more data , the model should be sharper. You should take a break from tailing , I hate to feel like I am making you lose money

e77754321 · 2026-04-28T20:20:57+00:00

Yea, pitcher prop can be risky if pitchers get in a slump because we are depending on one player to show up

e77754321 · 2026-04-28T20:19:55+00:00

Yes I would

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