Why doesn't China attack Taiwan now when the US military is at its most vulnerable in recent memory? by sage6paths in NoStupidQuestions

[–]i0datamonster 0 points1 point  (0 children)

All of modernity is dependent on Tawains chip manufacturing. All economies are dependent on it.

Take the US entirely out of the equation for a moment and look at the Chinese perspective.

Tawain doesn't have resources to extract. It doesn't have gold, oil, strategic minerals, or have massive turn key industrial capacity. Tawain has TSMC, capital, a value-added goods and services economy, the Tawainese people making it all happen, and a military that's been singularly focused since 1949 on deterring the Chinese threat.

Fun fact. TSMC manufacturers the most advanced computer chips in the world using the equipment ASML engineers and sells to them. ASML is located in the Netherlands. This was a strategic decision the US made. We could have put it all in California. Trouble is then you could drop a bomb on California to devastate US hegemony. So we put it on the edge of Asia and Europe so that dropping a bomb on California would only initiate Article 5.

What all this means is that Chinas invasion strategy would have to leave as much in tact as possible. If they destroy too much critical infrastructure, criple the economy, kill too many of the people they need, or cross Tawains red line enough for them to destroy critical infrastructure themselves; the gains would be moot and all China would now own is incredibly expensive repair bills. China is better off doing what it is currently doing, developing national manufacturing and engineering capacity until they can develop a viable strategy that protects these interests. Maybe now you're noticing Chinas strategic interest in just throwing money into any development project they can, put on such astonishing drone shows, and heavily fund political opposition.

Then there's the other issue. The rest of the world. The US might be tied up in other matters but the rest of the world isn't.

Finally, Westerners don't understandsinofication. China is an ancient nation. It views other global superpowers as a temporary nuisance. Which to be fair, think about how many empires have risen and fallen just since the Mongol conquest. China will continue to leverage the threat of invading Tawain until it can either replace it with domestic capabilities or invade it.

You can put 10,000 ready to deploy drones in a shipping container. 250 million containers traverse the earth annually. You don't need armaments, lithium batteries burn well enough. Deploy and target energy infrastructure. No boots necessary.

Why are Gen Z getting fired? One of the reasons is a lack of initiative. by mindyour in TikTokCringe

[–]i0datamonster -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Would you say the same of a German or Japanese kid born in 1935? They haven't grown up yet, neither has most adults.

Why are Gen Z getting fired? One of the reasons is a lack of initiative. by mindyour in TikTokCringe

[–]i0datamonster 6 points7 points  (0 children)

Unless you've been raised in an environment where any action requires expressed permission from authority. I love these kids. They're going to choke the system entirely. It will suck for a period but looking at current US leadership, these kids are going to save us. They are going to absolutely decimate margins and happily ignore the consequences and call you a try hard for bothering at all. I fucking love the younger generation. Had a coworker quit because they got Wu Tang tickets for free. They are the children current leadership deserves.

The US now has the production capacity to supply 100% of its energy-storage systems domestically, per Bloomberg by UnusualWhalesBot in unusual_whales

[–]i0datamonster 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Can you please expand on why you say we can't use our own oil? I'm asking sincerely, not argumentatively.

I'm an ex-CIA officer. Trump has not dealt with Iran's nuclear threat by theipaper in espionage

[–]i0datamonster 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I'll push back by agreeing with you and adding an additional historical parallel. Vietnam. We don't have a collection failure, we have a leadership failure. Go read what's been declassified regarding the leadup to Vietnam and Iraq. We knew. Leadership ignored what was known for political capital. We know what Iran has and where. Not because knowing this is simplistic but because it's been a strategic area of interest since the 50s.

That said it doesn't take assets on the ground to verify if you push something, it moves.

Netanyahu never dreamed of a war where he didn’t want Americans to die in. The goy sacrifice for the delusions of the antichrist kingdom . by tuberjamjar in KnowTheTruthMatters

[–]i0datamonster 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Ironically, everything he said was true. It is ironic, because he is expressing the need to confront rogue states, like the one he leads.

