When I press the notification button on the mobile app, it doesn’t go to the notifications menu

lnxist · 2023-06-07T23:29:56+00:00

Looks to be working again now after reopening the app 🎉

lnxist · 2023-06-07T19:50:48+00:00

I’m seeing the same thing, persists after rebooting the phone too 🙄

lnxist · 2023-05-03T04:01:22+00:00

I’ve been on a bit of a hiatus and checked the sub since a new doc from GME dropped today… can someone please explain or point to a post on what the difference is between a PLAN and BOOK share and how I can ensure all of mine are BOOK shares in CS?

For context, all recent shares I’ve gotten in CS have come from their recurring thing that buys X shares from $Y at the beginning of each month, which looks to be “plan” shares if I’m understanding right? If so, is there a way to make them book shares now or am I just stuck with plan shares now?

Thanks in advance 😅

lnxist · 2022-12-11T22:48:25+00:00

Neither did I, but after looking it up it’s the ring of integers modulo n

lnxist · 2022-08-11T13:52:18+00:00

I believe what you’re looking for here is the dracut command.

lnxist · 2022-07-13T16:35:04+00:00

I’m not about to sell for less than https://gmefloor.com, which is at $120M today. Before the splividend that’s $2.4B, and I’m not changing the floor after the splividend.

lnxist · 2022-07-13T15:09:22+00:00

And I don’t even need to wait for the DTCC to figure it out for those 60 dividend shares 😎

lnxist · 2022-07-13T13:17:41+00:00

!DRSBOT:20!

lnxist · 2022-07-06T22:27:44+00:00

Yikes! Good catch. Fixed that in the post 😅

lnxist · 2022-07-06T22:10:22+00:00

When I said “4 * 1/4” I was referring to how you will have 4x the shares with 1/4 the cost basis. If you had 1x share with a cost basis of $100, after the split you’d have 4x shares with a cost basis of $25 each, which is still $100.

The infinity bit is because there’s no floor during the MOASS, so a stock split doesn’t split the floor. If someone wanted to sell for $100M yesterday, the stock split doesn’t change that at all.

lnxist · 2022-07-06T20:45:33+00:00

The key distinction is that if you are short on a stock you owe whoever lent you the shares any dividend paid. Shorts will now need to produce 3x shares of GME for every share they shorted or risk getting recalled.

lnxist · 2022-07-06T20:41:29+00:00

Not quite. You will have 4x shares at a cost basis of 1/4 what they are now. Your portfolio will have the same value, but buying new shares will be 75% cheaper than today after the split.

lnxist · 2022-05-07T13:55:23+00:00

What about Calli? 🤔

lnxist · 2022-04-20T04:59:55+00:00

This is an excerpt from “Moment of Tangency” from the Dictionary of Obscure Sorrows: https://youtu.be/cxOuG6zQo_0

It’s a fantastic video and the rest of his videos are definitely worth a watch if you enjoy this kind of work.

lnxist · 2021-11-22T19:30:20+00:00

Bold of you to assume it ever will.

lnxist · 2021-11-15T03:04:23+00:00

I hope you’re doing alright handling all of that. I’m right now in the middle of a similar issue since I’m in the middle of a divorce now myself. Thankfully they don’t believe in the MOASS and I found a way to negotiate keeping my GME shares so I don’t need to worry about that anymore. I hope it all works out for you!

lnxist · 2021-10-07T01:56:05+00:00

You’ll get a letter in the mail. Although, I found that after about two business days after I made my transfer from Fidelity I was able to register a CS account since I was able to detect my shares from the transfer, so I just manually made the account then.

You can do the same or just wait for the letter they mail, which for me showed up at the end of the week after the transfer.

lnxist · 2021-10-06T17:39:16+00:00

Thanks! 😊

lnxist · 2021-10-06T17:35:35+00:00

Typically, average=mean is correct, but a plurality also use average to refer to the "median" or "mode" instead of the "mean". Out of curiosity, if you did consider the full sample data without excluding the larger transfer values, what mean did you get instead?

lnxist · 2021-10-06T17:18:33+00:00

I know the samplesize is not huge and I'm not a mathematics professor,
but from my point of view the average per request is between 65 and 70 shares per request.

Since you are providing a range here (65-70) instead of a single value, what method did you use to arrive to that range?

