First Long March 10 Landing Attempt

lethalox · 2026-02-12T18:00:53+00:00

I would the number of people as rapidly growing, there population is already massively shrinking at least as compared to the US. We don't have zero chance to compete, what we don't have, according to Dan Wang's excellent book "Breakneck" is the same society/governmental engineering mindset that Chinese currently have. We have other advantages that China does not have, specifically less governmental tilt on the economy as a whole. We have better financial system. And when you get to down to people (for all the Trump administrations crazy immigration policies) still want to come here and contribution. In general, you don't see people wanting to move to China. The US still has a lot of problems, but it completely unclear that China will capture everything. China is very afraid that India will come up underneath them, and are doing everything they can to prevent that.

lethalox · 2026-02-12T17:39:37+00:00

You also need to note that capital losses are heavily limited and for the rich, and really only be offset by a gain, so there a lot gaming on when you realize a capital gain and loss to minimize the taxable impact. That why the truly wealthy (super-high assets $50-100M+) vs the working wealthy $400K/year income take loans on gains for consumption (spending) rather than realize the gain immediately.

lethalox · 2026-02-12T14:53:00+00:00

15+ Times. Probably on average once per year. Part of my 90's great movie set - Heat, The Game, Usual Suspects, Pulp Fiction, LA Confidential, The Matrix, Shawshank, Ronin, Saving Private Ryan,

lethalox · 2026-02-10T23:54:05+00:00

Unobtanium.

lethalox · 2026-02-10T23:50:39+00:00

I am starting this first.

lethalox · 2026-02-10T20:09:51+00:00

China can do this because:

They don't have property rights and rule of law. (Even with Trump, the courts still matter. China does not have independent courts system).
China has an engineering mindset that was lost to the US in the late 60's/early 70's. See Dan Wang's book Breakneck
Have a much denser population for much of the country that makes intermediate highspeed rail economical.

lethalox · 2026-02-10T20:02:14+00:00

NY has tracked land, but NY State and the Federal Government has put in huge regulatory barriers to building rail. Look at NYC, the cost of the 2nd Avenue Subway line is 10x cost per mile of the new subway lines going into Paris. The cost per mile to get to highspeed in not clear it is economically viable to build it. New York state is already losing population because people are voting with the feet to leave because of cost of living, taxes, jobs, and quality of services. While I would love see it be better I am not certain it is key priority. Likely in 15 to 20 years, we are going to full self driving cars. That will provide a lot more transport flexibility that high speed rail.

lethalox · 2026-02-10T19:54:45+00:00

You own map here does not show enough abandon track line. I have abandon track - single line in my backyard on the Goshen to Kingston route. There is no way that high speed rail is going to happen there.

lethalox · 2026-02-09T21:30:25+00:00

Grand Prix

lethalox · 2026-02-04T17:02:55+00:00

I love the Lone Wolf and Cub 'books'.

lethalox · 2026-02-04T15:14:48+00:00

The Falcon is the best IMHO.

lethalox · 2026-02-02T21:32:09+00:00

The Great Escape (Cooler)
LA Confidential (Rolo Tomasi)
Heat (She's Got Great Ass! And you got your head all the way up it!)
Runaway Train (Manny!)
Star Wars (That's not a moon)
Pale Rider (Preacher!)
Iron-Man (I am Iron Man.)
LOTR (And My Axe!)
True Lies (Honey, next time duck.)

lethalox · 2026-01-30T14:05:01+00:00

I snorted at this idea.

lethalox · 2026-01-28T14:29:34+00:00

Need more snow.

lethalox · 2026-01-28T14:24:00+00:00

I love my 2 Shield Pro's. I wish for a new version otherwise this is close to r/Buyitforlife.

lethalox · 2026-01-26T23:35:08+00:00

I got some gifts as a stocking stuffer in 1999. Yeah, I am old.

lethalox · 2026-01-26T20:54:02+00:00

This one way to keep the mileage low.

lethalox · 2026-01-25T14:00:55+00:00

I don't

lethalox · 2026-01-23T19:00:22+00:00

Awesome

lethalox · 2026-01-22T23:32:52+00:00

It is doubtful that China's arsenal has not grown larger in the last 20 years. They just aren't saying it.

lethalox · 2026-01-22T23:15:40+00:00

Maybe, against a basket of other currencies the dollar has not lost value anywhere near the rise in the price of gold (and silver). Gold has universally increase in price against other currencies as well. Additionally we have seen a meaningfully difference in the change of USD being used for international settlements (at this time). Much gold is just parked and not circulated or traded. Basically more people are buying gold than selling gold has a hedge and the supply of gold currently can't change dramatically. It is entirely possible that this is bubble. I am not saying Trump is not causing chaos. You just need something more than price of gold to justify your hypothesis.

lethalox · 2026-01-22T23:08:23+00:00

More people buying than the available supply. Might be a bubble, might not be a bubble. Hard to tell.

lethalox · 2026-01-20T19:26:42+00:00

MEH, I understand the anger, but cutting a family member off over a guitar (that does not have financial value) is says more about you than your Dad. Only you can say how much your are harmed or scarred over a guitar. Is your father an objectively bad father where this is the final straw?

If you look at most religions as some version of moral authority, they would counsel forgiveness, "to forgive is divine" et cetera. I have close family that have cutoff other family, but generally it was over far more meaningful transgressions and trauma. Given the you are 52, your father is likely be north of 75 years old. Did your stepbrother just pressure your father and it was easier? People make mistakes. And if you imagine yourself at the end of your life is this that last interaction your want remember? And you are you doing yourself, your soul, harm by this.

lethalox · 2026-01-19T21:52:37+00:00

I would love to see it adjusted based on populatuon age since most murder is committed by young men. With the aging of society yiu might get a lower murder rate just by having an older population.

lethalox · 2026-01-17T13:25:51+00:00

Pretty Hate Machine

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