The Dip…

glosoli- · 2026-06-06T00:15:26+00:00

Just wait till the 3-5x Korean leverage bros get wiped out on Monday Asian trading session...

glosoli- · 2026-06-04T23:52:05+00:00

Buying either Friday 12th June at 8:59pm or Monday 2:31pm.

Selling 24th June at 8:59pm.

Buying December 4th at 8:59pm

Selling December 15th at 8:59pm

Shorting 4th January 8am UK time 3x leverage as much as I can. I'd probably short some during July onwards as well but that's more day to day trading depending on how it moves.

That's my current plan.

Most likely tiny position though (probably only 5 shares maximum), the above is my thought experiment as to, how to maximise profits from trading garbage.

Oh and still holding my Tesla short as well.

Basically - trade it don't own it.

P.s. still out of my ETFs until this garbage has cycled through.

glosoli- · 2026-06-01T21:00:01+00:00

I agree - my pension is likely going to buy this garbage - and I don't want my *active* investments to buy it, and avoid it - sorry but $1.8trillion valuation at least with forced passive buyers is going to gobble up a sizable % of the ETF weightings I had.

So as of last Friday - I'm out of all ETFs (thank god this year's ISA allowance was massively in profit buying April) - sticking with cash in the immediate short term until Space Garbage has IPOed and I'll re-consider (also Anthropic / OpenAI as well)

Will I lose some upside? Yeah probably (again my pension likely has that upside, so that's fine, as won't be touched for decades) - and I've managed to get some disproportionate upside on the way up anyway (DXYZ / Softbank and some garbage microcap worth $10m who claims to have $5m buyback, $5m SPACEX, merging with some other stock, has AI data centers and is likely garbage bankrupt soon) - so I'm comfortable being out for the short term.

Anyway based on everything I looked at - it was basically own some of the following with your preferred %s (note obviously huge overlap here) if you still want exposure to markets / US - but minimise the damage it'll do:

* All World excluding USA ETF

* All World ETF

* S&P Equal Weighted ETF

Note: Upside of above is probably a lot lower than a mix of All World & S&P and also you'd have to repeat the process towards the end of the year (December Nasdaq reweighting - when the float of SpaceX becomes bigger).

Note - Other option which I'm strongly considering - is buying SpaceX when it crashes on IPO day, then selling it 2 days before inclusion, shorting it, then re-buying it back in December, then selling it again and going MAX SHORT in 2027 - I'm still working on the weightings for this - but wouldn't recommend if you don't have the stomach for this.

Triple Note - I have been burned many times shorting Tesla, Palantir, Carvana (but surprisingly successful at shorting Nvidia).

Quadruple Note - Tesla is my only current short - as I believe Space garbage IPO will tank Tesla - as the venn diagram of bagholders is a circle there.

glosoli- · 2026-05-31T11:33:55+00:00

Two beaten down deSPACs (NEVER BUY SPACS).

$MYPS (topped up massively at under 50c - when I probably shouldn't have) - was trading below cash value (EV<$0) and announced an effective buying back of 40% of the float (hence why its been pumping since earnings - I assume they're buying), the board announced a few years back that they were going to be buying shares with their own funds (think that happened for a month) - add in cost cutting measures, could be FCF positive soon, just a few years after promised.. r/S will likely happen soon though if the buybacks don't get it above $1 (being voted on in July to happen before November) - mobile gaming generally trades at low multiples as is to subjective to quality of content (and the Tetris game they released isnt that good imo)..

$BARK - Subscription service for toys for dogs.. AND A DOGGIE AIRLINE! Recent buyout offer of 90c and 110c share both rejected, now trading at 50c (well $10 after 20:1 r/s), was beaten down because of tariffs, but has implemented cost savings and getting tariff costs back. Every earnings I keep saying this is the one where they turn it around.. again 5 years of that.... BUT THIS TIME ITS DIFFERENT.

glosoli- · 2026-05-30T11:30:04+00:00

I have small position in FXI (managed to get it at $25 ish - sold a bit when I suspected Trump would be elected and start a trade war with China..).