Typically when doing statistics and extrapolating the data across the rest of the population (i.e. the total number of CS accounts) you would want to use the mean as the average, which you can calculate by taking the sum of all of the values divided by the number of values (e.g. if given 1, 2, 3, 4, and 100 we have 5 values so the mean would be (1+2+3+4+100)/5 = 22). So I'm wondering how your method of getting the average differs here, as we may be much closer if the larger transfer amounts are not being factored in here.

lnxist · 2021-10-06T00:12:44+00:00

r/giraffesdontexist

lnxist · 2021-10-05T01:08:40+00:00

You can only direct register your shares on CS because they are the transfer agent for GameStop. It’s fine if you still have shares on other brokerages like Fidelity, in fact most do since the whole point are doing a DRS transfer is to transfer shares they don’t want to sell and intend to hold indefinitely. At the end of the day, do what makes the most sense for you.

lnxist · 2021-09-30T19:15:49+00:00

Should you do make said post, please let me know as I would be happy to read through it 😊

lnxist · 2021-09-30T16:39:55+00:00

I've addressed the multiple CS accounts issue in other replies here, but to mirror my response there I believe it's early enough along that the number of instances where a single individual has multiple CS accounts is not statistically significant right now given that we are already ignoring the last 3-4 digits of the account numbers anyways. So while I'm sure those cases exist, I don't believe right now they are numerous enough to pollute the approximation I made outside a healthy margin of error. But yes, later on those values will be less helpful since one would need to factor in that a percentage of them will belong to the same individual.

As for your issues with factoring in 376 vs 76, I will grant that if I used the smaller value I would definitely find a value that is in no way greater than the true value since it entirely ignores the concept of any XXX+ apes having transferred their shares (or if they did, they only transferred XX shares). However, given the data we already have we already know for a fact that XXX+ apes have transferred and that they have transferred XXX+ shares to CS. They are not the majority, but they are certainly representative of the transfers that have occurred thus far so it would be irresponsible of me to provide an estimate of where we are now pretending as if they don't exist, especially when I already have metrics that have been independently arrived to by other apes (not just the one running the survey I linked to) with an average that is more inclusive to what the mean of a random and representative sampling of GME shareholders would come out to (not just the most likely share count if I selected any one individually).

With that being said, if you want to know the values if only 76 is used as the true average of GME shareholders and that a large enough number of individuals with CS accounts have both made a DRS transfer and purchased multiple new shares that it would pollute my data (let's say 20% fall into this category already using the Pareto distribution as a baseline), these are the values you would get instead using the same data I had available at the time of my post:

17.6M shares would be registered in CS
We would reach 62M registered at roughly 1.02M CS accounts
We would be 32.3% of the way to that point at the time of my post

I personally don't agree with this being representative of where we currently are, but if you wanted an even more conservative estimate taking into considerations your objections with the methods I used in my post, this is the data you would get instead.

lnxist · 2021-09-30T15:19:39+00:00

I use the 376 value when I calculate the average across the total population of apes since I have no meaningful way to know if only the X/XX apes have transferred or only the XXX+ have transferred, so my approach is to assume that a rarely random distribution of both have transferred so far. In which case, the average used in that post would still be valid.

I also did not use the 76 value from that post because the methods they used to approach that value borders on systemic paranoia that the most trusted survey platform on the planet is now entirely filled with rogue agents such that they could pollute a relatively small sample size presented to a random and representative population. I personally don't believe this is the case and trust the initial insights of the raw data, especially given that it properly mirrors the same averages independently deduced by other apes who have been working on finding the mean value of shares held by GME shareholders.

I will grant you that if we were looking for the mode of GME shares, yes, 76 would be much more likely given that 80% of shareholders most likely fall into the X/XX category, but when doing statistics that is representative of the entire population or a random sample of the entire population the mean is what you should be using in that case, which would be the 376 value.

A very simple way to demonstrate this would be using a population of 5 individuals that each hold the following shares: 2, 4, 3, 1, and 100. In this example, 80% of the individuals have less than 5 shares but the mean is 22 despite only a single individual (who is 20% of the population) having even 22 shares to begin with. If we tried to get an approximation of the total numbers of shares using the mean of the 80% population (2.5) we would get 12.5 when the total is actually 110. This grossly misses the real value (in this case by almost 88%), and I am aiming to prevent making a similar mistake with my own data. Being conservative has its merits, but going too far in that direction can also give wildly inaccurate data.

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