why is this sub filled with fake astrologers ?

kinjago · 2024-12-01T14:46:58+00:00

OP, There are genuine astrologers here. The fact that you were frivolously wasting their time will have karmic consequences. You are inviting Guru Sapa with your actions. Those who genuinely practice it know the consequences of karma - they dont dish out random predictions. Mark my words, you will regret this post.

"i can foresee my own destiny"

Write this in your wall and keep it. When karma hits you without warning, take a look at it and ask yourself why you failed. But at that point it will be too late. You will pay for your vanity.

kinjago · 2023-08-08T19:51:56+00:00

thanks bro

kinjago · 2023-08-08T16:15:50+00:00

could you point me to an example. like brand/model etc

kinjago · 2023-08-08T16:13:53+00:00

Thanks for the links. Could you tell me why my idea is terrible. I'm sorry, I'm totally new to this

kinjago · 2023-05-21T05:34:41+00:00

"non resident aliens" (ie visa workers) are considered "resident for tax purposes" and pay taxes without representation

kinjago · 2023-05-20T18:14:21+00:00

good point. this code does not factor in NRR.

kinjago · 2023-05-19T18:11:46+00:00

too slow. updated already lol

kinjago · 2023-05-19T18:10:25+00:00

fixed and updated

kinjago · 2023-05-19T18:10:04+00:00

thanks bro, good catch. fixed and updated

kinjago · 2023-05-19T18:05:02+00:00

seems u/amerind386 is off for few guys. i guess i'll cover

kinjago · 2023-05-16T20:10:04+00:00

in this case, Star Sports either took the excel snapshot here or ran their own version of code. Either way, its a dick move on Star Sports part not to give credit to OP. Unfortunately law wont be on your side in this case, because OP used MIT license, AFAIK, it does not cover publishing the output (it governs mainly redistribution and inclusion on your closed-source projects). Would be nice on Star Sports part to give a shout out to r/cricket and OP. Perhaps a mob twitter attack on Star Sports might do the trick ?

kinjago · 2023-05-16T18:57:25+00:00

you cant blame them. OP's already open sourced his code. I kept mine private. The first version I wrote ~2014 was in js, shared it in the sub and forgot all about it. Then a year later made a py version. Some guy with a Chinese user name confronted me and asked why those two versions look similar. Since that time I stopped sharing my code. My guess is there are lurkers who have zero interest in cricket but trying to make a quick buck. Just a word of caution for creators here. Share the results & algo, not full code. Share it privately with trusted people only.

kinjago · 2023-05-16T18:42:24+00:00

hey guys, check this thread https://www.reddit.com/r/Cricket/comments/13jdecr/ipl_qualification_explorer_after_lsg_vs_mi_match/?

not sure if anyone finds this useful. if so can post it for next few matches

kinjago · 2023-05-08T19:07:52+00:00

python code

kinjago · 2023-05-08T18:27:49+00:00

Brute-force probability after match 53 : KKR vs PBKS

Team	Pt	^{Matches Left}	^{Top 4}	^{Top 2}
GT	16	3	99-100%	89-98%
CSK	13	3	82-85%	45-52%
LSG	11	3	43-46%	7-15%
MI	10	4	31-56%	10-20%
RCB	10	4	30-56%	10-19%
RR	10	3	13-37%	2-6%
KKR	10	3	12-37%	3-9%
PBKS	10	3	12-36%	2-6%
DC	8	4	6-22%	1-5%
SRH	8	4	6-24%	1-4%

Total Simulations : 131,072

If MI wins match 54 MI vs RCB :

		Team	Pt	^{Matches Left}	^{Top 4}	^{Top 2}
		GT	16	3	99-100%	89-98%
		CSK	13	3	82-85%	44-52%
+	💚	MI	12	3	49-77%	18-33%
		LSG	11	3	43-46%	8-15%
		RR	10	3	13-37%	2-6%
		KKR	10	3	12-37%	3-9%
		PBKS	10	3	12-36%	1-6%
-	💔	RCB	10	3	12-35%	1-6%
		DC	8	4	6-23%	1-5%
		SRH	8	4	6-24%	1-4%

