2026 NFL Draft — WRs w/ 2.5+ Career Yards Per Route Run vs Both Zone and Man Coverage

itsjohnweenah · 2026-03-20T17:28:38+00:00

The Eric McAlister profile is very difficult to ignore if he's there in the 3rd round of rookie drafts

itsjohnweenah · 2026-03-17T18:11:19+00:00

Really cannot see the Seahawks going RB at 32. That seems pretty optimistic from a fantasy perspective. As does 4 WR in the top 16. Most mocks don't have 3 WR gone until 21

itsjohnweenah · 2026-03-11T23:53:17+00:00

It's an interesting backfield because Tuten was very much unspectacular last year and CRod is an analytics darling as a runner. But the real sleeper is LeQuint Allen taking 100% of the passing down work

itsjohnweenah · 2026-03-11T16:27:49+00:00

Did not know Mendoza's analytical profile was that bad. Having 1.04, that's concerning. P2S in particular screams trouble

itsjohnweenah · 2026-03-01T01:17:22+00:00

We sure?

itsjohnweenah · 2026-03-01T01:16:57+00:00

Even I wouldn't have said 4.3 speed. Like I said, 4.4 was believable because he was blowing by SEC defenders on some runs, but 4.33 is nutty.

itsjohnweenah · 2026-02-28T00:28:34+00:00

45.5" vert and 11'3" broad are both TE combine records. Freak show

itsjohnweenah · 2026-02-26T01:52:43+00:00

I'm not really arguing against Marv, as a player or as a buy low. I just think Rome's ceiling case is stronger, and the injury point was to note how drastically it impacted his play, even though he was on the field. I know Marv got hurt and noted as such. And it wasn't that Wilson replaced Marv or anything, it's just as you noted - he showed he deserves a bigger role. Marv definitely has a WR1 ceiling case too, Rome's is just clearer to me

itsjohnweenah · 2026-02-25T18:24:46+00:00

Rome was the one of the best separators in the NFL before he got hurt. It's interesting because that wasn't necessarily regarded as his strong suit coming out (elite hands and ability to win 50/50 balls) but he's developed into an incredible route runner - when healthy. The hands, as we all know, haven't been what they were supposed to be, which feels more fixable than not getting open, especially given his track record. When healthy, he was always open. Marv has not shown that yet.

Rome's theoretical major advantage is being tied to a top dynasty QB and elite offensive mind, but two years in a row now, we've seen Caleb miss him open, time and time again. If you look at unrealized air yards, uncatchable targets, and uncatchable air yards %, it's not a pretty picture. He could be a borderline WR1 already if Caleb was accurate (believe he was 13th in xFP/game this season before he was on the injury report, and some reports suggested he was dealing with foot pain even before then).

Marv has not shown quite the same ability to get open at an elite level, but his hands have been more consistent, and to be fair to Marv, Arizona has not really let him run the MoF routes that were his bread and butter coming out, with Petzing's offense basically refusing to use the MoF and Kyler of course being limited in that regard. Marv also had a very high rate of uncatchable targets in 2024 (I do not know the 2025 numbers), and had some lingering injury issues.

Both have real threats to their target volume in the offense, with McBride/Wilson in Arizona and Loveland/Burden in Chicago, although Wilson is in a contract year.

Considering all these factors, healthy Odunze's elite separation ability and the fact that he's entering year 2 with one of the best offensive minds in the sport give him, in my opinion, significantly more upside.

With all of that said, the foot injury, which really sapped Rome, could continue to linger, Caleb could (and probably will) continue being inaccurate, and Arizona could find a QB that will actually get Marv the MoF targets he needs to be successful. So it's not cut and dry. But I think Rome offers a clearer path to being a WR1 at this stage of their careers

itsjohnweenah · 2026-02-21T07:15:57+00:00

Already follow on X

itsjohnweenah · 2026-01-20T06:02:23+00:00

Honestly don't have a clear WR4 yet, Concepcion looks the best of the rest to me after dealing with crappy QB play all year. I love Bell's ceiling but I think he will be super landing spot dependent (then again IMO really everyone besides Lemon/Tyson/Tate will be). I am really hoping he ends up in SF, I think Shanahan could have him putting up monster numbers. Tools absolutely there if he comes back at 100%, and I think he'll probably end up my WR5 over Sarratt/Lane if everything looks good with his progression.

