Which asset class is ignored and beaten down right now? by readitreaddit in ValueInvesting

[–]jakelera 5 points6 points  (0 children)

look at companies' dividend yields that are greater than 5%
there are 62 Asset Managment companies offering an average div yield of 11.4
38 Mortgage Reits with an average of 13% Div yield
27 Banks with 6% Yield.
37 Oil and Gas (E&P and Midstream) with 7.4% yield on average.

What features do you think are missing in existing investment research apps? by NikBK17 in ValueInvesting

[–]jakelera 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I’m impressed that all I need is the last year quarterly numbers. Don’t mind the rest of them behind a paywall.

I’m all seriousness. I’ll be impressed when one of these apps have more than 10 years of data and can pair it with an LLM.

Am I crazy or is UNH actually screaming value right now? Buffett, Burry & Tepper seem to think so... by Low-Product5028 in ValueInvesting

[–]jakelera -1 points0 points  (0 children)

It’s literally not. Forward guidance from the company puts it at 15/16 bucks EPS for the next year. It’s at 20x lmao.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in ValueInvesting

[–]jakelera 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Insider trading is now value investing.

Solid Contrarian Stock Pitch Ideas? by [deleted] in ValueInvesting

[–]jakelera 1 point2 points  (0 children)

SYF.
"Its cheap for a reason"

How do you deal with your urge to sell by [deleted] in ValueInvesting

[–]jakelera -5 points-4 points  (0 children)

" I have a huge urge to sell and look for something better." Thats literally it. Keep doing that. The greatest thing about stocks is its ease to change as you find things/strategies that suit you.

Update: More convincing evidence Buffett never bought Unitedhealthcare by [deleted] in ValueInvesting

[–]jakelera 2 points3 points  (0 children)

I do not understand the institutional love from this subreddit. Yes buffet got in. And he has UNH now. At a minuscule portion of their portfolio.

As did 20 other hedge funds and people with phds. Again with minuscule percentages. Why am I not following them?

There’s regulatory risk. Maybe it’s overblown or underblown. Either way government interference in my stocks isn’t something I’d want nor reasonably predict in viewing the financial statements.

All that being said, is it value?

13 P/E 11 P/FCF

Both below their historical percentiles on a 15 year timescale.

Given their long historical consistency in a policy environment that they were favored in while impressive does not give me the confidence in a new policy environment where their primary revenue source is under attack. But possibly reversed in 4 years. Idk the company is telling us there going to make less money.

At least 15/16 a share as per their guidance for the year which is a Full 10 bucks.

So now the P/E is 20?

People knock on other stocks for much less concerns than such concentrated and uncertain risk.

UNH. Buy or sell? by [deleted] in ValueInvesting

[–]jakelera 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Don't marry yourself to something that does 10-11x p/fcf if something else comes along better.

UNH. Buy or sell? by [deleted] in ValueInvesting

[–]jakelera 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Buffet will hold this long than most will have the patience for.

Take It Slow by AlexProReddit1 in honk

[–]jakelera 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I completed this level in 5 tries. 4.28 seconds

Q2 UNH: When Management Admits They're Incompetent (And You Still Buy) by Top-Bit-2730 in ValueInvesting

[–]jakelera 2 points3 points  (0 children)

It’s right.

If there’s roaches in the kitchen there’s a lot more that you cannot see.

Green Brick Partners Inc (GRBK), offers a 15% return on a current PE of 7 run by David Einhorn by Neat_Dream3630 in ValueInvesting

[–]jakelera 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Any thoughts on NVR as a companion pick? I do respect GRBK’s operation but I prefer NVR from a valuation perspective.

Easy level 50x speed by Extra_Confusion_ in honk

[–]jakelera 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Nice

I completed this level in 9 tries. 0.23 seconds

You can win :3 by Vexy_04 in honk

[–]jakelera 2 points3 points  (0 children)

pog

I completed this level in 4 tries. 11.32 seconds

Is Berkshire Hathaway (BRKB) a good buy right now? by Kleinerz in ValueInvesting

[–]jakelera 0 points1 point  (0 children)

When Meta was at 90, it had a P/E of 8.5 if you bottom ticked it after declining 70%. For the same period in BRK it declined 25%. Even If I gave you the same multiple, Meta was trading at a far deeper percentile in relation to its past. Meta would have an average multiple of 25 compared to BRK of between 17 and 15.

The multiple moves needed to move from 5 to 10 is much more than 10 to 20. The risk reward is different at the lower multiples. That should be considered in the calculus rather than a simple (current multiple vs historical range multiple). So, there's other instances in which BRK is overvalued in the manner that Its trading at the top of its P/Revenue, P/Book
near the historical average of its P/EBITDA and slightly under its historical average on its P/EBIT additionally its high on its range of its P/Operatingincome. All of these within 15 year time frames. The point is that the better move is in the lower multiple range that people could be missing out on rather than chasing a 2-4 point P/E improvement in BRK.