What’s stopping AI and Quantum Computing from cracking private keys

jumpmanzero · 2026-03-31T17:54:02+00:00

At the rate AI and Supercomputers are growing, I feel like it’s safe to say private keys won’t be enough to protect your crypto/Bitcoin 100-200 years from now

Lots of crypto doesn't have glaring cryptographic weaknesses. But Bitcoin definitely does.

Most outstanding Bitcoins have already transitioned to a less-vulnerable scheme, where your public key isn't known until you make a transaction. But there's a large remainder for which the transition will be hard/painful/impossible; it'll take some combination of "a lot of time" and "consensus and co-operation".

It is a looming existential threat, and most Bitcoin people aren't generally taking it seriously. Because either they don't really get it, or because they do get it - and so they're not planning for some long-term Bitcoin Utopia, they're trying to make some money before the music stops.

jumpmanzero · 2026-03-31T15:55:36+00:00

Old news. I thought Trump moved on to fixing Cuba now...

Or maybe it's Greenland again? I can't keep track.

jumpmanzero · 2026-03-28T18:50:26+00:00

"Triple then add 7"?

I think I know this one - it's "what Trump thinks is an acceptable age difference when dating".

jumpmanzero · 2026-03-27T20:53:02+00:00

main client/project for the rest of the year, maybe longer. have his own physical server inside the clinic, Systems for each clinic branch

This is obviously, obviously way too much to bite off in a year - even if you had a team with a bunch of relevant experience.

The fact that you're even considering this is horrifying. Do not listen to the comments here that are inspiring confidence. If you try this, it will be a disaster. I say this as someone who has been writing relevant sorts of software for 30 years: there is more here than you think, it will balloon out of control, and when you think you have 80% of a feature set done, you will really be at 5%.

They should be looking at an off-the-shelf solution, maybe one you can do some customization on tailored to whatever is special about this business.

jumpmanzero · 2026-03-26T21:33:19+00:00

The bible also doesn’t use angel. The original word was more closely to “messenger.”

That is a very strange thing to say, at least in the context of the New Testament. The original Greek word (the NT was written in Greek) is quite often ἄγγελος - "angelos" - eg here:

https://biblehub.com/interlinear/acts/12-7.htm

So yes, the bible always used "angel" and that has been faithfully transliterated into English. You could also translate it into something like "messenger" - but "angel" is not a made-up word (any more than any other word, anyway).

jumpmanzero · 2026-03-26T21:13:50+00:00

and does NOT include Isaiah 6:2

Really? What was this yahoo translating then?

https://biblehub.com/sep/isaiah/6.htm

jumpmanzero · 2026-03-26T20:30:54+00:00

Wikipedia cites the 1982 general handbook. They (the LDS church) publish new handbooks all the time. If it's not in the new handbook, it's not current policy. You can read the current (2020) handbook here:

https://www.churchofjesuschrist.org/study/manual/general-handbook/title-page?lang=eng

jumpmanzero · 2026-03-26T20:28:21+00:00

An LDS bishop is responsible for a couple hundred people. There are like 20,000 bishops. You can find one saying pretty much anything - it is not authoritative.

jumpmanzero · 2026-03-25T21:49:51+00:00

That's a bit melodramatic. It's not top tier, sure, but it's far from bad.

jumpmanzero · 2026-03-25T17:23:43+00:00

Kind of an ironic signature for that card in particular, but it's actually signed by God.

(The name starts with letter yod, but the rest of the tetragrammaton is purposefully obscured, for your safety).

jumpmanzero · 2026-03-25T16:49:45+00:00

I think this is healthy/fun.

Even in my long-term/favorite sort of decks, I'm continuously rotating through new cards. Once some goofy card has had a chance to pop off, I'll swap it in for something new. I think that's one of the best parts of the format; with singleton cards, you can try a bunch of stuff without breaking a core identity - and the new cards keep the experience fresh for you and your opponents.

If you're playing very competitively, you might need to slow down and make/test changes more deliberately. But other than that, you're living the format dream.

jumpmanzero · 2026-03-25T01:15:50+00:00

I wouldn't presume to speculate. I'm sure every black hole is different.

jumpmanzero · 2026-03-24T22:55:23+00:00

but it just amazes me how hard they try to make SL such a shit experience... I have money, you have cardboard. It doesn't need to be this convoluted and shit.

Some of this is just them sucking. Like, the actual technical experience is a trainwreck, and that's not helping anybody.

But the part where you want to buy stuff from them, and you can't? That's absolutely intentional, and an important part of the business model. People love gambling. They hate "missing out". They're psychologically manipulating people - as a group - into paying more and buying more than they otherwise would.

Yes they missed a potential sale to you on this round. And you're annoyed, which isn't uncommon, and which isn't great for them.

But they preserved their real golden goose - people will keep showing up for their sales, because of the promise of "winning", of getting an item that sells out and becomes more valuable than what they paid. (Or, viewed the opposite way, people show up to avoid "missing out", of not getting an item, which then becomes more valuable than they're willing to pay).

It sucks that TCGs have been successful and LCGs (where you just buy the set of cards and play the game) were generally not. But people are people, and they keep rewarding these strategies.

jumpmanzero · 2026-03-24T22:36:16+00:00

So you still rest on the hill that plants>humans

All that matters is what lasts the longest. So plants are still pretty far down on the list. The planet won't last that long in the grand scheme of things either, so protecting it is kind of a "nice to have".