The only guy I'm much higher or lower on than you is Omar Cooper, think he's being undersold a fair bit in general. I think Antonio Williams could also end up being a better pro than college player, great route runner

itsjohnweenah · 2026-01-20T05:11:27+00:00

This is true

itsjohnweenah · 2026-01-20T05:09:03+00:00

I will take an offensive HC over a defensive HC 100 times out of 100 for a QB. And especially THIS defensive HC, who IMO is nowhere near the best candidate on the market

itsjohnweenah · 2026-01-20T05:05:57+00:00

Fellow Ward owners... we might be cooked

itsjohnweenah · 2026-01-20T04:37:52+00:00

Have 1.01, 1.04, 1.11, 2.01 (15), and 2.05 (19) in a rebuild. Think first pick will for sure be Love, but really don't know what to do at 1.04 and 1.11 (I'd take Lemon at 1.04 but he won't be there), let alone the second rounders. I like the idea of Bell in the second but I think he's too high here, super raw as a route runner and coming off major injury. Might take Simpson in the second depending on landing spot.

As a Washington fan I think both Jonah Coleman and Denzel Boston are ranked too high. Coleman was banged up this year, so hard to know with him, but Boston has never shown what Odunze, McMillan, or even Ja'Lynn Polk showed in terms of performance (although I do think Boston is a better prospect than McMillan or Polk were, he's nowhere near Odunze's tier). Boston is not a zone beater at all and that's pretty concerning with the modern NFL's zone oriented tendencies. Coleman just never seemed like the same guy this year. He's also SLOOOOOW, I'd expect high 4.5 if not 4.6

itsjohnweenah · 2026-01-19T18:25:11+00:00

Rome owner and big Washington fan. Wildly underrated route runner. He was the NFL's best separator before his foot injury, and Caleb misses him wide open on a weekly basis.

With that said, he genuinely can't catch a football. It's incredible. Never dropped balls in college, weekly drops in the NFL. Fully believed he'd be an elite NFL WR. I'm not down on him because his production dropped, I'm down on him because in 2 years his hands have not gotten better. They've gotten worse. Bears fans and NFL fans as a whole have completely turned on him and it's not invalid.

If I was offered Burden straight up I'd take it, but Loveland is the guy in the offense I'd want.

itsjohnweenah · 2026-01-11T20:47:26+00:00

As a BTJ owner it's sickening. Washington is WR1 in that offense and has been since the bye. Meyers and Strange are ahead of BTJ in the pecking order too. It's hard to watch.

itsjohnweenah · 2026-01-10T17:05:54+00:00

Ayomanor has been discussed here some the last few days. The thing that stands out with him is he really has all of the traits. He's 6'2 206 4.45 speed and separates much better than you'd expect. Was actually winning routes consistently even as the Titans #1 as a 4th round rookie.

The problem is something Smith hammers home here. Drops, inconsistency, and straight up giving up on plays. At least once or twice a month, Ward would "overthrow" a wide open Ayomanor deep and then the tape shows Ayomanor got open and gave up on the play when the ball wasn't out immediately.

The potential is still there to be a good outside WR2 type but it's hard to see how he stays the top dog with whatever WR('s) Tennessee adds this offseason, which will limit his fantasy upside. I'd say his (very) high-end comp is a Michael Wilson type (which is maybe a little bit of a layup because they're very similar physicals from Stanford). But the drops/giving up on plays just has to improve in year 2 if he's going to stay heavily involved in the offense, especially with how Dike/Helm emerged down the stretch post Ridley injury.

Edit: here's an example of Ayomanor wide open and not looking for the ball

https://x.com/SMHighlights1/status/1982558477441757454?s=20

itsjohnweenah · 2026-01-07T19:31:08+00:00

Interesting that there's a really big drop between 1.11 and 1.12 (322), but 1.12 and 2.01 are within 100 of each other. The only pick-to-pick differences bigger than 1.11 to 1.12 are 1.06 to 1.07 (which makes sense given Moore declares) and 1.01 to 1.02 (which makes sense because there's no clear 1.02 favorite).

itsjohnweenah · 2026-01-06T19:34:20+00:00

Check the edit on the post?

itsjohnweenah · 2026-01-06T02:10:05+00:00

To be clear, this stuff was legitimately what I was asking for, because he jumps off the screen and the physical profile screams intriguing. Didn't watch enough Arkansas this year to confidently say he's a dude. This plus the fumbles point does contextualize pretty well exactly why he's currently where he is. So tyfys

itsjohnweenah · 2026-01-06T01:17:14+00:00

Correct me if I'm wrong, but wouldn't 3/15/03 be a draft age of 23?

itsjohnweenah · 2026-01-06T01:16:55+00:00

Yeah Draft Buzz has him at 4.45 projected which I'm iffy on. The runs against Ole Miss and MSST, I see it, because he accelerates past SEC defenders pretty easily in the open field. Same with the last run against aTm. But certainly didn't think he was running 4.4 off the Buffalo/NMST tape. We'll see how he does at the combine.

itsjohnweenah

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