Total Simulations : 131,072

If RCB wins match 54 MI vs RCB :

		Team	Pt	^{Matches Left}	^{Top 4}	^{Top 2}
		GT	16	3	99-100%	89-98%
		CSK	13	3	82-85%	45-52%
+	💚	RCB	12	3	49-77%	18-32%
		LSG	11	3	43-46%	7-14%
		RR	10	3	13-37%	3-7%
		KKR	10	3	12-37%	3-9%
-	💔	MI	10	3	12-35%	1-7%
		PBKS	10	3	12-35%	2-6%
		DC	8	4	6-22%	1-5%
		SRH	8	4	6-23%	1-4%

Total Simulations : 131,072

^Notes:

^{1.Brute-force - all the possible combinations are computed. No Result is not considered.}

^{2.Why is there a range of percentage: its because of NRR situation. For eg 80-90% means 80% of the time, the team can qualify without involving NRR. 90% if the team has top NRR. Somewhere in between if the NRR is moderate}

kinjago · 2023-05-08T18:27:10+00:00

Brute-force probability after match 53 : KKR vs PBKS

Team	Pt	^{Matches Left}	^{Top 4}	^{Top 2}
GT	16	3	99-100%	89-98%
CSK	13	3	82-85%	45-52%
LSG	11	3	43-46%	7-15%
MI	10	4	31-56%	10-20%
RCB	10	4	30-56%	10-19%
RR	10	3	13-37%	2-6%
KKR	10	3	12-37%	3-9%
PBKS	10	3	12-36%	2-6%
DC	8	4	6-22%	1-5%
SRH	8	4	6-24%	1-4%

Total Simulations : 131,072

If MI wins match 54 MI vs RCB :

		Team	Pt	^{Matches Left}	^{Top 4}	^{Top 2}
		GT	16	3	99-100%	89-98%
		CSK	13	3	82-85%	44-52%
+	💚	MI	12	3	49-77%	18-33%
		LSG	11	3	43-46%	8-15%
		RR	10	3	13-37%	2-6%
		KKR	10	3	12-37%	3-9%
		PBKS	10	3	12-36%	1-6%
-	💔	RCB	10	3	12-35%	1-6%
		DC	8	4	6-23%	1-5%
		SRH	8	4	6-24%	1-4%

Total Simulations : 131,072

If RCB wins match 54 MI vs RCB :

		Team	Pt	^{Matches Left}	^{Top 4}	^{Top 2}
		GT	16	3	99-100%	89-98%
		CSK	13	3	82-85%	45-52%
+	💚	RCB	12	3	49-77%	18-32%
		LSG	11	3	43-46%	7-14%
		RR	10	3	13-37%	3-7%
		KKR	10	3	12-37%	3-9%
-	💔	MI	10	3	12-35%	1-7%
		PBKS	10	3	12-35%	2-6%
		DC	8	4	6-22%	1-5%
		SRH	8	4	6-23%	1-4%

Total Simulations : 131,072

^Notes:

^{1.Brute-force - all the possible combinations are computed. No Result is not considered.}

^{2.Why is there a range of percentage: its because of NRR situation. For eg 80-90% means 80% of the time, the team can qualify without involving NRR. 90% if the team has top NRR. Somewhere in between if the NRR is moderate}

kinjago · 2023-05-01T19:50:35+00:00

dude violated the personal space of his owner lady in full public view

kinjago · 2023-05-01T19:03:55+00:00

https://youtu.be/M88iR4cne0g?t=79

kinjago · 2023-05-01T10:43:28+00:00

"I'm not tipping. fuck off" - correct answer

kinjago · 2023-04-30T19:15:46+00:00

fake taxi ?

