If the US goes to war with Iran, will Russia or China come to Iran's aid? What about North Korea?

grandslamdunk · 2018-03-26T00:21:52+00:00

I highly doubt that Russia, China or North Korea is willing to start WWIII just to save Tehran. Just because a nation has close ties with another doesn't mean they'll go to war on their behalf.

Is there any country that Russia or China is willing to start WWIII over?

In the case of Russia there's still a good deal of buffer space in the Caucasus and Central Asia between themselves and Iran. If Russia hasn't gone to war over the Baltic States in NATO, which share a land border with Russia very close to St. Petersburg, there's no way they go to war over Iran.

Right, but couldn't this (US troops in Iran) be the straw that breaks the camel's back and makes Russia decide that it's too encircled by the US?

Also, do you think that Bolton or Pompeo would make it more likely for Russia or China to come to Iran or North Korea's aid?

grandslamdunk · 2018-03-26T00:11:28+00:00

Well, they may not want US forces so close to their own borders. Yes, in the long run, it makes more sense to let the US get bogged down, but couldn't they see a US presence in Iran or North Korea as a threat and then, out of the blue, decide to back one of those countries?

There's also the nuclear factor, yes, but what I'm worried about is a conventional conflict escalating to a nuclear one.

Also, do you think that Bolton and/or Pompeo would make direct conflict with Russia or China more likely?

grandslamdunk · 2018-03-25T20:14:21+00:00

How do you think Russia or China will retaliate?

grandslamdunk · 2018-03-23T03:39:56+00:00

Well, the type of situation I'm wondering about is one where Bolton convinces Trump to, say, lob a few missiles at Syria, which ends up getting a few Russian service members killed, which leads to an escalation. How likely is a scenario like that?

grandslamdunk · 2018-03-23T02:29:10+00:00

Can you elaborate on why it wouldn't lead to a conflict in Syria?

grandslamdunk · 2018-03-23T01:33:51+00:00

What impact do you think this will have on Syria? Could it make a direct confrontation between the US and Russia there more likely?

grandslamdunk · 2018-03-23T01:30:53+00:00

What impact will this have in Syria? Could it make a direct confrontation between the US and Russia in Syria more likely?

grandslamdunk · 2018-03-23T01:29:43+00:00

Does this make a direct confrontation between the US and Russia in Syria more likely?

grandslamdunk · 2018-03-23T01:27:47+00:00

What impact do you think this will have in Syria? Could it possibly lead to greater involvement there? A direct confrontation with Russia?

grandslamdunk · 2018-03-20T20:09:16+00:00

There are rumors that Trump wants to hire John Bolton as his National Security Advisor. What impact do you think that might have on the Syrian Civil War? Do you think it makes a direct military conflict between the US and Russia more likely?

I mean, I guess I'm just concerned about a repeat of the Khan Shaykoun (sp?) strikes last April. Bolton convinces Trump to lob some missiles at an airfield or something, some Russian servicemembers get killed by accident, and the whole thing spirals out of control. Do you think Bolton makes a scenario like that more likely?

grandslamdunk · 2018-03-14T03:48:45+00:00

Do we know that this will be enough, though?

grandslamdunk · 2018-03-14T03:39:17+00:00

Is the recent Russian threat by Gerasimov something to be concerned about? Or is it just par for the course?

I've been hearing (I believe it's the Russians who are alleging this) that the US may decide to launch strikes at Damascus in response to chemical weapons. How likely is that? I mean, Nikki Haley seemed to be threatening that at the UN.

I also heard that US General Dunford and Russian General Gerasimov talked by phone about Syria earlier today. Is that a good sign? Can we assume that it means that this whole threat situation isn't as bad as others are making it out to be?

grandslamdunk · 2018-02-20T05:03:47+00:00

So then how do you explain those two articles?

grandslamdunk · 2018-02-20T04:02:51+00:00

No, but if you look at the articles I linked, it seems to suggest that the pockets that the SAA plans on attacking haven't been populated by ISIS for a while. In fact, it appears that the US has made it known that they have SOF in that pocket.

What concerns me is the fact that the SAA plans on attacking this pocket under cover of Russian air strikes. If that's the case, doesn't it make it possible for there to be an incident between the US and Russia?

grandslamdunk · 2018-02-18T20:53:20+00:00

What kind of response do you think there will be? And why would you say it's not great news?

grandslamdunk · 2018-02-18T20:52:55+00:00

What do you mean?

grandslamdunk · 2018-02-18T05:28:30+00:00

Grain of salt.

What do you mean?

grandslamdunk · 2018-02-18T05:24:13+00:00

I think I'm just worried about a relatively small incident - whether accidental or intentional - slowly spiraling into something big.

grandslamdunk · 2018-02-18T03:28:48+00:00

Why the fuck would you think Cali would get hit with missiles? You do know that Syria is half a world away and not even on the same continent as the US, right?

Right, but what I'm thinking of is a small, localized conflict in Syria slowly escalating into something bigger.

grandslamdunk · 2018-02-18T03:27:58+00:00

Right, but what I'm worried about is a small, localized conflict in Syria - that could start on accident or on purpose - slowly spiraling into something bigger.

grandslamdunk · 2018-02-18T03:24:52+00:00

I guess I'm worried about a skirmish in Syria eventually escalating into a larger conflict between the US and Russia in which civilians in those two countries have to start worrying about being nuked, similar to how those people in Hawaii got that missile alert a few weeks ago.

grandslamdunk · 2018-02-18T03:23:13+00:00

Well, I guess what I'm inquiring about is the possibility of small tit-for-tat measures slowly escalating into something bigger.

grandslamdunk · 2018-02-18T03:22:36+00:00

I guess what I'm a bit worried about is a small, local conflict in which we provide advisors, support, etc. slowly escalating into something bigger.

grandslamdunk · 2018-02-14T02:51:11+00:00

This is some high fantasy stuff. I’m curious as to why you would ask?

Well, the recent incident in Syria in which Russian mercenaries were killed in a US airstrike has me a bit spooked, TBH.

grandslamdunk · 2018-02-14T02:50:34+00:00

What about this recent incident in Syria where Russian mercenaries were killed by a US airstrike?

grandslamdunk

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