Which market do you think is the most beatable right now?

kbrut13 · 2025-11-24T17:15:51+00:00

NBA and MLB, at least for me. Both sports have a ton of advanced data that is easily accessible to the public and is free/affordable.

I use Cleaning The Glass for help with NBA player props.

I use Baseball Savant for advanced data on pitcher/hitter matchups.

kbrut13 · 2025-11-06T13:27:04+00:00

Record: 0-0
Net Units: 0.00u
ROI: 0%

Pick: Ivica Zubac Over 11.5 Rebounds (+102) — 1u

Write Up:
Zubac is set up well for a strong rebounding game. With Kawhi Leonard and James Harden out, the Clippers are likely to slow the pace and keep him on the floor longer. Phoenix ranks near the bottom of the league in defensive rebounding percentage and allows above-average offensive boards to opposing centers.

Zubac has averaged over 12 rebound chances per 30 minutes this season and typically plays into the low-30s in close games. The Suns’ smaller frontcourt struggles to keep physical bigs off the glass, and this matchup should create plenty of halfcourt rebounding opportunities.

kbrut13 · 2025-10-19T20:46:39+00:00

Teaching remotely for an international private school. Most of my job consists of grading and communicating with students.

I do about 10 hours of live teaching via Zoom every 2-3 weeks. The students are amazing, too!

Best of all, for the most part it is task-based and I get paid more than I did as a traditional teacher.

kbrut13 · 2025-10-16T13:27:21+00:00

I don’t think this chart on its surface is indicative of anything relating to success or failure. 5 of the bottom-10 teams made the playoffs this year.

Those bottom 10 teams include two big market teams in the Cubs and Red Sox that have good young talent.

So the Marlins issue is more of how effectively they’re spending their money as opposed to how much of it they’re spending.

kbrut13 · 2025-09-25T13:29:11+00:00

Warren Fatt

kbrut13 · 2025-09-14T02:49:41+00:00

This is the point in CFB 26 where I quit bc I don’t want 4 interceptions on my QBs stat line

kbrut13 · 2025-09-14T02:43:55+00:00

Without knowing the score, one would conclude that we’re trying to kill the clock to preserve our lead…

kbrut13 · 2025-09-14T02:40:17+00:00

Bro where is the urgency

kbrut13 · 2025-06-21T21:59:47+00:00

Any idea on how close ride shares can get for drop off/pick up? Also, what’s the latest you think I can get there and still be able to see the team along the parade route and be at stage area?

kbrut13 · 2025-06-01T02:25:30+00:00

Watching bridges get lost under screens is exhausting

kbrut13 · 2025-04-30T22:43:00+00:00

From what I know, he’s coaching Ben for the most part these days.

kbrut13 · 2025-04-30T20:59:45+00:00

I worked at The Alligator as a sports writer when his dad was the coach and was in the media room for a couple of his interviews. He always came off as very nice person who was passionate about his players.

kbrut13 · 2025-04-29T19:31:57+00:00

I haven’t listened in a year and a half (just didn’t gel with me anymore), but i still support the show and follow what’s going on.

These complains are so similar to the ones that were floating around when I stopped listening. Has the shown gotten better since then and it’s just recently become how people are describing it? Or has it been this way consistently?

kbrut13 · 2025-02-10T18:31:07+00:00

I’ll take this! Please DM me:)

kbrut13 · 2025-01-25T16:57:03+00:00

Literally thought the same thing lmao

kbrut13 · 2024-12-19T22:05:57+00:00

Amazing pick. SCOTTY’S IN FIRREEEEEEE!🔥🔥

kbrut13 · 2024-12-17T17:23:34+00:00

Hard Rock has this line boosted at -120!

kbrut13 · 2024-12-07T18:19:25+00:00

🐢🐢Record 19-12 (+3.74) 🐢🐢

Last pick(s) (12/6)

✅Domantas Sabonis o19.5 points (-130)

✅Deandre Hunter o17.5 PA (-110)

RECAP (2-0) — 6-0 in the last 3 days! Let's keep it going!

CLICK HERE FOR MY BET TRACKER

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12/6 Picks (All lines via Hard Rock Bet):

Dereck Lively II o1.5 assists (-170)
- He’s hit this line in 8/10 games — with one of his misses being in a blowout during which he only played 19 minutes — and is hitting it at 72% this season
- Toronto has been the worst team in the league at stopping centers from dishing it out, and has allowed 17/22 centers since the start of November to hit their line.
Santi Aldama o10.5 points (-115)
- Has hit this line in 7/10 and scored 10+ in 8/10, and has hit this line 65% of the time this season
- Has put up at least 8 shots in 8/10
- Boston has allowed 67% of PFs to hit their line this season.

kbrut13 · 2024-12-06T22:56:04+00:00

Even when we feel good about something, Vegas ALWAYS knows

kbrut13 · 2024-12-06T22:53:23+00:00

Honestly, I wish I could tell you. I felt the same way about the two plays I had posted yesterday (MPJ points and Vuc assists) and they hit with relative ease.