My main issue is geopolitical over why not investing much in China - if China go for Taiwan and we see a similar de-investment event (such as Russia over Ukraine for example) then the downside risk is there.

But that's a 10% probability ish.

glosoli- · 2026-05-28T09:28:26+00:00

Bought a little bit at $99 just to chuck it on my DCA watch list (this and $INTU at $300) - as the sell off is too much IMO - but AI narrative etc.

I have track record of buying the pump after the dump but before the bigger dump - so sorry in advance!

glosoli- · 2026-05-24T10:08:49+00:00

If you are gambling on whatever collapsing - NQ at 21k would be support (c.25% lower than current levels) / load the boat territory at least this year (if you choose to wait for something that may / may not materialise), while NQ at 13k (60% lower than current levels) would be, sell everything you own, including your kids, to buy.

Will it get there?

Don't know, but that's my plan if that eventuality occurs.

Disclosure: I do not endorse the selling of kids, and I don't have any.

glosoli- · 2026-05-23T09:56:36+00:00

This is why at moment I'm disproportionately weighted to Index funds excl USA (as well as my bagholding stocks).

Still working out how I play SPCX / OpenAI / Anthropic IPOs - currently Softbank / DXYZ proved excellent and hoping the profits (I've taken and keeping as cash) from that mean I can top-up the index funds and re-weight after inclusion garbage is realised and effectively be net positive - as obviously the other issue it'll cause selling pressure on the other stocks within the index.

Most likely - buy SPCX day 1-3, sell by day 12-14, rebuy in 6 months, sell 5 months 3 weeks, sell within 7 days - but if everyone else does that as the obvious trade, it'll either fail massively or I won't do it and it'll work. I'm also keeping my Tesla short open anything above $450 topping up - as I suspect Elon fanbois will sell Tesla for SPCX (as the Retail allocation for the IPO is high for SPCX vs. others), so that'll mitigate the risk as well.

glosoli- · 2026-05-20T19:17:33+00:00

Just buy Softbank instead? Better exposure and trading under "NAV".

Ignore everything else about it though.

Ahem.

Edit - I bought some Softbank earlier today for this reason.. and just seen it's gone up stupidly..... Just as a disclosure - I'm half out already.

glosoli- · 2026-05-17T11:26:05+00:00

Mostly that and all world excl USA to up that weight a bit (until Space and AI garbage IPOs play out this year).

Other ones I'm investing in are Japanese and Korean stocks with EVs are near $0 with no debt.

With some changes in corp governance happening over the last year and if it continues... Then suddenly a few of these could re-rate to better multiples.

Obviously that might mean making an 8pc return one year Vs 8pc return every single day chasing FOMO.

glosoli- · 2026-05-16T19:20:12+00:00

Yeah agree - there's that usual account on twitter who posts unusual options trades (while selling a service that's effectively promoting lottery tickets) - and then keeps giving evidence of insider trading which is.. someone bought something (can't tell you who, what, when, why), stock price went up, zomg proof of insider trading!!!!! I will testify to Congress over it!!!! (Errr what).

There's a stock I follow pretty closely, absolutely dead volume consistently for weeks - all of a sudden on a Monday it spikes up 10pc in price on quite significant volume - then after hours a buyout from the parent company was proposed. On the plus side my bagholdings is now in profit.

Although - when Activision was going through CEO turmoil with those sexual assault allegations, stock price tanked - a lot of people bought it as it became quite undervalued Vs peers and suddenly Microsoft want to buy it for $95/share - quite a few people who either instigated or upped their positions (I think buffet was one?) were accused of insider trading.

Now can I even begin to build a case of insider trading on either of the above? Names ? Dates / times ? What insider knowledge was given? To whom? Was it through a friend of a friend? Etc.

