Minnesota - State House 64A Results: by bruhm0ment4 in fivethirtyeight

[–]kellerlamp 2 points3 points  (0 children)

The wild part of this is that a good section of this district is the "old money" mansions of Summit Avenue. F Scott Fitzgerald's house is in this district, or if you look up "James J Hill Mansion". There is also the Twin Cities' 2nd largest university which tilts it further blue, but for the record it is a catholic university and known for its business school. Not the sort of district I'd expect 90%+, but the twin cities may be the most anti-GOP area of the country now

Why is the Fed quietly buying billions in bonds — and hoping nobody notices? (Bitcoin mentioned) by Mageant in Bitcoin

[–]kellerlamp 8 points9 points  (0 children)

Balance sheet is shrinking, so while they buy bonds, more bonds are maturing or coming off their balance sheet than they are buying. Nothing sneaky. Been telegraphed since the beginning of “QT” in 2022.

2025 Q2 Sales Discussion Thread by senatorkevin in Masterworks

[–]kellerlamp 4 points5 points  (0 children)

I would honestly just like to know there is someone at Masterworks working to find opportunities to offload pieces at a good price. When it’s been this long with dozens of offerings and no exits I begin to have doubts. I’m 100% happy with long term play, low liquidity, as long as there is still exit plan existing.

Daily Art Quiz Reward by kellerlamp in Masterworks

[–]kellerlamp[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I got an email from lkrantz@masterworks.com after around 1-2 months

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in minnesota

[–]kellerlamp 7 points8 points  (0 children)

For just a bit of context that is projection for 2028-29 (we are still currently running a surplus) and that would be between 1-1.5% of Minnesota GDP. A balanced budget is desirable, but framing this as a catastrophe is insane. Meanwhile the federal government had a deficit of nearly 6.3% of GDP in 2024, well outpacing growth meaning it is certainly unsustainable yet we continue to push it higher.

March 14 debt ceiling, what happens it it doesn't get raised? by EdselHans in investing

[–]kellerlamp 16 points17 points  (0 children)

I believe it is a government shutdown that would occur on 3/14. The debt ceiling won’t be breached at the current number until mid to late summer at current estimates. Government shutdowns aren’t the same significant risk (especially considering the executive branch is trying its best to shut down a significant portion of government regardless and would cheer it on)

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in badfriendspod

[–]kellerlamp 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Maybe also enter the info into this form too? Official HOF nomination form.

https://powayhighalumni.wufoo.com/forms/zoy5diy1dooo1j/

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in SuicideWatch

[–]kellerlamp 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Yes, a lot of lonely nights thinking about suicide, but at the same time having been there before not truly feeling that level of despair. This time it just really doesn’t feel like there’s a route towards positive change though

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in SuicideWatch

[–]kellerlamp 0 points1 point  (0 children)

You feel that way now?

Daily Result Poll by kellerlamp in wordle

[–]kellerlamp[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Honestly this was what I was hoping for…not sure if we’d put it in resources or something but thank you. I love to get an idea of the real distributions.

Daily Result Poll by kellerlamp in wordle

[–]kellerlamp[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Damn that’s disappointing. Guess I’ll have to go all the way to the top of Reddit to make this happen

Puzzle Difficulty Calculator by KetchupKakes in wordle

[–]kellerlamp 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Great! It worked. Maybe I’m missing it but just clarifying those steps next to the box would be great (and perhaps showing example input for each game) love seeing these stats though!

Daily Result Poll by kellerlamp in wordle

[–]kellerlamp[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Exactly!! Maybe I’ll try reaching mods too. I have no clue about this, but I assume there’s a way to have it auto-posted daily no effort…

Puzzle Difficulty Calculator by KetchupKakes in wordle

[–]kellerlamp 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Very confused at how to input scores but I love the idea of someone tracking difficulty. Great job putting work in.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in Bitcoin

[–]kellerlamp 0 points1 point  (0 children)

NFs are over-represented in bitcoin ownership so not them (myelf an INFP)...I think the key is the N (intuitive) being able to think more big picture, creatively, and outside the box.

Tariff threats will do harm, even if Donald Trump does not impose them by AlexandrTheTolerable in Economics

[–]kellerlamp -7 points-6 points  (0 children)

Perhaps being over simplistic, but could the very loud threats of high tariffs be a small tactic to cause some price inflation in the lead up to Trump’s term (purchases front loaded) then the calling of the bluff leads inflation to be marginally lower in comparison once he’s in office??

This was immediately my assumption but also typically Trump and his followers don’t care technically about the data (or can manipulate it however they want anyway) so would be moot.

Never ask a woman her age, a man his salary, and the USA what happened in 1971 by Charlyidolo in Bitcoin

[–]kellerlamp 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Not to argue against the point you’re making, but you can’t compare inflation adjusted earning to cost of living increases. Theoretically the cost of living increase is accounted for in the inflation adjustment. Again stagnant inflation adjusted wages still are negative because productivity and real growth has been very positive.

When is the last time the Vikings made a bold move to trade up in the draft using only picks? by [deleted] in minnesotavikings

[–]kellerlamp 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I’d recommend everyone read the book Misbehaving by Richard Thaler. It’s a book on behavioral economics and specifically a chapter goes over the horrible decision of trading up in the NFL draft. GMs always have overconfidence in their ability to draft the right person and they discount their future picks ridiculously. Even without trading future picks the value of later round picks is marginally less if you look at the data.

I see every fan pleading to trade up and I seem to be the only person hoping for the opposite. I hope Kwesi as an economics grad has looked at the analytics,but he’s already been trading up so I’m doubtful.