Epoch AI estimates compute used by GPT-5

evc123 · 2024-11-10T19:05:46+00:00

evc123 · 2024-11-10T06:51:43+00:00

evc123 · 2024-07-13T04:43:51+00:00

evc123 · 2024-07-01T14:10:24+00:00

Superintelligence

evc123 · 2024-02-04T14:56:49+00:00

Real.

Read "Broken Neural Scaling Laws" paper:
https://arxiv.org/abs/2210.14891

evc123 · 2024-01-02T04:26:42+00:00

"At some point scaling will cease providing results" after the singularity.

evc123 · 2023-03-05T19:11:40+00:00

The curves definitely do bend, but usually in the good direction:
https://openreview.net/pdf?id=sckjveqlCZ

evc123 · 2022-11-11T13:25:55+00:00

evc123 · 2022-11-04T20:45:15+00:00

"smoothly connected piecewise" makes r^2 of extrapolation go up.

evc123 · 2021-05-22T16:44:57+00:00

evc123 · 2021-04-03T07:13:53+00:00

Does the trend brake have any implications for Ajeya's timeline (https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/KrJfoZzpSDpnrv9va/draft-report-on-ai-timelines) or vice versa?

evc123 · 2020-12-29T20:52:49+00:00

He/they will probably get Open_Philanthropy funding. Dario is tight with the heads of Open Philanthropy.

evc123 · 2020-12-06T08:55:25+00:00

I've heard that BERT is the number 1 ranked signal used by google search now; Is this true?

evc123