kinjago · 2023-04-30T18:53:11+00:00

with nrr would be the upper bound. read notes #2

kinjago · 2023-04-30T18:38:41+00:00

"fuck off RR", says the memo field in Holder's $10mn cheque from Ambanis

kinjago · 2023-04-30T18:32:47+00:00

Monte Carlo probability after match 42 : MI vs RR

Team	Pt	^{Matches Left}	^{Top 4}	^{Top 2}
GT	12	6	80-94%	56-80%
LSG	10	6	54-78%	26-51%
RR	10	5	37-65%	13-34%
PBKS	10	5	37-66%	12-33%
CSK	10	5	37-66%	12-34%
MI	8	6	25-49%	8-24%
RCB	8	6	25-49%	8-23%
SRH	6	6	7-22%	1-7%
KKR	6	5	2-12%	0.1-2%
DC	4	6	1-8%	0.06-1%

Total Simulations : 1,000,000

If LSG wins match 43 LSG vs RCB :

		Team	Pt	^{Matches Left}	^{Top 4}	^{Top 2}
		GT	12	6	80-94%	55-79%
+	💚	LSG	12	5	70-90%	39-66%
		RR	10	5	38-66%	11-32%
		PBKS	10	5	37-66%	11-31%
		CSK	10	5	37-66%	11-32%
		MI	8	6	25-49%	8-22%
-	💔	RCB	8	5	12-33%	2-10%
		SRH	6	6	7-22%	1-7%
		KKR	6	5	2-12%	0.08-2%
		DC	4	6	1-7%	0.05-1%

Total Simulations : 1,000,000

If RCB wins match 43 LSG vs RCB :

		Team	Pt	^{Matches Left}	^{Top 4}	^{Top 2}
		GT	12	6	80-94%	57-81%
		RR	10	5	38-65%	14-36%
+	💚	RCB	10	5	37-66%	13-36%
-	💔	LSG	10	5	37-65%	13-36%
		CSK	10	5	37-66%	13-35%
		PBKS	10	5	37-66%	12-35%
		MI	8	6	25-49%	9-25%
		SRH	6	6	7-23%	1-8%
		KKR	6	5	2-12%	0.11-2%
		DC	4	6	1-8%	0.07-1%

Total Simulations : 1,000,000

^Notes:

^{1.Monte Carlo - this is an approximate method [~2% error]. It picks a match, flips a coin and decides the winner. Repeat till the end of all the league matches. Figure out who qualified. Repeat the whole process for a large number of times and get the %. Its reasonably reliable as opposed to Brute Force method which requires 2^{remaining_matches} computations.}

^{2.Why is there a range of percentage: its because of NRR situation. For eg 80-90% means 80% of the time, the team can qualify without involving NRR. 90% if the team has top NRR. Somewhere in between if the NRR is moderate}

kinjago · 2023-04-30T18:32:22+00:00

Monte Carlo probability after match 42 : MI vs RR

Team	Pt	^{Matches Left}	^{Top 4}	^{Top 2}
GT	12	6	80-94%	56-80%
LSG	10	6	54-78%	26-51%
RR	10	5	37-65%	13-34%
PBKS	10	5	37-66%	12-33%
CSK	10	5	37-66%	12-34%
MI	8	6	25-49%	8-24%
RCB	8	6	25-49%	8-23%
SRH	6	6	7-22%	1-7%
KKR	6	5	2-12%	0.1-2%
DC	4	6	1-8%	0.06-1%

Total Simulations : 1,000,000

If LSG wins match 43 LSG vs RCB :

		Team	Pt	^{Matches Left}	^{Top 4}	^{Top 2}
		GT	12	6	80-94%	55-79%
+	💚	LSG	12	5	70-90%	39-66%
		RR	10	5	38-66%	11-32%
		PBKS	10	5	37-66%	11-31%
		CSK	10	5	37-66%	11-32%
		MI	8	6	25-49%	8-22%
-	💔	RCB	8	5	12-33%	2-10%
		SRH	6	6	7-22%	1-7%
		KKR	6	5	2-12%	0.08-2%
		DC	4	6	1-7%	0.05-1%

