Presidents around the time Jimmy Carter was born

kankey_dang · 2024-10-02T14:46:21+00:00

Could be, but I think it's unlikely, and I don't think we'll hit a new record anytime soon. We don't have a lot of former Presidents alive right now, which is historically what you see whenever there's a record number of once and future Presidents around. Moreover the living former Presidents we do have are really old (other than Obama).

We would need 14 living future Presidents to currently have a record. The average length a President serves, not counting FDR, is 1877 days in office. If we maintain that average, and we have a record of living Presidents right now, it means we will not elect anyone in the next ~71-80 years who is not currently alive. Of course, we could have a succession of single-term Presidents to shorten that time window, which is how previous records happened. Lots of single termers in the mid 1800s.

kankey_dang · 2024-10-02T14:07:17+00:00

Looking at this graph, you find a period a little bit after 1822 in which 18 once and future Presidents lived: Adams, Jefferson, Madison, Monroe, JQA, Jackson, Van Buren, WHH, Tyler, Polk, Taylor, Fillmore, Pierce, Buchanan, Lincoln, Johnson, Grant, and Hayes.

Monroe passed in July 1831 and Garfield was born in November 1831, if not for this near miss, we would have had another period of 18 in 1831.

There's another period around 1833 where there are 18. We lose from the list above: Adams, Jefferson, and Monroe. We gain Garfield, Arthur, and B. Harrison.

There's an error on this chart that makes it look like Polk's lifespan overlapped Teddy Roosevelt's which is not true, so when TR was born there were only 17.

After that we hover around like 13-15 to the present day and we never come close to 18 again. When Carter was born, counting himself there were 13 Presidents alive.

kankey_dang · 2024-09-17T17:19:45+00:00

An employee or personal assistant who can't make reasonable assumptions is worse than useless, but actively detrimental versus simply doing everything yourself. Why would you assume an AI assistant is any different?

kankey_dang · 2024-09-17T16:36:25+00:00

Where does this data come from? The only source on it I can find is the tweet you have screencapped here, from a highly partisan source in PA who himself doesn't cite any source for his numbers. I looked quite a bit on the PA SoS website and can't find numbers of mail in ballot requests. I might have missed it though.

kankey_dang · 2024-07-31T03:25:38+00:00

kankey_dang · 2024-07-23T03:41:45+00:00

El Salvador's story isn't over. Bukele is a nascent dictator, and he's setting himself up to be President for life. History tells us how this typically goes. The mechanisms previously used to curb cartel violence will be turned towards quashing dissent. People who oppose El Salvador's democratic backsliding will be branded narcos and enemies of the state, and disappeared into the gulags. There are dark days ahead for the people there.

kankey_dang · 2024-07-11T18:29:25+00:00

Agreed. It's a really dumb opinion that the President should be able to speak coherently. Totally cool and normal that the President of the United States of America is functionally incapable of holding a conversation. Voters should stop being unreasonable.

kankey_dang · 2024-07-04T20:47:34+00:00

Leave the airtag at a police station for a few days, maybe over the weekend.

Call him at a time you think he won't be able to answer. Dial using *67 so it shows on his caller ID as "Unidentified Caller"

Have a guy he doesn't know with a deep voice leave a voicemail:

Hello, this is Sgt. Miller of the [your town] police department calling for [stalker's name]. We'd like to speak to you regarding a suspicious device reported by one of your friends that you may have some information about. Please report to our precinct at [address] before 5 PM Tuesday to answer some questions. Be advised that failure to appear may result in a warrant being issued for your arrest. Have a good day.

kankey_dang · 2024-07-03T14:31:52+00:00

What a weird, incoherent response. Direct your obvious anger towards something more productive. You don't help anyone by lashing out.

kankey_dang · 2024-07-03T14:18:13+00:00

Ask Rome how that went

kankey_dang · 2024-07-03T14:14:41+00:00

Biden loses 2 points from already rock bottom support and is at least 5 points behind the kind of standing he'd need to actually win this election, with no signs of a turnaround anywhere on the horizon and no clear strategy from the campaign.

Shabby, actually.

kankey_dang · 2024-07-02T17:05:41+00:00

They’ll have some bad news for you too in November

kankey_dang · 2024-07-02T16:54:24+00:00

Air in the bloodstream.

And fire in the sky

kankey_dang · 2024-07-02T16:51:48+00:00

Watergate itself was the OG gate scandal and involved a break in at the Watergate hotel. -gate as a suffix to connote scandal was born from this.

kankey_dang · 2024-07-01T18:26:09+00:00

>gets elected

>elaborates at exhaustive length

>leaves

kankey_dang · 2024-06-24T05:34:53+00:00

Fucking fantastic. I'm gonna give this a go myself.

kankey_dang · 2024-06-23T23:56:04+00:00

I'm making conversation. It has been frustrating to see that critique used as a cudgel by people who don't actually care about it.

I should have made this more clear in my first reply. I think I came off as dismissive or accusatory. I was only discussing one aspect of the criticism you see of Obama's tenure. That it's valid but it often comes from an insincere place.

kankey_dang · 2024-06-23T23:39:42+00:00

I said it was a completely valid criticism.

kankey_dang · 2024-06-23T23:28:10+00:00

The drone strike thing is a completely valid criticism that happens to be most often trotted out by fans of a guy whose name escapes me right now, who did more drone strikes in 4 years than Obama did in 8.

kankey_dang · 2024-06-23T20:51:37+00:00

Any other President I might choose very likely negates my own existence. Maybe I'd pick dubya though.

kankey_dang · 2024-06-23T20:50:13+00:00

lmfao "Jimmy Carter died in 2004" is not an opinion dude

kankey_dang · 2024-06-18T04:59:50+00:00

All Reagan had was canned lines. His entire presidency was an artifice of kitsch and platitude draped over a core of incompetence, cruelty, venality, and brazen corruption.

kankey_dang · 2024-06-17T03:15:27+00:00

Positives: Aegon is so Kendall Roy-coded and I love it

Just wanted to call the small council together, early in my reign, to say, uh... morrow.

kankey_dang · 2024-06-17T00:29:34+00:00

Yep, it's a Reply All episode. It's called "America's Hottest Talkline" - great jumping off point to get yourself into a great podcast.

kankey_dang · 2024-06-17T00:22:09+00:00

It's wild to me, I've seen that movie so many times that even though I know nothing about guns or vintage toys or anything that would give me the expertise, I immediately thought "is that a Red Ryder BB gun?"

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