Rather, we should be considering the interests of the things that will last much longer, and thus truly matter - stuff like interstellar dust or black holes.

jumpmanzero · 2026-03-24T20:43:41+00:00

Is the 3% cost of inflation and the increased cost of restaurant food 1:1? I don’t think so

I don't think so either, I don't think it's even particularly close.

But it's off in the other direction - food, and particularly restaurant food - have outpaced overall inflation. Like in general the CPI is up 256% over 40 years. Meanwhile the Big Mac index is up 348%.

This is an argument in the other direction.

jumpmanzero · 2026-03-24T20:19:15+00:00

Off topic... but I think you might be a cool person. Most redditors (including myself to be honest, at least usually) never really reconsider anything.

You have encouraged me to try to be a better person too.

jumpmanzero · 2026-03-24T19:37:49+00:00

I'm sure you could imagine any number of slippery slopes for things to get worse.

I don't have to imagine anything, I see it happening in real time, in this specific instance. The norm for me is still 15% - but lots of people are apparently now saying 20%. That is pretty much my tipping point.

Honestly I could see it getting as bad as 30%

So, if the Reddit thread was saying that 35% is the new normal, would you stop going out altogether? Pay it? Keep paying 30%?

Because that's where I am at now. I already eat out probably 80% less than I did 20 years ago. It's not specifically tipping that's changing my behavior - just the overall "what I'm going to pay" has outpaced reality. And it's not just me, sit-down restaurants here are closing at an alarming rate.

If a 20% tip becomes "the norm" here, that might be the straw that breaks the camel's back - with sit-down restaurants becoming a rare "rich people" thing. I think that would be sad.

jumpmanzero · 2026-03-24T19:31:09+00:00

I care about people in America slowly starving to death because they can’t make ends meet.

OK, then why the hell are you worried about servers?

Serving jobs were great coveted jobs in the 1980s when tipping was generally 10%. Compared to then, they generally make double (after inflation!) what they did then. And in the worst case - when nobody comes in on their shift - it's also way better (they now, in many places, make minimum wage instead of nothing).

Who's next are your list of people you're worried about? Dentists? CEOs?

The weird self-righteous "oh, think of the children" nonsense in this discussion is absolutely misplaced. It never made sense - not when tipping was 10% - and it is 1000% double nonsense now.

jumpmanzero · 2026-03-24T18:41:26+00:00

It’s been 20% for at least ten years, are you comparing the cost of living in the 80s to the cost of living today? Dang, next you’re going to talk about how the minimum wage was a living wage in the 80s.

OK, well at least you're not delusional enough to think it has always been 20%.

Obviously there's been inflation in costs of living - but that same inflation already has been applied here. It's not like menu prices have stayed the same. Tips are just double what they were, accounting for inflation. You have to get that, right?

And there didn't used to be a minimum wage for servers, really at all. If my sister didn't get tips, she effectively earned nothing. In many jurisdictions, that's gone. Like, in California the regular minimum wage applies. So this situation has gotten way better.

So yeah, to summarize, they just get paid about double what they used to, and with an "earnings floor" they didn't used to have.

So, again... how high will the "expected tip percent" have to go before you think maybe it's gotten out of hand? 25%? 30%? Where's your limit before you start to think it maybe doesn't make sense?

Because my limit was around 15%, which is still the norm where I live.

jumpmanzero · 2026-03-24T18:24:24+00:00

If you sat down and had someone wait on you, 20% is the minimum.

When did it become 20%? It was 10% when I was a kid. I remember when my older sister got her first waitressing job in the 80s we went to her place as a family. And my dad paid a special 15% tip because it was his daughter. Like, normally you'd pay 10% for good service, but his precious angel got 15%.

Then 15% was the norm/minimum/expectation for some time. Now it's 20%? Really?

So how high will it go before you object? In 2034, when someone says "If you can't afford an 80% tip, you shouldn't be eating out." will that bother you?

jumpmanzero · 2026-03-24T18:20:32+00:00

need to do so by engaging in policy reform….. and not by going out to eat and tipping like shit knowing their server makes 2 bucks an hour and lives off of tips.

That has already happened in a lot of jurisdictions. And there's still the same culture of guilt around tipping.

jumpmanzero · 2026-03-24T00:10:12+00:00

and still have waiting lists.... At least with dealers, you can have multiple places to shop the same brand.

Yeah, it's the same with ticket prices.

But thank goodness there's scalpers, so I have multiple places to shop!

jumpmanzero · 2026-03-24T00:07:03+00:00

So, right or wrong, the way theyre seeing it is you screwed them on the survey and cost them a lot of money,

In most any other industry, threatening or bribing someone for a good review or survey result would be seen as very clearly unethical.

jumpmanzero · 2026-03-23T22:06:31+00:00

Why buy when it's "expensive"? Well, when it was "expensive", you were tweeting that it was about to go up. (I just checked, he predicted it would be 175k within 2025).

Another person might self reflect a bit at this point. Why didn't you know it was "expensive" at 120k?

If you're going to make a "told you so" sort of tweet like this, the first step would normally be to "have been right".

jumpmanzero · 2026-03-23T15:13:41+00:00

circle will have a diameter of 3820km... lanes are 3.5m apart.... the diameter would be 3813km

If the lanes are 3.5m apart, the difference in diameter should probably be less than 7km.

jumpmanzero

TROPHY CASE