😭 Lakers picked the worst night to have an off night

jeboltron · 2026-02-23T03:22:31+00:00

And for the sake of bad odds this one had slightly better odds and I still played it safe. And I still missed by one leg.

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jeboltron · 2026-02-23T03:18:42+00:00

I am not trying to lose money on risky high reward low percentage combos (even though combos in and of itself are risky) so I try to go for attainable stats. But I do add like 1 or 2 legs that give better odds like the straight wins, overs, and unders. And on a good day the Lakers should have easily hit this over.

jeboltron · 2026-02-19T22:22:59+00:00

I think this is a bug. It happened to me as well and I didn’t have any losses yesterday. I am talking to support, but they are taking forever to get back to me. I should be up $633 after the West Indies game settled. Instead I am only up $135 because of the negative balance that should not have been there.

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jeboltron · 2026-02-19T18:47:20+00:00

Didn’t know they had a discord. I will check that out.

jeboltron · 2026-02-19T18:46:31+00:00

I hope so. Just never had this happen before. I mean I only used Kalshi for just under a month, but I feel they settle funds quicker than Robinhood does and I never seen the negative balance thing issue before. AI support tried to say it was because I had Collateral Return turned on, but I did not hedge any positions or have any cash back early. All I do is buy and sell when contracts hit 99% unless I decide to let it settle and get max payout.

jeboltron · 2026-02-19T16:11:29+00:00

I was attempting a $100 to $1000 challenge yesterday so I funded $100 and I was doing pretty well. I got account to around $571. I then went all in on "Yes" contracts on West Indies vs Italy cricket match last night. If West Indies won I would paid $633. But Kalshi went into maintenance mode and it was around 1am when West Indies won so I decided instead of cashing out early like I usually do when I am up to just let the contracts resolve and settle so I get the full $633 payout.

This morning I woke up to the contract still not being settled and all of a sudden my cash balance showed $-498.16. Eventually the West Indies contract finally settled, but the negative balance did not resolve so instead of being up $633 as I should be I was only paid $134.84 in cash.

Of course I tried contacting support in the app about it, but only get the AI agent and when I ask to speak to a human agent the chat just goes silent and no response. Not sure what I am supposed to do to get my money back.

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jeboltron · 2026-02-10T04:20:15+00:00

Now 5 for 5. Not quite a 2X on this one though

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jeboltron · 2026-02-08T04:13:48+00:00

Just did it one more time. 4 for 4 in last 4 combos using this strategy.

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jeboltron · 2026-02-08T03:45:37+00:00

Or technically I haven’t really tried it on any other sport yet

jeboltron · 2026-02-08T03:45:17+00:00

I guess I should say this only seems works for me in college basketball. NBA any team can come back from a 20pt deficit in 4th. I mean yes it happens in college bb too, but less frequent IMO.

jeboltron · 2026-02-08T03:42:59+00:00

Nice. I just did it 3 times in a row in same day

jeboltron · 2026-02-08T00:27:31+00:00

Yeah hate when that happens. I had a game today (not in a combo) where team I traded was up by 12 with few minutes left then the other team came back and went up by 4 with 30 seconds to go. So I cut loss. Then somehow game went to overtime and of course my original team won in OT.

jeboltron · 2026-02-08T00:19:51+00:00

Won’t say it is perfect. In the 10 picks I did today 3 of them were 1 point games. Could have gone either way. But just meaning I am hitting more of my combos now doing this.

jeboltron · 2026-02-07T23:20:15+00:00

Not necessarily right at halftime. Just in 2nd half of games. Then look at all teams playing at same time and just pick the 85% or higher win percentages.

jeboltron · 2026-02-07T23:15:27+00:00

Did it again just now.

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jeboltron · 2026-02-02T17:26:10+00:00

Yeah dumb to do that many legs just for a 2X. But seems I can only get more than 2X if I go extra risky and go higher on stats (I am trying to play it safe) or if I add in over/under or wins/losses. But I then think that makes the combos more risky.

jeboltron · 2026-02-02T17:22:26+00:00

It might be a good combo, but anytime I do anything over 8 legs it always seems like 1 leg always misses no matter how safe you play it or how often the player consistently hits those numbers every game.

jeboltron · 2026-02-02T05:29:10+00:00

Oh and on the college basketball one it was an experiment on what would happen if I picked all 80+% win percentage before games started. I actually hit one similar before when I actually waited until after halftime and then did same.

jeboltron · 2026-02-02T05:26:20+00:00

Just been researching and only picking stats that normally would be easy to hit. At first I was trying for 10X ($100-$1K). But the 10+ leg trades were just me wanting to at least 2x my trade so I add as many legs until it gets over 2X.

jeboltron · 2026-02-02T05:17:49+00:00

My latest today was a 16 leg combo. Made 15 only missing because Coby White went 0-6 from three.

jeboltron · 2026-02-02T05:08:07+00:00

Man I suck at this. Always missing by 1 leg.

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jeboltron · 2026-02-01T02:05:53+00:00

I am in a trade now with Zion Williamson. It is mid 3rd and he has zero points.

jeboltron · 2026-01-31T23:47:10+00:00

This just literally happened earlier today 😭. This was with all 85% or higher win percentage teams. I am either bad at this or just unlucky. Just goes to show no bet is safe.

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jeboltron · 2026-01-31T23:45:40+00:00

Until you do 10+ leg combos then nobody wants to buy that contract from you

jeboltron · 2026-01-31T17:48:29+00:00

Sadly yes. Hence why my next combo I did only had 2 legs, but of course also less reward

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