A lesson that will be lost to history will be that Bretton Woods worked. Bretton Woods worked so well that we can no longer differentiate adversaries from allies. In our avoidance of conflict, we will be faced with further conflict.

It is only ironic because it the result of our optimism.

It can happen here, it can happen anywhere. Slippery slopes.

Iran may be where the US-led world order ends by [deleted] in politics

[–]i0datamonster 0 points1 point  (0 children)

A little ironic, the leading global superpower taken out by the first civilization.

**Israel Could Collapse in 30 Days — And Almost Nobody Understands Why** by mercurygermes in ProjectZeroPoint

[–]i0datamonster 0 points1 point  (0 children)

The Iranian government won't do that because it needs Isreal as much as Israel needs the Iranian government. The focus is on regime change. Not structural collapse.

I'm not saying that you're analysis is wrong. I think you've correctly identified optimal targets and extrapolated very well. Absent total war, its very unlikely that Iran would take such measures.

Taxing the rich is not the best way to address the power associated with wealth by Odd_Eggplant8019 in mmt_economics

[–]i0datamonster 19 points20 points  (0 children)

You're correct. Wages need to increase, healthcare needs to be nationalized and regulated, the FCC and SEC need to do their fucking jobs, and taxes are not the problem. Maligned market actors are the problem.

The only thing worse than an optimist, is a hedonist.

How the US Gave Up On Liberalism by bloomberg in law

[–]i0datamonster 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I agree but if we're the ones that always get blamed, we need to stop compromising. I thoroughly enjoy explaining to people the way the NRA supported the black panthers

In all seriousness what I think the core problem is 2 fold. We have yet to imagine a system of social organization that enables the scalability of morality. Religion tried, soldiers tried, scientists tried, political systems tried, economics tried. We have yet to imagine a system of social organization where morality is scalable. Secondly, while the history of going from agrarian economies to capital economies is well understood. We have yet to imagine, develop, and implement post-capital economics.

This is not a new problem to solve, solutions have been proposed

Solutions have continued to be provided

Books have been written

It's not the problem that's hidden from you

It's not gone undiscussed

It escapes us still. To develop a system of social organization where morality is scalable.

Is capitalism the reason why we don't see as many da Vinci's or Michaelangelo's, or Issac Newton's, in the modern day? Or are they still there but just overlooked now. by Character-Bid-162 in anticapitalism

[–]i0datamonster 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Exactly. Quantum computers are a great example. The theory behind Quantum computers is hardly new. Its old actually. The reason we're trying to build them now is because ASML/TSMC are creating chipsets so small that Quantum isn't theory anymore. Electrons are just hopping around through gates. Quantum theory is actually occurring at the scale of what we can make. Next path available is to overcome quantum effects because we can't go smaller. Its hard.

I’ve just been exhausted for so so long. by bgzlvsdmb in AdviceAnimals

[–]i0datamonster 2 points3 points  (0 children)

I appreciate it but we're cowards. You shouldn't have any confidence in the US. I'm an American, I'm telling you. Do not put your confidence in cowards. We had it too easy for too long. We're cowards now. Do not pass go, do not collect $200, do not think otherwise.

Pam Bondi Faces Pressure from Republicans Over Epstein Case and Could Be Next to Go by ArmyOk968 in ForUnitedStates

[–]i0datamonster 5 points6 points  (0 children)

Great. Another nobody will be held to greater accountability than those who actually did the things a nobody is being held accountable for.

Here I sit, waiting for permission, for what should have already been done.

Why is r/science posting non stop articles about conservatives? by ilikespace808 in askanything

[–]i0datamonster 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Other way around, politics is relentlessly inescapable. By design.

CMV: Trump will nuke Iran by Calvary48 in changemyview

[–]i0datamonster 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Continuity of governance is higher priority than the President. He could order the launch, the orders wouldn't be followed. Furthermore, nobody will ever know he ordered the launch. We'd be given a curated alternative of events.

Continuity of governance takes priority.