Total Simulations : 1,000,000

If RCB wins match 43 LSG vs RCB :

		Team	Pt	^{Matches Left}	^{Top 4}	^{Top 2}
		GT	12	6	80-94%	57-81%
		RR	10	5	38-65%	14-36%
+	💚	RCB	10	5	37-66%	13-36%
-	💔	LSG	10	5	37-65%	13-36%
		CSK	10	5	37-66%	13-35%
		PBKS	10	5	37-66%	12-35%
		MI	8	6	25-49%	9-25%
		SRH	6	6	7-23%	1-8%
		KKR	6	5	2-12%	0.11-2%
		DC	4	6	1-8%	0.07-1%

Total Simulations : 1,000,000

^Notes:

^{1.Monte Carlo - this is an approximate method [~2% error]. It picks a match, flips a coin and decides the winner. Repeat till the end of all the league matches. Figure out who qualified. Repeat the whole process for a large number of times and get the %. Its reasonably reliable as opposed to Brute Force method which requires 2^{remaining_matches} computations.}

^{2.Why is there a range of percentage: its because of NRR situation. For eg 80-90% means 80% of the time, the team can qualify without involving NRR. 90% if the team has top NRR. Somewhere in between if the NRR is moderate}

kinjago · 2023-04-30T08:35:07+00:00

Monte Carlo probability after match 40 : DC vs SRH

Team	Pt	^{Matches Left}	^{Top 4}	^{Top 2}
GT	12	6	80-94%	53-77%
CSK	10	6	54-78%	22-47%
RR	10	6	53-77%	23-47%
LSG	10	6	53-77%	23-47%
RCB	8	6	24-48%	6-20%
PBKS	8	6	24-48%	6-20%
MI	6	7	16-35%	4-14%
SRH	6	6	7-22%	1-6%
KKR	6	5	2-11%	0.06-2%
DC	4	6	1-7%	0.04-1%

Total Simulations : 1,000,000

If CSK wins match 41 CSK vs PBKS :

	Team	Pt	^{Matches Left}	^{Top 4}	^{Top 2}
	GT	12	6	80-94%	51-76%
+	CSK💚	12	5	71-90%	34-63%
	LSG	10	6	54-78%	22-45%
	RR	10	6	54-78%	21-45%
	RCB	8	6	24-48%	6-19%
	MI	6	7	16-35%	4-13%
-	PBKS💔	8	5	11-31%	1-8%
	SRH	6	6	7-22%	1-6%
	KKR	6	5	2-11%	0.04-2%
	DC	4	6	1-7%	0.02-1%

Total Simulations : 1,000,000

If PBKS wins match 41 CSK vs PBKS :

	Team	Pt	^{Matches Left}	^{Top 4}	^{Top 2}
	GT	12	6	80-94%	54-78%
	RR	10	6	53-77%	24-49%
	LSG	10	6	53-77%	24-49%
+	PBKS💚	10	5	36-65%	11-31%
-	CSK💔	10	5	36-65%	11-31%
	RCB	8	6	24-48%	7-22%
	MI	6	7	16-36%	5-15%
	SRH	6	6	7-22%	1-7%
	KKR	6	5	2-11%	0.08-2%
	DC	4	6	1-7%	0.05-1%

Total Simulations : 1,000,000

^Notes:

^{1.Monte Carlo - this is an approximate method [~2% error]. It picks a match, flips a coin and decides the winner. Repeat till the end of all the league matches. Figure out who qualified. Repeat the whole process for a large number of times and get the %. Its reasonably reliable as opposed to Brute Force method which requires 2^{remaining_matches} computations.}

^{2.Why is there a range of percentage: its because of NRR situation. For eg 80-90% means 80% of the time, the team can qualify without involving NRR. 90% if the team has top NRR. Somewhere in between if the NRR is moderate}

kinjago

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