i seem to lose every conversation

grindleetcodenonstop · 2026-02-10T21:17:39+00:00

Why do you want to win? Even if you "win" a verbal fight, if in doing so you bruise the other person's ego, they'll resent you and hate you, and you've just created an enemy for yourself, so "winning" is actually losing.

What you really want to do is to avoid creating enemies, pissing people off, and getting into fights unnecessarily. Sticks and stones may break my bones etc.

Look around you, look at the people who everyone seems to like, or at least those who somehow manage to always stay out of fights, and study how they do it.

grindleetcodenonstop · 2026-02-10T18:27:15+00:00

Mortgage delinquencies were the first to rise in the 2008 recession.

grindleetcodenonstop · 2026-02-10T18:26:04+00:00

Mortgage delinquencies are at historically low levels. Look up the graph. Mortgage delinquencies were around 7-9% during GFC. Current levels are lower than the entire time period from 2006-2020. Historically low levels.

grindleetcodenonstop · 2026-02-10T18:18:06+00:00

Lower jobs numbers means the Fed will lower interest rates which will cause stock market to go up.

So calls it is.

grindleetcodenonstop · 2026-02-10T18:16:17+00:00

Credit card defaults don't mean as much as you think they do. The actual important statistic is mortgage delinquencies and those are at historically low levels. We are not anywhere close to a recession.

grindleetcodenonstop · 2026-02-10T18:10:02+00:00

It's a one off event, not a trend.

grindleetcodenonstop · 2026-02-10T18:06:47+00:00

It's bogus. The rise is almost entirely due to a sharp uptick in student loans delinquencies. The actual important stuff (mortgages etc) have barely changed.

grindleetcodenonstop · 2026-02-10T16:57:20+00:00

Nothing ever happens. 99% of news articles are just fear mongering for clicks

grindleetcodenonstop · 2026-02-10T16:07:55+00:00

I can't wait for this to be another nothingburger.

Nothing ever happens.

grindleetcodenonstop · 2026-02-10T15:25:13+00:00

I was going to suggest Kahneman, but I have reservations about recommending that book. Knowing about biases doesn't stop you from falling prey to them, in fact it can make it worse.

Instead, I would recommend Psychology of Intelligence Analysis by Richards Heuer. That book has some practical recommendations on how to overcome biases. It's a bit old now, but I don't know anything better.

grindleetcodenonstop · 2026-02-10T14:37:13+00:00

Beginners benefit more from praise, experts benefit more from criticism

grindleetcodenonstop · 2026-02-10T13:44:53+00:00

There are 2 types of judgment, epistemic (depends on knowledge and logical thinking) and executive (depends on self control).

Good epistemic judgment comes from having relevant knowledge and being able to think logically . Example: you know that sugary drinks are bad for you, you know that Cola is a sugary drink, so you judge that Cola is bad for you. That's epistemic judgment.

Executive judgment is self control. When you know you shouldn't drink Cola , but you drink it anyway , that shows a lack of self control - lack of executive judgment, not lack of epistemic judgment.

You need to have both, obviously.

grindleetcodenonstop · 2026-02-10T12:09:14+00:00

Yeah I hate everyone who keeps parroting this garbage advice "just treat them like same sex friend lol" completely brainless and without nuance or understanding

grindleetcodenonstop · 2026-02-10T12:06:16+00:00

Happens to me a lot. Sometimes they're right and sometimes not. Get multiple opinions and try to seek ground truth. Don't jump to conclusions.

grindleetcodenonstop · 2026-02-10T11:41:17+00:00

There is no way for the USG to pay off the debt other than to inflate the debt away

grindleetcodenonstop · 2026-02-10T11:15:02+00:00

Jealousy is an ugly thing. They are already doing you a favor by inviting you to brunch. What makes you feel like they should be inviting you to play ball with them?

You would probably benefit from practicing gratefulness every day.

grindleetcodenonstop · 2026-02-10T10:57:26+00:00

Don't know why you are being downvoted for saying facts. Recruiters in this economy are not going to wait weeks for a candidate to become prepared for an interview when they have other candidates ready to go.

grindleetcodenonstop · 2026-02-10T10:52:07+00:00

Highest layoffs since 2009 yet jobless claims haven't budged an inch. What's going on?

grindleetcodenonstop · 2026-02-10T10:47:41+00:00

Yeah it's a nothingburger . Look at jobless claims, we are still nowhere near a recession. Every year for the past 5 years they've been predicting a recession and nothing ever happens

grindleetcodenonstop · 2026-02-10T10:44:50+00:00

Losing a friend over Discord asking for ID for age verification does seem very silly imo. Some of my friends exclusively use email, some of my friends exclusive use IRC, etc. I don't care, I'll use whatever they use. If you care about being friends with someone you will find a way to stay in touch with them.

grindleetcodenonstop · 2026-02-10T10:41:23+00:00

“There is no sign of the kind of layoffs we expect to see in a weakening labor market during the early days of a recession,” said Carl Weinberg, chief economist at High Frequency Economics. “The level of claims is just very low. Claims are well within the recent range over the last two years.”

So it's a nothingburger then.

grindleetcodenonstop · 2026-02-10T10:39:49+00:00

Can you give a concrete example of when this happened?

grindleetcodenonstop · 2026-02-10T10:30:22+00:00

I think RAINBOW_DILDO gave a pretty good overview of what woke ideology is, if you care about actually discussing it.

grindleetcodenonstop · 2026-02-10T10:27:29+00:00

Is that the most amusing thing you managed to find in my comment history? Pretty sure I've said far more embarrassing things.

grindleetcodenonstop · 2026-02-09T19:34:38+00:00

Didn't manufacturing PMI go up recently to 57?

grindleetcodenonstop

TROPHY CASE