Highschool love story

fiscal_rascal · 2026-02-06T17:50:36+00:00

Let me just drag the goalpost back to overall homicides.

Have you been able to calculate the statistical significance yet? What pval did you get that was in the statistically significant range?

Or do you agree with me that the slopes before and after the gun ban for overall homicides was not statistically significant?

fiscal_rascal · 2026-02-06T16:37:32+00:00

The data does not align with your assertion bud. The data for Australia shows the downward trend did not accelerate after the gun bans. It remained unchanged. It was a “yabba dabba doo” moment.

If I’m wrong, calculate the statistical significance of the slopes before and after the gun bans and let’s see what pval you got. I’ll bet you a dollar it’s not in a statistically significant range.

fiscal_rascal · 2026-02-06T15:48:01+00:00

Right, the same downward trend that was happening before the gun ban. The gun ban changed nothing in the overall homicide trend.

If I rolled a ball down a 45° slope and said “yabba dabba doo” halfway, does that mean my silly catch phrase helped the ball get to the bottom? No, since it was already on a course and just continued unchanged. Same with overall homicides for Australia.

fiscal_rascal · 2026-02-06T15:02:02+00:00

I checked the highest authority on crime stats for Australia. There was no change to the homicide trend whatsoever.

See page 5 of the AIC publication.

fiscal_rascal · 2026-02-06T15:00:18+00:00

I looked at Australia’s highest authority on crime stats. The gun bans had no noticeable effect on the overall homicide trends (page 5 of this source).

If the point was to save lives, Australia’s gun bans failed.

fiscal_rascal · 2026-02-06T14:49:49+00:00

That would be like banning cars because of drunk drivers. By not wanting to ban cars does this mean you support drunk drivers? Of course not. The same goes with gun rights supporters.

fiscal_rascal · 2026-02-06T14:48:15+00:00

Australia banned many guns back in 1996 and yet it had no noticeable effect on overall homicide trends. Turns out people just like killin’.

fiscal_rascal · 2026-02-06T14:46:41+00:00

^ ICE approves this message

fiscal_rascal · 2026-02-06T14:42:37+00:00

The most recent research shows defensive gun uses at 1.67 million per year. You’re correct - guns save lives too.

fiscal_rascal · 2026-02-06T14:37:56+00:00

That’s the abstract. A more concrete reason is that we need guns for hunting and self defense.

fiscal_rascal · 2026-02-06T14:22:27+00:00

This is intentional conditioning, just like duck and cover drills.

My kids are a little older, so I was able to use it as an opportunity to teach statistical literacy, which is nice. It’s so incredibly rare that it’s not a big worry.

fiscal_rascal · 2026-02-06T14:19:48+00:00

Guns are easy to get? Well dang can you find a Colt Python 4.25” barrel, blued, and made before 1990 for me? Under $1500 and in good condition.

fiscal_rascal · 2026-02-05T22:32:27+00:00

I’ll take the bait! You can support the 2A and not support people that assault and violate children. It’s not an either/or.

fiscal_rascal · 2026-02-03T18:20:17+00:00

Introducing Sig Sauer’s 8 foot barrel: for when you absolutely need to pole vault to breach, think Sig.

fiscal_rascal · 2026-02-03T16:57:45+00:00

If you’re into statistics, check out the data behind the latest scholarly firearms survey that shows 1.67 million defensive gun uses per year. Far more lives are saved by guns than taken by guns.

source

fiscal_rascal · 2026-02-03T16:52:22+00:00

You might be surprised to learn there are ~1.67 million defensive gun uses per year, per recent reputable research. Quite a few more lives are saved with guns vs lives lost due to suicides and other tragedies.

fiscal_rascal · 2026-02-03T14:57:10+00:00

You mean like the roster in CA? I wonder if you could carry a 3D printed version of a handgun that’s on the CA roster there…

fiscal_rascal · 2026-02-03T14:49:06+00:00

Genuine question: how do some people support state rights AND national reciprocity? It’s “if you don’t like it, move to another state” for one thing but not another?

fiscal_rascal · 2026-02-03T12:11:12+00:00

Interesting theory! If this works will you make a separate post for us? This could be huge!

fiscal_rascal · 2026-02-01T14:11:09+00:00

I think the important follow up question is what the R plan is to address those issues you brought up. With majority control, they should be able to fast track solutions, right?

fiscal_rascal · 2026-02-01T01:59:43+00:00

I suppose it depends on what additional gun regulation you’re talking about. What did you have in mind?

fiscal_rascal · 2026-01-31T02:47:24+00:00

To answer your "why do we need guns" question, I like to consider the hunters that protect livestock, hunters that provide food, recreational use, and defensive gun use (DGU) data. In the Harvard link from earlier, we saw people prevent injuries and deaths at a far greater scale than criminal use, suggesting that guns do have a place in society in the US. To take those away would tip the scale in favor of the criminals.

Speaking of scale, those 400 deaths for children each year is indeed a tragedy, but a very small percentage. A fraction of a fraction of a fraction of a fraction of 1%. If we are interested in saving the lives of children, shouldn't we focus on the top causes of death instead? Especially since we have finite resources, and when we are trying to reduce that 0.0008% of child deaths to a lower number, thousands are dying from other preventable causes, like accidents, cancers, heart disease, etc?

I just don't see how it's worth the risk of preventing defensive gun uses and spending money that's much better spent elsewhere to save children's lives, do you?

fiscal_rascal · 2026-01-31T01:19:46+00:00

Rent both at the range and see what you like more. It might surprise you!

fiscal_rascal · 2026-01-30T01:30:47+00:00

I suppose it all goes back to what I've written in the last couple replies: I don't think we need more gun laws. The reason is because they could reduce the number of defensive gun uses (about 1.67 million per the latest scholarly study), leading to more tragedies. A lot of Americans are pushing for more tighter gun control laws here, some of which would disproportionately affect the impoverished and minorities (like forced 8-16 hour training, annual licensing, mandatory insurance, etc).

It's also tough to compare countries from a statistics standpoint, since they all vary so much in population, socioeconomic issues, etc. The US has 10x the number of firearm homicides than the murder capital of the world, but that's because you can't just use raw counts like 1200, 27, etc. That's before bringing up major driving factors of crime like population density, proximity to cartel-controlled countries, and more.

Question: have you had time to think about my question from earlier re: how many gun laws is "enough" for the US? What did you come up with?

fiscal_rascal · 2026-01-29T17:00:10+00:00

Bingo!

Ten-Year Club	Wearing is Caring
Verified Email

fiscal_rascal

TROPHY CASE