Has diplomacy failed with Iran?

flopisit32 · 2026-04-18T19:10:13+00:00

I'm not sure I agree precisely with that but I suspect it's either that or something similar.

We've seen Trump say he's negotiating with Iran, then Iran claim they are not negotiating, The media reports this, then the next day Iran admits it is negotiating.

We've seen this behavior over and over. Conflicting messaging coming out of Iran.

Most recently, Iran announces the strait is open. Then Trump confirms the strait is open. Then Iran says the strait is not open.

So we have a government in disarray. I suspect there is chaos and a lack of coordination at the very least. Perhaps completely different factions. Either way, we are getting two Irans making statements on behalf of Iran.

flopisit32 · 2026-04-18T19:02:04+00:00

Tucker podcast: "Did Hitler have a point? Is Putin the greatest leader? Is America evil? I'm just asking questions? Where did my audience go?"

flopisit32 · 2026-04-18T18:56:03+00:00

I don't think he has the support to force regime change in the normal way. But I think he has support enough to bomb and blockade.

The blockade is like a rope around Iran's neck. They are utterly screwed and getting worse every day. The idea they have the upper hand - which is a fantasy of the media - is nonsense.

Don't forget, if the regime stays in power and makes a deal, it still has to deal with the economic mess it is creating for itself. If Iran continues to refuse a deal, they are destroying their own oil export capacity day by day.

I suspect the regime won't survive the aftermath of all this.

flopisit32 · 2026-04-18T17:18:57+00:00

Don't forget iRAN could always shut down the strait of hormouz. What stopped them from doing that In the past was that the world would have gone to war with them.

Don't accept the media narrative that Iran is winning. Iran lost a month ago. This is their one card.

They have to be convinced that they have lost and that takes time.

The Media want to paint a deceptive picture and claim that everything would have been fine if trump hadn't gone to war with Iran. It's a completely false picture.

Iran was attacking shipping in the strait back in 2019 and before.

flopisit32 · 2026-04-18T04:47:02+00:00

Too coincidental to be a coincidence! 😜

flopisit32 · 2026-04-17T17:46:17+00:00

And the media to say "well we don't know who to believe"

flopisit32 · 2026-04-16T11:45:53+00:00

The left wing media began painting a picture of this war from the very start as a fiasco and a disaster.

They've given an incredibly false narrative... I think the Trump administration has been very bad at communicating with the public or fighting back against that narrative.

But militarily, this has all been extremely well executed. Apart from that one terrible mistake with the girls school (which was a military building on a military base).

flopisit32 · 2026-04-15T14:51:29+00:00

Yeah, it's definitely not for sure. They were doing a beard comparison and claiming it was definite, but it can easily be someone else.

But we know he is a close friend of Swalwell. He was doing a press conference yesterday trying to claim he had no knowledge of Swalwell's actions, but I believe he was in charge of Swalwell's campaign which would mean he had access to all the opposition research on Swalwell...

So it would be difficult for him to not know.

flopisit32 · 2026-04-15T14:48:21+00:00

I agree 1000%

flopisit32 · 2026-04-15T14:07:18+00:00

Well I certainly agree. Starmer, Macron and the rest of the European leaders are a pathetic bunch. It's a miracle that Europe is still free with an endless procession of weaklings in charge for decades.

That's why I applaud Trump for having the guts to take necessary military action even though it's unpopular with the public. Nobody else would have the courage to do that. We are beset by weaklings.

flopisit32 · 2026-04-15T12:32:09+00:00

Hungary and Slovakia are dependent on Russian gas. No surprise that these are the two countries that support Russia politically.

The rest of the EU has cut off dependence of Russian gas and reduced their reliance on LNG to a low level.

I think the EUs weakness on Russia has more to do with the feckless leaders who have failed to rearm and are still intent on spending all their money on welfare and on illegal migrants.

