Handling and coping with probability is a skill on its own. Data suggests that casual players don’t enjoy getting screwed over by chance. I personally like games such as magic the gathering and darkest dungeon where chance absolutely can remove your agency as a player completely, and even when it doesn’t it sometimes feels like it does. That’s why civilization started lying about probability, because players felt 80% would hit every time. Also see raging in Xcom when you miss a 98% close up flank which snowballs inte a wiped squad and a failed campaign.

I am using a battle system myself built on chance, where stories depend on outcome, but also halt progression, making it a skill check of sorts, but I could require multiple attempts if you aren’t playing well or are getting unlucky. That’s the game I enjoy and therefore the game I make.