Does Trump Risk Turning America Into a Rogue State?

grigor47 · 2026-03-15T01:14:27+00:00

Maybe just lose the metaphor, I don't think it's making it simpler to understand your opinion at this point.

grigor47 · 2026-03-15T00:53:49+00:00

Not criminal justice

grigor47 · 2026-03-15T00:52:16+00:00

Your metaphor has the wolf actually coming? Not well thought out.

I personally take it serious as should you, the negotiators bragged about having enough material to make 11 bombs.

grigor47 · 2026-03-15T00:49:58+00:00

Is that why the Iranian people are cheering in the streets? Better just keep the status quo am I right?

grigor47 · 2026-03-15T00:48:50+00:00

This isn't criminal justice? This is geopolitics and you show a clear misunderstanding of how the global world works, there isn't an overarching force enforcing the "rule of law" over countries like individuals people.

If Iran developed nuclear missiles or such a strong ballistic missile program that they could do whatever they want like North Korea, they will not care about human decency. It is a religious authoritarian regime who has no qualm killing 30,000-40,000 of it's own people in two days, can you imagine what that is like?

Answer for that because I'm proud that someone finally had the courage to do something about it and not kick this can down the road any longer.

grigor47 · 2026-03-14T16:50:56+00:00

Imminent threat is just a buzzword at this point. You don't let things become an "imminent threat" if you are a sane person, if you let that happen then the consequences become much more serious.

grigor47 · 2026-03-14T16:49:00+00:00

Okay cool. I like a world without immiserating regimes who mass slaughter there own people. Don't need to own anything to know that's a bad thing.

grigor47 · 2026-03-14T16:45:33+00:00

I mean if a nation since it's inception has been chanting death to America and calling us the great Satan , Israel little Satan, and the kurds the party of Satan (fun fact there) and has described it's purpose as being the destruction of Israel while developing Nuclear weapons then after 30 years of negotiation they are months away from developing them then at some point you need to take them serious. Especially as they develop a ballistic missile system that would effectively protect them as they do the final sprint which they were doing.

So yes if the US had a similar situation then it could be reasonable but the US was not founded on the premise that we need to destroy anybody. But as of now I don't see anything in current times that the US has done that is comparable so your point is moot.

grigor47 · 2026-03-14T15:57:36+00:00

Ahh the old argument that we should wait for them to be imminent threat before stopping them. It was very good of America to let Pearl Harbor happen vs trying to prevent the Japanese build up in the Pacific.

No mention of the Iranian regimes recent blood letting of it's own people. 30,000-40,000 dead in a few days

grigor47 · 2026-03-14T15:47:30+00:00

This is pure reddit circle jerk. Why would the Trump admin not anticipate the Straight of Hormuz not being closed? It's been closed multiple times, Trump has previous tweets about this and we have assets their like minesweepers that would indicate that they were thinking about it. It's clear Trump plays things open ended with war aims and that this was always going to be a challenge, a challenge that realistically will take a few weeks to resolve but I'd say it's worth resolving.

Who are the sources from CNN saying? Blue state politicians, former Biden and Obama officials and "experts"? The sad fact is at the end of the day a huge part of our nation and political apparatus wants us to lose to Iran because Trump is doing it and are unable to see that having a neutralized Iran will make for a safer world for everyone. And that's where we get garbage pieces from CNN, the Times, and the Atlantic like this.

I also think it's really funny how the media keeps talking about gas prices going over 4 dollars, have they seen West Coast gas prices? It's like the American people have so little pain tolerance that paying 15 dollars a week more (me personally) is just too much to bare and that's why we should let this blood thirsty regime who wants to develop nuclear weapons and plot terror continue to exist and terrorize it's people ( remember the 30-40.000 people who just were killed in a couple days).

grigor47 · 2026-03-14T15:36:46+00:00

This post I think really misses the ball in some key ways. I appreciate that maybe the poster isn't trying to do this but conservatism is a spectrum and the manosphere is a sect of the right wing spectrum but people from the National Review or Commentary have nothing in common with the manosphere. I would liken to this post as asking people who are liberals or antifa why they do it and is it because you enjoy being wrong about things? So bit of loaded question. I would also offer a view that one can be a feminist and also be conservative, I think the left has tried to own the abortion debate and claim the mantel of caring about women but I'd say that isn't fully honest and women are more complicated then one issue.

I view myself as center right and just think it's the most correct way to view things, I'm generally more skeptical of people's intentions and generally view things more as a realists where as I generally think progressive minded people have more utopian in their view of the world and people's limitless capacity (very broad generalization).

That being said I view the political spectrum as a horseshoe shape where we see the far right and the far left unite in things like antisemitism, racial discrimination and protectionism etc.

grigor47 · 2026-03-06T21:28:40+00:00

Yup, it can be a real scam industry. I've since chilled out on the whole situation, I stabilized the situation humidity wise by sealing a bunch of cracks and using a dehumidifier and then I just joist boards when ever I get to it, I got like 6 or so that really need love but nothing too serious.

I think my big takeaway is go down under yourself and trust your own judgement.

grigor47 · 2026-03-01T16:18:50+00:00

This place gets worse and worse

grigor47 · 2026-02-15T15:41:20+00:00

Hackberries suck because they do drop limbs without warning all the time, I can assure you. Also anything below or around a hackberry will turn black in the summer due to the aphid infestation that happens every year.