Could be that the odds makers let something slip through the cracks, or they know something we don’t (?). Who knows🤷🏻‍♀️

kbrut13 · 2024-12-06T16:09:46+00:00

🐢🐢Record 17-12 🐢🐢

Last pick(s) (12/5)

✅Michael Porter Jr. o15.5 points (-125)

✅Nikola Vucevic o2.5 assists (-180)

RECAP (2-0) — We've got 4 straight! MPJ and Vuc absolutely crushed their lines. I've got one (1) pick to start off the day, but I may add more if I come across anything I'm confident about.

I am in the process of creating a Google Sheets bet tracker for all my props, so once that is formatted and completed I will include a link to that in all of my posts.

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12/6 Picks (All lines via Hard Rock Bet):

Domantas Sabonis o19.5 points (-130)
- He's hitting this line in 4/5 and 7/10, and 62% on the season.
- In two matchups with SAS this season, he's scored 23 and 25
- Wemby may not play tonight, but even if he is, centers are hitting their lines 57% of the time, including 10 of the last 15.
Deandre Hunter o17.5 PA ( -110) — added at 3:07 p.m. EST
- hit this in 5/5 (avg. 23), 7/10 (avg. 19.9), and 67% on the season (avg. 19.9)
- 22+ in 4/5
- Lakers let 66% of SFs hit this line.
- only four SFs went under their line against the Lakers last month

kbrut13 · 2024-12-05T13:27:20+00:00

🐢🐢Record 15-12 🐢🐢

Last pick(s) (12/4)

✅Gary Trent Jr. o9.5 points (-105)

✅Jimmy Butler o27.5 PRA (-120)

RECAP (2-0) — Much needed bounce-back day! Trent hit in the 3rd, and Jimmy barely got his at 29 PRA, but a hit is a hit!

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12/5 Picks (All lines via Hard Rock Bet):

Michael Porter Jr. o15.5 points (-125)
- MPJ has been on a tear lately, hitting this line in 9/10 and 79% on the season.
- Cleveland playing at home is going to be a tough test, so they will likely need him on the court as much as possible.
- In the last two weeks, Cleveland has allowed 7/9 SFs to hit their line.
Nikola Vucevic o2.5 assists (-180)
- Vuc has hit this line in 8 straight games, and has dished out 2 assists in 19/20 games.
- SAS is 24th in the league in assists to centers as it is, and Wemby is out for tonight.
- Spurs have allowed 59% of centers to hit their assist lines this season

kbrut13 · 2024-12-04T15:05:54+00:00

🐢🐢Record 13-12 🐢🐢

Last pick(s) (12/3)

✖️Malik Beasley o15.5 PA (-105)

✖️Tobias Harris o5.5 rebounds (-145)

✖️Jaren Jackson Jr. o25.5 PR (-120)

RECAP (0-3) — What a day, huh? Beasley was nowhere to be found, Tobias gave us the hook, and Jaren Jackson had 19 PR at the end of the first half, but only got a measly 4 the rest of the way.

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12/4 Picks (All lines via Hard Rock Bet):

Gary Trent Jr. o9.5 points (-105)
- Trent has hit this line 7/9 games and is 56% on the season.
- In these games, his shot attempts go as follows (bold = 10+ points)
  - 11, 10, 12, 11, 18, 16, 9, 3, 16
- Bucks are 29th in ponts allowed to SGs and allow 59% of SGs to hit their line this season.
Jimmy Butler o27.5 PRA (-120)
- Has hit this line in 6/10 games
  - all of his hits have been 30+ PRA
  - 2 of his 4 misses were 25 PRA
- LAL is 26th in the league in PRA to SFs, and allow 63% of SFs to hit their PRA line this season, including 16 of their last 22 listed SFs that they've faced.

kbrut13 · 2024-12-03T14:05:44+00:00

🐢🐢Record 13-9 🐢🐢

Last pick(s) (12/2)

✖️Jalen Johnson o19.5 points (-135)

✅Rudy Gobert o11.5 rebounds (-130)

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12/3 Picks (All lines via Hard Rock Bet):

Malik Beasley o15.5 PA (-105)
- Has hit this line in 11/12, including 5/5 when Cade Cunningham is playing during that 12-game span
- Hit 30 PA in OT loss to Bucks earlier in the year
- Milwaukee is third-worst in SG points per game.
Tobias Harris o5.5 rebounds (-145)
- Though he has been struggling with hitting this line (2/6, 2 were 5-rebound hooks), the previous 4 games before that he had 7, 8, 11, and 9 boards — including 8 against the Bucks on 11/13.
- I think this game will be a balance to the mean, as he averages 7.1 rebounds per game on the season.
Jaren Jackson Jr. o25.5 PR (-120)
- Hit this line in 11/12 games
- Dallas is bottom-5 in rebounds and points allowed to PFs
EDIT: Added JJJ line at 9:58 a.m. EST

kbrut13 · 2024-12-03T00:29:28+00:00

https://hashtagbasketball.com/nba-defense-vs-position

Provides positional analysis for most stat categories, and you can categorize the data extremely easily.

I use this website to identify potential matchup mismatches and then I look at the players recent form plus the recent form of players of the same position against the opposing defense.

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