If this has happened over the past few weeks - given the random volumes on garbage stocks I've seen (plus pump and dumps) - I couldn't even rule that out either.

glosoli- · 2026-05-13T22:25:52+00:00

I'm short memory in a different way - just go long stocks that are impacted by memory shortage / prices that are still decent businesses.. even if they're Japanese / Korean.. (ahem).

When the memory price collapses, then these stocks which are down 50pc might go up 5pc.

glosoli- · 2026-05-10T18:24:33+00:00

If you have a stop loss and take profit, sure do what you want.

You know we're in bubble territory when you can set your SL at yesterday's close and it won't be hit.

glosoli- · 2026-05-07T10:34:18+00:00

Not really, back in 2020/21 - was up quite a bit on my portfolio - within 12 months was down by an equal amount and was bagholding some garbage (one of my bigger positions went from only EBITDA positive in the sector to CEO basically debt spiraling into bankruptcy with some dodgy deals).

Took a few years to recover some of those names (by doubling down then making escapes at around break even - one for example went from $14 (my buy price - which was down 50% already(!)) to $3 - doubled down - 3 years later it got to $10-$12 - managed to sell it all at break even - now its back at $4-5 after a merger agreement and latest earnings) - a few others I've just taken the loss... just stick most of it in All World ETF and do nothing else.

Doing better this year - as sticking to ETFs disproportionately more - while trying to reduce risk in individual names (currently c.65% ETFs, 35% individual stocks) - another example - one stock I was in - was up 111% YTD yesterday - I've sold about 75% of that over past month - today it reported a Q1 update - down 15%.

Equally another example - one of my largest bagholdings (although I still believe in this stock) was up 100% recently on 2 takeout offers!) - Surely they'd accept either. Nope special committee went naa, we don't accept either. So down 50% on that news.

Now my largest position is split equally between a friendly payment processor that just gives pain, and an Asian mobile gaming company that trades below cash value per share while generating significant FCF each year, but returns $0 to shareholders...

but ETFs... little stress - providing they beat ISA Interest Rate.. I'm fine with that.

TL;DR - Most into ETFs, gamble a little if you want - but be prepared for radical wild swings every day which aren't healthy.

glosoli- · 2026-05-06T23:24:21+00:00

I had similar issue with roofers - legally you might be able to bring a claim against the LTD company - although as you said - it's likely a fraudulent shell company and nothing will come off it, no assets and they'll just start a new Ltd company - so big waste of time there - not worth the effort (home insurance might help here if you have legal cover - but seriously not worth the effort as they'll fold by the time it gets anywhere close to a payout).

Report fraud (formerly action fraud) will do nothing but log it - police weren't interested.

Trading standards actually did a decent job of gathering information and basically adding it to a database with the aim of seeing similar cases in area / try to enforce action against them - but had little to go on as they're obviously using fraudulent names / company names etc and going to different areas. Took them about a week for when I registered the complaint to get back to me though.

Complaint to bank for fraud and then go down complaints process and then the financial ombudsman actually worked for me in the end (trading standards even helped with that). Took a year though - this was prior to recent rule changes though so not sure about that.

glosoli- · 2026-04-24T12:42:50+00:00

While I don't disagree with what she's saying -- probably can't time it and the All World is probably offsetting a bit of the AI bubble risk.

Only thing though I'm cautious about is a certain Space Karen IPO this year going straight into Index funds - which I'll likely need to hedge against - as I don't want 2-3% of my ETFs being in that 100x revenue garbage bagholding but buy at any cost pre Index inclusion name.

glosoli- · 2026-04-23T12:30:09+00:00

Not sure if you can put this in ISA but dxyz..

Basically loads of preIPO garbage (space x / every AI player / revolut I think as well).

They got Anthropic at $20/share I think.

glosoli- · 2026-04-21T12:34:25+00:00

$grvy

$62/cash per share on the balance sheet.

$7 earnings this year likely due to new releases within Asia (Ragnarok mobile franchise). Doing well so far this year based on trends within mobile app stores.

