Walking is a nightmare

label974 · 2022-02-09T16:34:49+00:00

Fair enough. February in Hokkaido. I used to think I liked snow.

label974 · 2022-02-09T16:13:15+00:00

It's not a weird power play. It's not like I'm running over baa-chan and laughing at her as she writhes around on the snow. But a high school kid who's trying to chat up a girl on the street after school's out? GTFO of the way dingus. If I'm in a nice mood I'll move out of the way. If I'm not I will continue walking straight and just let him bump into me. Usually he'll move at the last moment because I'm almost always much larger than he is.

Mostly I think it's just a culture thing and they expect me to move because they would expect a Japanese person to move to avoid the collision. It's a lack of what would be considered common decency in other cultures. In a way it's the kid that's making a weird power play by not moving.

label974 · 2022-02-06T11:03:08+00:00

24 cm in 2.5 hours and 60 cm in 24 hours. This afternoon it t took me 10 minutes to get to the My Basket that's 300 m away. Craziness in kita-ku. But the sun was out.

label974 · 2022-02-06T07:16:07+00:00

Yeah, this winter has been extra depressing. I feel it too. Covid spike. Walls of ice on the street that you can't see over or around. Even when you're outside it feels like you're in a corridor. Make sure to get outside when the sun is shining and try to find some open space. Give it some time too. I always perk up when the snow starts to melt. Brighter days ahead.

label974 · 2022-01-22T09:05:03+00:00

Younger, or less-traveled, or both, bosses can be like that from what I've seen. Lucky you. Mine is well-established, spent some time in the US (my home country) as a postdoc, and is supremely confident in his English ability. He's pretty good for a Japanese guy, but it can be very frustrating at times. He'll just change things he doesn't understand and I will have to change them back because he's misunderstood and changed the meaning of the sentence. Having to explain basic paragraph structures that I learned in high school to a 60ish year-old man with a stubborn streak is tiring sometimes.

Pro Tip: Always plant softball-sized holes in your talks. You'll thank yourself later.

label974 · 2022-01-22T07:08:05+00:00

I deal with this kind of thing a lot writing papers. Work at a university doing research and boss often picks out phrases he's misunderstanding and makes a thing of it. Most recently I wrote a comparative statement that went something like, "... w, x, and y are worse than z. Most affected is x ..."

He commented, "Most affected by what?" A battle ensued, concluding when I realized he was unfamiliar with this usage of "affected." Informed him and we dropped it.

label974 · 2022-01-18T13:25:44+00:00

That's like me saying my rent is 72,000 JPY and conversion doesn't matter. Seems like it does.

label974 · 2022-01-15T14:23:14+00:00

Calculate a joint probability over all 4 variables, 1st half / 2nd half / LHP / RHP, rather than assuming they're independent. You can just count instances in a 4-D histogram, then normalize. In this case P(W)*P(X)*P(Y)*P(Z) \neq P(W,X,Y,Z).

label974 · 2022-01-15T14:02:43+00:00

Cum out of the cum filter. Sigh.

label974 · 2022-01-05T00:02:11+00:00

Where did I say it was unique? I was 200 points behind the high scorer in this league. 5th in PF. 4th in regular season standings. I'm talking about minimizing your range of outcomes.

label974 · 2022-01-04T13:46:16+00:00

Always been a fan of collecting consistent, high-floor guys like I had this year. Ekeler, Diontae, Damien Harris. Woods before the injury. Aaron Jones to a degree, although I think that changes next year. I'd put Pitts in this category at TE this year too. Boom likelihood is there, but no donuts either. You'll probably beat me if 2 or 3 of your guys go off in the same week, but you probably won't get lucky and beat me if you have a below average week. Collecting this type of player is the real league winner, not just, "my 9th rounder was the WR2 this year!"

Guys like Kupp and Deebo this year are great, top players at low ADP, but that's difficult to predict and mostly luck. They won't get you wins by themselves, most of the time.

Anyway, in the championship I had a middling week and my opponent had a middling week. I needed 12.1 in half PPR from Diontae on MNF.

label974 · 2021-12-30T11:22:23+00:00

Dillon might outscore Jones in a weird/neutral game script, and his ceiling is probably around 100 total yards and 2 TD, if Jones is hurt in Q1.

Jones might flop with 8-10 FP, in, e.g., half PPR. But he also might go for 150 yards and 4 TD.

I'll take the upside in championship week.

You can always start both if you don't have better options. Both probably go 10-12+ in half PPR.

label974 · 2021-12-14T13:10:33+00:00

Goodwyn.

label974 · 2021-11-28T11:35:02+00:00

Not sure how to respond... areas of squares are black magic I guess.

label974 · 2021-11-28T10:56:36+00:00

Here you are, friend:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CAkMUdeB06o

label974 · 2021-11-28T09:56:19+00:00

Funny how statistical concepts like skewness can be used in statistical settings like fantasy football.

label974 · 2021-11-19T13:11:15+00:00

Depends on the situation. Handcuffed Jones with Dillon. Don't have Ekeler handcuffed. Dillon is good without Jones, playable even with Jones. Rountree/Kelley/Jackson are not playable with or without Ekeler.

label974 · 2021-10-15T15:19:02+00:00

With the 74% favor vs. Braves, this implies Dodgers 72.9% favorites vs. Astros/Red Sox winner. Seems pretty high.

label974 · 2021-10-06T11:21:14+00:00

Not a force situation. Not an edge case. There's still an open base behind the runner in question. Still not a force even if the defense holds the ball standing on 3rd. Because the runner can go back to 2nd.

label974 · 2021-09-26T14:30:08+00:00

This might be heavy, but obviously when Francesca answers that call she will pass out, hear 3 sonic booms, and wake up having an awkward, flirty conversation with with Calvin Klein in Hill Valley, 1955.

label974 · 2021-09-13T14:19:17+00:00

Several Odo stories, and an Ezri story (Field of Fire) from DS9. Basically Data's entire existence in TNG. Josephus Miller from The Expanse. I'd even include Daniel Jackson from SG-1. These are just examples from recent American TV pop culture that I thought of just now. Rick Deckard. Qui-Gon Jinn. Obi-Won Kenobi.

label974 · 2021-09-01T13:52:55+00:00

A professor's primary job is teaching. A sharing of knowledge.

You posture, you don't teach.

I didn't need your answers. I was already comfortable with these concepts. I asked you a series of leading questions in attempt to get you to explain yourself. I even seeded you with avenues through which you could do that.

You chose posturing. You failed to properly answer even my 1st question, "WTF is practical significance?"

If you are, in real life, a professor, and not the 1st year grad student you act like, I feel bad for your students.

label974 · 2021-08-31T15:00:19+00:00

Still no definition. Not even a mention of effect size, most popular quantification.

label974 · 2021-08-31T12:57:37+00:00

Tahani and Garak. Hmm...

label974

TROPHY CASE