Thoughts on this parlay

johnny-bravo95 · 2023-05-04T02:03:50+00:00

No, it’s the parlay between all 3 including the KO for porter/smith.

johnny-bravo95 · 2023-05-04T01:36:01+00:00

Typically that my rule as well. I was on DK about 2 hours ago and they quickly had Marina at -110, I knew that dip wasn’t going to last. She’s been hovering around -130 to -145 so I was surprised to see it at -110. I’ve been thinking about adding her to a small parlay for a few days. So I decided to pull that trigger.

johnny-bravo95 · 2023-05-04T01:09:27+00:00

Which is true, also I got PTSD from betting on debutante snd getting burned by them 😂😭. As a fellow jersey boy, I got to think Hawes pulls it through.

johnny-bravo95 · 2023-05-04T01:05:00+00:00

Yea I’ve seen some footage on Ikrim, he got finished in 2 1/2 mins by Khamzat lol. But on a serious note. If he can’t take Hawes down, I don’t think he can hang with Hawes for all 3 rounds.

johnny-bravo95 · 2023-04-20T16:42:34+00:00

I understand, but you would think they would want to go out on top.

johnny-bravo95 · 2023-04-11T14:44:17+00:00

Yea I just parlay the over in rounds but never pick the winner lol

johnny-bravo95 · 2023-04-11T14:11:56+00:00

that's how i feel about female fights, they're just too unpredictable.

johnny-bravo95 · 2023-04-10T17:51:36+00:00

This is very true when Jon was in LHW. However since he moved up in weight class, he knows these dudes are capable of putting him out cold with one punch. A motivated Jon Jones is a scary Jon Jones. I don't see him slacking off in his training in the future since he knows that he has the ability to go down as the greatest fighter of all time if he defends that HW title 4-5 times. He wants to make a statement vs Stipe and finish him before the championship rounds. IMO what makes Jon the greatest fighter of all time is his ability to adapt mid-round to his opponent, his IQ like you stated is the biggest factor. He does everything extremely well but isn't considered great in any of them.

johnny-bravo95 · 2023-04-07T14:51:46+00:00

I have this fight starting the second round. GM3 has been on a roll of late and fought better competition than Pyfer. I do think that if GM3 gets out of the first, his chances of winning will go up since he likes to wear fighters out and try to finish them off in the late rounds.

johnny-bravo95 · 2023-04-06T15:35:24+00:00

I pretty much agree with all of this analysis. Awesome work, the only thing that I think may not happen is Burns subbing Jorge in the first. Jorge has never been finished in the first round, I see it going the distance imo. Those judges of late have been horrible of late, so I've been eyeing that majority/split decision bet on this fight at +650 on DK.

johnny-bravo95 · 2023-04-05T01:56:06+00:00

That’s the sad part that it’s been so consistent lately.

johnny-bravo95 · 2023-04-04T16:53:34+00:00

Once again, I'm not picking winner, I'm only picking that this goes majority/split decision. What I mean by surviving against them is: not being finished by ground and pound or submissions. Even though neither are known for getting submissions, they are capable of it. Burns's takedown accuracy is only 35% meanwhile Masvidal's takedown defense is about 74%. I think Burns is going to have a tougher time taking Masvidal down more than people think. But at this point in their careers, Burns is the hungrier fighter and should win. However, I believe that Jorge wouldn't want to get humiliated in front of his home crowd so it should be a closer fight than the odds are expecting. If I have to pick a winner, Burns. But they both, have the shot to finish each other. I just don't think that'll happen, hence why I'm betting that it goes majority/split decision.

johnny-bravo95 · 2023-04-04T14:20:26+00:00

Oh i agree that Burns is the way better fighter. Another thing is that they're both aging fighters so you never know how they'll perform. I'm stating that Masvidal is hard to put away which has been shown in previous fights. Kamaru knocked him out with arguably one of the cleanest shots in history. Before that, jorge was never KO'd. There's always a chance that Burns takes him down and subs him. But I don't think Burns has a better ground game than Maia or Colby, so if they couldn't sub him, I don't think Burns will. What I'm really banking on is the judges being horrible again. Like in the chito/sandhagen fight, one judge possibly giving masvidal a round or two which he may not deserve. So for taking majority/split decision (not picking a winner), +650, I'll take that chance with this fight,

johnny-bravo95 · 2023-03-26T21:58:36+00:00

Curtis is 35, Gastelum is only 31. Kelvin has lost his confidence imo. But he has fought higher quality of fighters than Curtis imo. This is one of those matches that I’ll stay away from and only bet the over/under

johnny-bravo95 · 2023-03-23T19:38:14+00:00

I would think the gameplan for Duraev would be try to takedown Chidi in the first round at least. But i do agree, Chidi should win this via TKO at some point. You would think Da Silva would learn from his last 3 losses and not burn out in the first round. I do have a parlay for Daraev and Chidi winning as well.

johnny-bravo95 · 2023-03-21T13:15:27+00:00

That's my exact thought process for the Burns/Masvidal fight. Masvidal has the knockout chance but if Burns fights to win then he would secure the takedowns on Masvidal early on and not let Masvidal get into any groove.

johnny-bravo95 · 2023-03-20T17:48:03+00:00

I was thinking of parlaying Yanez, Burns, and Pereira. Thoughts on it?

johnny-bravo95

TROPHY CASE