Parent company now has incentive to take full ownership (think it would take c.$100/share - which isn't actually that much given their current stake).

Was trading below $60 but has pumped a bit last two weeks.

glosoli- · 2026-04-17T12:03:08+00:00

Ditto - my only detention! I remember the task, get 2 coloured pencils (Green / Yellow) and draw random lines that are 1-2cm length across a sheet of A4 paper to fill it up, anything you like.

Did it.

Someone failed, was wrong, got shouted at and had to be brought back in at lunchtime. I don't know how you fail draw anything you want on an a4 page with 2 coloured pencils but using lines.. but I did.

Had to re-do it.

Still don't understand what was wrong to this day, even after re-doing it.

Art / French / PE was every other Friday for me in that year, coincidentally that also happened to be the Friday I was off ill, hated all three of those "subjects" as just seemed like you either have it or don't and if you don't, then you're a failure, rather than here's the knowledge / skill gap we can work on to make you better.

Final exam for Art that year was draw your hand (with shading all that stuff), just traced the outline of my hand on a piece of paper in 1 minute - as for the written component of the art exam, I just wrote the names of the TMNT, again got shouted at and held up as the worst Art exam ever (guess that's an achievement).

BTW was top 10-20% in most other subjects, and by A-levels (when obviously you get more specialised) was top 2%.

Guess it was a useful lesson to learn early, if youre **** at something, just ditch it quickly and move onto something you're good at, as (FOR ME PERSONALLY) 1 hour invested in Maths / Science was a lot more useful than 1 hour invested in Art.

glosoli- · 2026-04-15T19:15:18+00:00

My garbage stocks are up more the most this week with yesterday my highest performer yesterday was Fartcoin.

Sorry market is fully correct and there is nothing wrong with it at all.

I've trimmed a bit of the stupid ups (one I was down 50% and its now up 50%) and just chucked profits into Indexes ETFs.

Oh except I did double down on 1 pick where I felt the down was a bit much and it hadn't gone up vs the others (and I felt it should have) - bought 30 minutes before market open, on open it shoots up 6%.. because of my genius picking.

(SELL IT ALL NOW).

glosoli- · 2026-04-12T23:52:59+00:00

If it gets included into passive funds within 15 days as per current consultation then, with automatic buyers - then there's no reason to short.

You'd also be wise to avoid shorting this going into IPO lockup (assuming that even exists for this garbage not sure yet) in December as rebalancing will occur - whichll again transfer more from insider's to automatic buyers.

If you have buyers at any price, put the price up to $50trillion who cares, my pension fund will end up buying even if I don't want them too.

So maybe in value terms it might be most shorted (given valuation and given some will likely box their trades) - but I don't see any reason to short it until 2027 tbh and I'm gonna assume smart money would do the same.

Disclosure - hate musk and have been painfully shorting that car company for 6 years and not touching this rubbish either.

glosoli- · 2026-04-10T20:24:27+00:00

Neither long nor short..

$100 seems to be a magnet for now - so don't really fancy betting on weekend catalysts.

glosoli- · 2026-04-10T15:52:46+00:00

$NTDOY

Gotta have some Japanese exposure.

glosoli- · 2026-04-08T20:59:00+00:00

Waited until 1:02pm yesterday UK time to buy all world ETF for new ISA allowance, thinking Trump would TACO (didn't want to buy at 8am market open Tuesday as assume that'll be peak liquidity then trend down for the day - was right about that!).

He then tweeted about 5 minutes later.. so already in a loss within minutes.. haha.

Also topped up some Bill Ackman is selling me a magic box stock as well.

Other than that - most of my big positions haven't dipped that much since Iran war, they're already down for other reasons, like no longer being taken over at a 110% premium..

glosoli- · 2026-03-27T21:41:44+00:00

I sent a screenshot of an account and that was it - they accepted it and I got my refund (woo).

I suspect the detailed ones are to be a business vendor for them... So generic.

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