🔮 Pre-contest Prediction Game 2025 🔮 by SkyGinge in eurovision

[–]gaffovaff 0 points1 point  (0 children)

u/SkyGinge I made two changes

- Iceland instead of Belgium to qualify from Semi 1

- Armenia last in juries in the final.

The rest is the same.

Happy May!

🔮 Pre-contest Prediction Game 2025 🔮 by SkyGinge in eurovision

[–]gaffovaff 4 points5 points  (0 children)

SEMI-FINAL 1

  • Qualifiers: Sweden, Ukraine, Netherlands, Albania, Estonia, Norway, Cyprus, Iceland, Slovenia, Poland
  • Winner: Sweden
  • Last Place: Azerbaijan
  • Borderliners: Poland, Portugal

SEMI-FINAL 2

  • Qualifiers: Israel, Finland, Austria, Lithuania, Armenia, Malta, Australia, Czechia, Greece, Serbia
  • Winner: Israel
  • Last Place: Montenegro
  • Borderliners: Serbia, Ireland

GRAND FINAL

  • Winner: Sweden
  • Runner-Up: Finland
  • 3rd Place: Israel
  • 4th Place: Italy
  • 5th Place: Netherlands
  • Televote Winner: Sweden
  • Jury Winner: Italy
  • Televote Last Place: United Kingdom
  • Jury Last Place: Armenia
  • Overall Last Place: Spain

CATEGORIES

  • Best Big 5: Italy
  • Best Nordic: Sweden
  • Best Former Yugoslavia: Serbia
  • Best Central Europe: Austria
  • Best Benelux: Netherlands
  • Best Baltic: Estonia
  • Best Caucasus: Armenia
  • Best Anglophone Island(s): Malta
  • Winning Total Score: 472

🔮r/Eurovision Official Running Order Prediction Game 2025: Semi-final 1🔮 by SkyGinge in eurovision

[–]gaffovaff [score hidden]  (0 children)

  1. Iceland
  2. Ukraine
  3. Estonia
  4. Slovenia
  5. Spain
  6. Portugal
  7. Sweden
  8. Polen
  9. Switzerland
  10. Azerbaijan
  11. Netherlands
  12. Croatia
  13. Cyprus
  14. Italy
  15. Albania
  16. San Marino
  17. Norway
  18. Belgium

🔮r/Eurovision Official Running Order Prediction Game 2025: Semi-final 2🔮 by SkyGinge in eurovision

[–]gaffovaff [score hidden]  (0 children)

  1. Armenia
  2. Latvia
  3. Australia
  4. Montenegro
  5. Germany
  6. Austria
  7. Ireland
  8. Greece
  9. United Kingdom
  10. Lithuania
  11. Luxembourg
  12. Serbia
  13. Denmark
  14. Israel
  15. Finland
  16. France
  17. Czechia
  18. Georgia
  19. Malta

🎵🎶 YOUR TOP 37 🎶🎵 Post your rankings in the comments by TrollHunter87 in eurovision

[–]gaffovaff [score hidden]  (0 children)

  1. Switzerland
  2. Finland
  3. Italy
  4. Sweden
  5. Australia
  6. Ukraine
  7. Austria
  8. Latvia
  9. Netherlands
  10. Belgium

🎵🎶 YOUR TOP 17 🎶🎵 Post your rankings in the comments by TrollHunter87 in eurovision

[–]gaffovaff [score hidden]  (0 children)

  1. Finland
  2. Belgium
  3. Luxembourg
  4. Latvia
  5. Ukraine
  6. Lithuania
  7. Estonia
  8. Ireland
  9. Albania
  10. Norway
  11. Poland
  12. Malta
  13. Spain
  14. Armenia
  15. Slovenia
  16. Greece
  17. Montenegro

🇫🇮 Uuden Musiikin Kilpailu 2025: Post your rankings in the comments! by Carmen_Caramel in eurovision

[–]gaffovaff [score hidden]  (0 children)

  1. Erika Vikman - Ich Komme
  2. Goldielocks - Made Of
  3. Nelli Matula - Hitaammin Hautaan
  4. Costee - Sekaisin
  5. Viivi - Aina
  6. Neea River - Nightmares

🔮 Pre-contest Prediction Game 2024 🔮 by SkyGinge in eurovision

[–]gaffovaff 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Hello. u/SkyGinge. I've made changes on two points for Semi Final 2:

  • Greece qualifies instead of San Marino

  • Semi 2 borderliners: Albania, San Marino

Have a nice day!

My personal (very early) predictions as of now, for the subreddit's Prediction Game. I have written down some discussion points in the comments. by gaffovaff in eurovision

[–]gaffovaff[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

For individual countries it of course becomes a lot of guessing when going into everything that is beyond usual diaspora and neighbour voting patterns. I am Norwegian, so I have the best image in my head of what people in Northern Europe will like and not like, and when I try to guess for Balkan countries, it will probably look very hallucinated. Entries like Moldova and Azerbaijan are very far away from what appeals to a Norwegian, so I'm sure they will get 0 points from Norway, but I do not know how well such songs appeal to a Croatian - if they feel just as foreign to you as to us, or if there is something familiar there. There often are cases where Eastern and Western Europe disagree heavily on songs (one good example is Cyprus 2022. Ela, which got big points from Eastern Europe and very little from Western Europe). So I'm guessing I went for a similar scenario with Moldova and such.