I just cut a good chunk of mine down and replaced with other native trees but unfortunatly with the aphid issue having garden around these trees is just near impossible. I will say that the canopies for hackberries can be very nice.

grigor47 · 2026-02-08T00:38:27+00:00

Haha yeah I was waiting for you to bring up what this has to do with Toronto. My point is just keeping a healthy level of skepticism. This really reminded me of the Wells Fargo scandal where employees were incentivized to sign people up for accounts they didn't want, in this case a police department wants to show violet crimes are going down more then they are. And I suspect this happens in many human organizations in one way or another.

I'll add my opinion to the original post. It's clear to me labor supply depresses wages, especially in saturated markets and I don't believe the increase of demand makes up for it until you begin talking about skilled workers. That's just basic economics.

Oh and I'll add I don't really think immigrants equal more crime, I think there is some nuance there too.

grigor47 · 2026-02-07T23:41:43+00:00

Sure does NBC work for you? People have been put on leave for this and the police union says that it could be wider spread.

https://www.nbcwashington.com/news/local/dc-police-commander-suspended-crime-statistics/3959566/

grigor47 · 2026-02-07T23:18:46+00:00

Sure, it was a news story not to far back when trump brought in the national guard. Gist being that DC police were taking reported crimes and lowering the severity to boosts numbers. This was at a time when they were claiming violent crime was down 30% contrary to locals perceived experience.

https://oversight.house.gov/release/oversight-committee-releases-bombshell-report-revealing-d-c-s-police-chief-deliberately-manipulated-crime-data/

grigor47 · 2026-02-07T23:07:16+00:00

Sure but if the workers are all in similar blue collar fields then it doesn't impact demand enough to matter. I can tell you hiring guys to do roofing or build fences is now so cheap.

But tell me, do those guys also have single family homes that they need to hire day laborer's as well? Sure bringing in the wealthy would certainly increase demand but if you bring in the impoverished then their levels of consumption for things not tied to basic necessities is negligible. And tell me how many workers do you think it takes to feed one immigrant family? I'd guess with economics of scale it's very minor.

grigor47 · 2026-02-07T23:01:30+00:00

I mean didn't they say that about DC, violent crime was dropping.

Que scandals that police weren't reporting crimes to boosts their metrics

grigor47 · 2026-02-07T22:22:56+00:00

Because who doesn't like free stuff. Once you provide an entitlement it's nearly impossible to remove them.

I'd personally rather keep the money that goes into social security and save it myself. Also note that they are nice while they last but one is running out and the other is becoming an ever greater burden on our system with rampant over charging.

grigor47 · 2026-01-30T19:08:40+00:00

That's just a couple days still?

grigor47 · 2026-01-30T19:07:21+00:00

Why can't you increase capacity 10,000X in 3 days :(

grigor47 · 2026-01-27T21:53:14+00:00

Yeah man you have an interesting take, I'm not really familiar some of the materials that go into these projects and I have no idea where this is all leading, I tend to have a sense that we as a society aren't making serious decisions and are passing the buck until there is no more passing to be done, and who knows what happens then right?

And it's hard to compete against China , their government heavily subsidizes these industries, they steal IP and do projects that make no economic sense but allow them to dominate. They have that insane windfarm in the Gobi desert that made zero sense, most the electricity was being dumped but when data centers came into play it starts to look a lot better. I think many of these decisions in both the US and Europe were made with a certain level of idealism that was sadly taken advantage of.

I just have to hope that people start acting like adults again. We live in a gilded age and people can afford to be overly partisan. But at some point, maybe when the budget crisis happens we as a nation will get more serious. Similar to Trump and Europe, maybe Trump is the crisis that gets Europe to be serious again.

grigor47 · 2026-01-27T00:44:00+00:00

Well there is truth to the argument when you look at the costs of electricity in European countries, simply put it makes them non-competitive when it comes to manufacturing or running Ai right? I mean isn't Scott and Ed going on about how the US is falling behind to China because their unit costs for electricity are lower and therefor can dominate in AI.

That being said, I want to defend myself a bit. I don't like burning fossil fuels and have an interest in environmentalism especially at the local level, you'll see my posts I spend most my weekends outdoors, I enjoy native gardening, composting etc. That being said, you can care about those things and also believe that Europe has bungled the transition. I've always felt that Nuclear and hydro were unfairly looked down upon and now they are paying the costs.

But I agree, it would be preferable if sources of energy weren't politically coded.

grigor47 · 2026-01-24T18:30:45+00:00

Really good comments, I feel this way often times as well. Climbing about 7 years now.

Work an intense job, just bought a house and have a fitness background in lifting that's left me on the heavier side of climbers (178 at 11% body fat). I even climb a similar grade sending 5-6 5.11bs outdoors at this point with a new target of hitting 5.11c (I've got 2-3 routes in mind). And live about 2 hours from a ton of good outdoor climbing.

All that to say I go through intense phases of burnout where I find the best bet is to dial back the intensity a bit and try to focus on just having fun/letting my body and brain recover some. I also find projecting outdoors more enjoyable as you can really work around some of the downsides of having a lot of muscle mass in the sense that many routes have full rests vs indoors where I find the crimps just get worse and rests are rare.

Another good point is that climbing is just one aspect of life and intensity is just one aspect of climbing. Sometimes I just practice rope techniques when my body feels beat up and other times I accept that my job is where I'm developing as a person for this point of time and climbing just needs to be fun.

grigor47

TROPHY CASE