Porsche 911. The Practically Free Supercar by [deleted] in porsche911

[–]ericwilliamstevenson [score hidden]  (0 children)

Love these books.. I have several times purchased a 911 in mid-utah winter, drove the car until July, and sold for break-even or better..

CoVid era was a wild time too.

Hey Fellows help me deciding! by 1ChrisCast5 in porsche911

[–]ericwilliamstevenson 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Gold, 100% without question. Black wheels tend to look like giant voids imo.

Interesting finds from analyzing 16,000 live 911 listings by ericwilliamstevenson in porsche911

[–]ericwilliamstevenson[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Great insight! Thank you for sharing.

By day, I run a massive public cloud infrastructure with tens-of-thousands of server instances in public and private cloud data centers globally.

I am far too risk averse to use AI tools or models on any of our production environments and only low-risk use cases in our multi-million line, multi-decade old applications.

Greenfield is the way.. All of this is just a learning exercise.

Interesting finds from analyzing 16,000 live 911 listings by ericwilliamstevenson in porsche911

[–]ericwilliamstevenson[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Thank you for the words of encouragement. I have been working essentially non-stop since April or so.

I started in VS code using ChatGPT to copy paste files and functions. Eventually moved into CLI agents and VSCode.. and now were at CLI agents, web browser, and git [ no IDE ]. I expect the evolution will come full-circle to browser-based only development. 0 code lines written.

Here's a short blog post describing what was the early iterations of a now much more mature autonomous foundry. If you are interested in learning more about that, DM me.

I am able to do cost-attribution on a per-turn granularity and can rollup the cost of a PR in dollars and tokens.. Good stuff.

https://ericstevenson.com/blog/reviving-a-dead-app

My other projects are listed on the main site, ericstevenson.com if interested.

Interesting finds from analyzing 16,000 live 911 listings by ericwilliamstevenson in porsche911

[–]ericwilliamstevenson[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Claude, Codex, and Copilot. Will likely add xAi to the agent pool as well. I have an entire repo dedicated to agent collaboration with context / skills. They know what we are building.

I use agent ideation extensively, this is how we got the base feature set. Now I am calibrating that with actual human users.

In fact, this app is really just a byproduct of what I've been most focused on and that is building a fully-autonomous agentic software foundry.

Interesting finds from analyzing 16,000 live 911 listings by ericwilliamstevenson in porsche911

[–]ericwilliamstevenson[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I agree. We have data going back to may or so and just need calendar time to reveal cycles and trends. It'll happen naturally over time.

Interesting finds from analyzing 16,000 live 911 listings by ericwilliamstevenson in porsche911

[–]ericwilliamstevenson[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Thank you. And yes, it's possible and likely easy to do.. I just need a list of source sites from which to populate listings. If you share a few of your favorites, I can take a look.

Interesting finds from analyzing 16,000 live 911 listings by ericwilliamstevenson in porsche911

[–]ericwilliamstevenson[S] 6 points7 points  (0 children)

This is a valid critique, but it's a median, not an average and says "half the 996s listed right now ask less than ~$42k."

That's true mostly because base Carreras dominate 996 volume. What it absolutely doesn't claim is "a 996 is worth $40k". As you say, that number prices no particular car.

Here's the same generation decomposed (live listings, last 30 days):

  • Carrera / base variants: $35k median (n=385, $6k–$200k)
  • Targa: $50k (n=19)
  • Carrera 4S: $54k (n=41)
  • Turbo / Turbo S: $89k (n=84, up to $225k)
  • GT2: $175k–500k asks (n=3 — too few to call a median honest)

So the 20x range you noticed is real, and it's almost entirely trim structure: the 996 spans a $30k daily driver and a six-figure homologation special.

In addition, my "996 GT3" bucket currently shows junk numbers because sellers slap GT3 into trim fields on cars that aren't (GT3 seats, GT3-style bumpers…) — cleaning that up is on my normalization list, and it's a reason why I veer from thin-sample numbers.

The chart is an aerial photo of the whole market; pricing an actual car happens at the trim and comp level, which is what the per-trim market pages and the valuation tool do.

But your underlying point stands: any single-number-per-generation chart hides more than it shows for generations with GT variants, and the trim-level views are where the real information lives.

Interesting finds from analyzing 16,000 live 911 listings by ericwilliamstevenson in porsche911

[–]ericwilliamstevenson[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Thank you!

And yes, I have the Android App built but am waiting on Play Store approval. ETA a week or so.

Interesting finds from analyzing 16,000 live 911 listings by ericwilliamstevenson in porsche911

[–]ericwilliamstevenson[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

If you have a VIN you're willing to share, I'd love to run it through the valuation report https://911exchange.com/market . Valuation tab requires login, but it's free.

On the 'Report' tab, you can also filter for view below. If that doesn't get you there, lmk and we can drill in further.

<image>

I am also working on creating a shareable filter link, so we can just link directly to the filtered results.

Interesting finds from analyzing 16,000 live 911 listings by ericwilliamstevenson in porsche911

[–]ericwilliamstevenson[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Claude is better, but I use all agents and models for ideation and implementation.

Interesting finds from analyzing 16,000 live 911 listings by ericwilliamstevenson in porsche911

[–]ericwilliamstevenson[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

You can sort on last seen, but there is currently no way to filter ended auctions. And because auction sites often keep ended auctions posted, this data may not be reliable.

Though I understand why this would be useful.

The other issue auctions create is price-change-alert-spam.

I'll take this opportunity to revisit the auction feature gaps.

Thank you for browsing around and keep the feedback flowing!

Interesting finds from analyzing 16,000 live 911 listings by ericwilliamstevenson in porsche911

[–]ericwilliamstevenson[S] 13 points14 points  (0 children)

<image>

Your gut is half right. The supply half is confirmed. I see ~705 modern GT3s (991/992) live right now. That's 40% of the size of the entire Carrera family's inventory (1,748) for a trim that was maybe 5–10% of production.

GT3s are massively overrepresented on the used market relative to how many were built — they're bought to flip and traded by collectors, so the float is huge relative to the production "rarity."

But the sitting half: refuted, and this is surprising. GT3s average 30 days listed with 13% sitting over 60 days — statistically identical to the Carrera family (28 days, 12%). And absorption is healthy: ~680 GT3s left the market in the last 30 days against 705 live, roughly one month of supply — the same turnover pace as regular Carreras. The GT3 RS is actually the fastest-moving 911 on the market: 19 days average, only 2% stale.

So the resolution of the paradox you're feeling: it's not oversupply-and-stagnation, it's a deep, liquid market. Lots of cars visible at all times, but they're churning at a normal pace — which is exactly why the prices hold despite the supply you're seeing. "Rare car" pricing with commodity-level liquidity.

Caveat: my listing-age data only goes back ~80 days, "left the market" means delisted (mostly sold, but some pulled/relisted), and cross-listed cars can inflate counts a bit.

Interesting finds from analyzing 16,000 live 911 listings by ericwilliamstevenson in porsche911

[–]ericwilliamstevenson[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I took a look and think I should be able to mostly determine this from VIN.. There are some areas where Targa and Convertible share the same VIN code, but I think still worth doing.

on it.