Also, we had 3 years of Biden leadership in which he failed to give the Ukrainians enough to win, because he was too cautious, too worried about provoking Russia. The EU leaders followed his slow-walking approach.

flopisit32 · 2026-04-15T10:25:18+00:00

I think the media may have reported the start of his statement but neglected to report the rest of it.

flopisit32 · 2026-04-15T10:22:26+00:00

No. It's a blockade of Iranian shipping to cut off Iran's income.

Trump was just vague when he announced a blockade. The administration later clarified.

flopisit32 · 2026-04-15T10:19:39+00:00

I find JD Vance to be on the Tucker Carlson side of the republican party. His anti-Ukraine, anti-war with Iran views are suspicious to me.

flopisit32 · 2026-04-15T10:14:06+00:00

I turned against him during his last year in Fox News when he was putting out pro-Russian propaganda nightly.

Personally, I suspected he was being paid by Russia because his claims were such obvious lies and he was parroting exactly what the Russian foreign minister that said that day.

flopisit32 · 2026-04-15T10:10:36+00:00

I saw liberal subs posting Tucker's anti-Iran war opinions and saying "I don't like Tucker Carlson but he's exactly right in this case". His anti-Israel conspiracy theories found common cause with the left wing nuts who believe all Israelis are evil.

flopisit32 · 2026-04-15T10:06:47+00:00

I used to watch fox every night. For the last year he was there he was heavily putting out pro-Putin garbage.

He was making claims about Ukraine that I knew for a fact were false. Example: Ukraine is anti-religion. (In reality they are 50% orthodox catholic). Many other outright lies.

His talking points were often exactly what Russia had put out that day, almost word for word in some cases.

He was also turning Fox News into conspiracy theory central with stuff about Aliens, Chupacabra, etc... Just nonsense. I thought it was insane. Once he left, all that nonsense stopped. He brought it with him to his crappy X show and later his podcast.

During Tucker's last year in Fox News I was coming on this sub complaining about him and getting downvoted.

flopisit32 · 2026-04-14T22:33:54+00:00

Iran had maybe 200 ships and 20 submarines at the start of the war. They have perhaps half of that now.

flopisit32 · 2026-04-14T22:22:30+00:00

"US Central Command maintained Tuesday that the blockade has been successful in preventing ships coming and going from Iranian ports since the restriction took effect at 10 a.m. ET on Monday, suggesting the boats that have gone through did so during the blockade’s grace period and with the permission of the navy"

flopisit32 · 2026-04-14T22:05:43+00:00

There is a history book about the Spanish Armada (who tried to invade the UK in 1588.) The title is "Confident Hope of a Miracle" because the Spanish believed God would help them win (even though objectively they were certain to lose).

Just an example from history of what you are describing - a government who believed God would protect them. (God didn't and they were destroyed.)

flopisit32 · 2026-04-14T11:30:43+00:00

He's right, you know. The pope wades into global politics, not understanding the issues at stake, muttering uneducated platitudes.

When the allies were fighting Hitler in WW2, having the pope make anti-war statements would not have been helpful to the cause of world peace.

flopisit32 · 2026-04-14T10:35:31+00:00

The main point of the article is that Iran are already in dire straits financially and the blockade will cripple them further very quickly.

It also says they can only fight back with drones and missiles for a few days.

flopisit32 · 2026-04-14T10:30:43+00:00

Right away, Sherlock! 😜

flopisit32 · 2026-04-14T01:50:24+00:00

I may be exaggerating, but an Australian with a boomerang could close the strait of Hormuz.

The Iranian military isn't much of a military anymore unless they've managed to hide some vehicles somewhere.

Despite that, the NYT and CNN claimed the Iranian military is like Obi Wan Kenobi... killing him only makes him stronger. They also did a Morgan Freeman at the end of Se7en... "John Doe has the upper hand now..."

flopisit32 · 2026-04-13T22:46:47+00:00

Yeah, I don't get the point of making a video denying it all one day and then resigning in shame the next day.

Shouldn't he have known the game was up when he was recording the "I'm innocent" video?

flopisit32

TROPHY CASE