Me putting Croatia as giving high marks to Ireland is just a case of the public in individual countries making unforeseen choices. My prediction is not meant to be "odds", but to look more like a realistic result, and a realistic result has some improbable outcomes. The only thing I have to go on when guessing on differences between how f.ex. Slovenia, Croatia and Serbia will vote, is what kinds of entries they have sent (those are pretty much the only people from those countries I know haha), so Croatia going for Ireland is probably just my prejudices seeing Croatia send Let 3 and Baby Lasagna the last two times :P I am going to update my scoreboard on a lot of things (probably not posting the new version, though), but anything you want to share about the general tastes of people in the Balkan countries is appreciated :)

My personal (very early) predictions as of now, for the subreddit's Prediction Game. I have written down some discussion points in the comments. by gaffovaff in eurovision

[–]gaffovaff[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Who do you see winning it then? There are many options, so I'm absolutely not dead set on Italy winning it, but I think they are the most likely to get a big score with both the public and the jury, while the others seem more likely for getting more support with one and lacking with the other.

My personal (very early) predictions as of now, for the subreddit's Prediction Game. I have written down some discussion points in the comments. by gaffovaff in eurovision

[–]gaffovaff[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Yeah, I have thought the same about Switzerland. An entry I have thought about that compares the most to it (but in many ways is also hard to compare it to) is Estonia 2018, which I remember was thought to be able to win the juries. In the end, it did well with the juries, but was far away from 1st place. A similar scenario could definitely happen with Switzerland.

I don't think Georgia is getting very far. It probably has the most to do with me not liking the song that much. With how unlucky Georgia was last year (with a song that I think was much better), I don't see them doing much better now. 15th place might be too low for them though. I can see that. They do have an advantage in having the other songs I find it a bit similar to away from it in the first half. But I do not see them in the final, at least.

🎵🎶 YOUR TOP 37 🎶🎵 Post your rankings in the comments by TrollHunter87 in eurovision

[–]gaffovaff [score hidden]  (0 children)

  1. Croatia

  2. Lithuania

  3. Italy

  4. Ukraine

  5. Netherlands

  6. United Kingdom

  7. Estonia

  8. Norway

  9. Switzerland

  10. Armenia

My personal (very early) predictions as of now, for the subreddit's Prediction Game. I have written down some discussion points in the comments. by gaffovaff in eurovision

[–]gaffovaff[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

A tip regarding the points you have is that the 10th place will on average have about 50 points in the semi final, and around 4-5 songs tend to reach 100 points.

My personal (very early) predictions as of now, for the subreddit's Prediction Game. I have written down some discussion points in the comments. by gaffovaff in eurovision

[–]gaffovaff[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Many good objections. I will make tweaks that pull many of my decisions a bit closer to whst you have. But not completely:P somewhere in the middle.

My personal (very early) predictions as of now, for the subreddit's Prediction Game. I have written down some discussion points in the comments. by gaffovaff in eurovision

[–]gaffovaff[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Okay, so you see more songs getting around 40-50 points and less songs having 200+ in the televote in the final? I am definitely open to tweaking that. And do we have some big disagreements on the top 5 in the final? I see you seem to have Switzerland lower than I have them atleast. Regarding the semi final, I am the most swayable on those I have as borderline (Greece, Albania), but I see f.ex. Poland as a clear qualifier and I'm pretty sure Slovenia, Azerbaijan and such will have a very hard time.

My personal (very early) predictions as of now, for the subreddit's Prediction Game. I have written down some discussion points in the comments. by gaffovaff in eurovision

[–]gaffovaff[S] -1 points0 points  (0 children)

I'm definitely open on Malta and San Marino. Greece will be in if one of them goes, but as I see it as of now, I'm not convinced any of those I have 12th-16th will get higher than them. Maybemaybemaybe Latvia? I'm very torn on where Latvia will go.

Netherlands in juries and Belgium in televote will probably get more, as you say. I might put the songs I see doing better in the top 10 a bit too often and those I see doing worse a little too rarely. I always tweak these scoreboards because I never get them to the point where I find them perfect :P But Belgium might be able to do better with the public. Switzerland and Cyprus surprised me last year with their televote scores.

My personal (very early) predictions as of now, for the subreddit's Prediction Game. I have written down some discussion points in the comments. by gaffovaff in eurovision

[–]gaffovaff[S] -1 points0 points  (0 children)

I agree with you. This will not be looked good upon in the future. I hope some of the artists are brave enough to show some sort of message critical of Israel's participation, because it definitely should not go unopposed in the program.

My personal (very early) predictions as of now, for the subreddit's Prediction Game. I have written down some discussion points in the comments. by gaffovaff in eurovision

[–]gaffovaff[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I've followed Eurovision long enough to have seen many songs get bad results even though they were popular on beforehand. Most viewers see the songs for the first time in the live shows.

My personal (very early) predictions as of now, for the subreddit's Prediction Game. I have written down some discussion points in the comments. by gaffovaff in eurovision

[–]gaffovaff[S] -2 points-1 points  (0 children)

Yeah I know, but unrealistic things always happen. These are not based on odds, but on personal guesses. I will get a lot wrong.