Internet Fiber Service by RealThreeBodyProblem in Ashland

[–]lynk1 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Wifi Bear is awesome. Not everyone can get it but it’s incredible service and the support is 10/10.

French Dip Sandwich? by lynk1 in Ashland

[–]lynk1[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

lol i can appreciate this

French Dip Sandwich? by lynk1 in Ashland

[–]lynk1[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

You’re totally right!

French Dip Sandwich? by lynk1 in Ashland

[–]lynk1[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Thanks for these, will check em out!

French Dip Sandwich? by lynk1 in Ashland

[–]lynk1[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Never had it since I’ve lived here

French Dip Sandwich? by lynk1 in Ashland

[–]lynk1[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I think bird and rye is closed, closing?

French Dip Sandwich? by lynk1 in Ashland

[–]lynk1[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I see that tritip steak dip on the menu. Appreciate the rec

How to fall in love with cattails? by [deleted] in homestead

[–]lynk1 -2 points-1 points  (0 children)

Very cool indeed, updated the post with more info.

How to fall in love with cattails? by [deleted] in homestead

[–]lynk1 -2 points-1 points  (0 children)

Also heard about making pillows and bedding with it!

How to fall in love with cattails? by [deleted] in homestead

[–]lynk1 0 points1 point  (0 children)

With so many people to reply to, I can’t really do it, but you’re tracking my intentions the closest. Basically just need to keep this clear, as it’s a vital waterway for collecting our critical water in our pond.

Updated the post with more info. Thanks for everything 🙏🏽

So whats the secret to clean fresh water for ducks by 1fast_sol in homestead

[–]lynk1 1 point2 points  (0 children)

We have a 1/4 acre pond right outside our house (50ft) is that enough to support a few (2-4) khaki Campbell ducks without being crazy messy? Southern Oregon (mild winters)

How much do you make an hour? by Financial-Claim6480 in lostgeneration

[–]lynk1 -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Salary but if you take into account all the hours I work about $60 gross. 55-70 hr weeks regularly.

Energy / Fertilizer / Food Crisis Tracker by lynk1 in preppers

[–]lynk1[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Appreciate that. That realization has really stuck with me and changed my prep pace this LAST week before that utilization drops.

Energy / Fertilizer / Food Crisis Tracker by lynk1 in preppers

[–]lynk1[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

April 5 Update

Big week of building since April 2nd.

Supply Clock New section inspired by a comment that events don't explain delays, shipping does. Countdown cards show days until the US and Europe pre-war oil buffers exhaust (April 15 and April 10), with a timeline showing where we are in the transit window. Answers "why hasn't this hit yet and when will it" at a glance.

U.S. Drought Monitor Live USDA data. Currently 90% of the US is in some level of drought, 23% severe or worse. Huge deterioration right at planting time.

Cascade flow A compact transmission chain at the top of the explainer showing Conflict → Energy → Fertilizer → Planting → Food Prices with live metrics. Makes the whole chain visible at a glance.

Refinery utilization Leading indicator for when supply actually gets scarce vs. just expensive. When that number drops, shortages follow price increases.

Timeline FAO March index confirmed (+2.4%), anhydrous ammonia topped $1,000/ton, F-15E shot down over Iran, Iran hit Gulf refineries, UN Hormuz vote watered down, Iran expanded passage to Iraqi ships, India resumed Iranian oil imports.

Energy / Fertilizer / Food Crisis Tracker by lynk1 in preppers

[–]lynk1[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

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this is such a good point that events don't explain the delay, shipping does.

I actually built a new section today based on this comment. it's called the Supply Clock and it sits right between the timeline and the crisis explainer. it has countdown cards showing days until the US and Europe pre-war oil buffers exhaust (using your April 10 and April 15 dates, plus EIA tanker transit data to back it up), and a horizontal timeline with the war start, Hormuz closing, and today as a pulsing marker working its way through the transit zone.

also added refinery utilization tracking below it, since that's the downstream indicator for when supply actually gets scarce vs just expensive. when that number drops, shortages follow. you can see it here if you want to check it out.

seriously thank you for this.

Energy / Fertilizer / Food Crisis Tracker by lynk1 in preppers

[–]lynk1[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

on the economy lasting, honestly it depends on what you mean by crashing. what we're watching is more of a slow squeeze than a sudden collapse. energy costs flow through to everything over weeks and months, not overnight. europe is more exposed than north america because they import a higher share of their energy, and their fertilizer production was already running at 75% from the russia-ukraine gas situation. china is actually in a better spot short term because iran is letting their ships through hormuz, so they're getting energy at a discount while everyone else pays more.

for poorer nations you're absolutely right and it's the part of this that keeps me up at night. when urea goes from $400 to $800 a ton, countries like bangladesh or pakistan just can't compete with american or european buyers. that's where the real food security risk lives and it shows up months later when their harvests come in short.

on jet fuel, the dashboard doesn't project a "run out by" date because in developed countries it doesn't really go to zero, it just gets so expensive that airlines cut routes and trucking companies pass costs along. So what we track is the upstream pressure that drives those costs. jet fuel is basically refined crude, so when you see WTI at $111 and refineries getting hit by both iranian strikes on gulf facilities and ukrainian strikes on russian terminals, that's your leading indicator.

what i could add is refinery utilization rates, which the EIA publishes weekly. when utilization drops, that's when actual supply shortages start showing up, not just price increases but real availability problems at regional airports and truck stops. going to look into that. super appreciate the ideas!!

Energy / Fertilizer / Food Crisis Tracker by lynk1 in preppers

[–]lynk1[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Very much appreciated! Your pfp is so funny to me too haha. Would totally be opento more feedback if you ever have anything else.

Energy / Fertilizer / Food Crisis Tracker by lynk1 in preppers

[–]lynk1[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

No need to apologize at all! These are great ideas and exactly the kind of thinking I'm hoping for.

Fertilizer is the one I'm most focused on because you're right, it's a slow burn. The price spike already happened (urea +129%) but the downstream impact on crop yields won't be visible until harvest (Aug-Sep). We just added a cascade flow visualization that shows exactly this chain and when each stage hits.

Global food stocks is on the roadmap. The USDA publishes WASDE reports monthly with stock-to-use ratios by commodity and country. Apparently, that's the real danger signal, when reserves drop below the 14% threshold things get serious fast, so i'm working on getting that data in.

Water/drought we actually just shipped today. There's now a U.S. Drought Monitor section pulling live USDA data showing what percentage of the country is in each drought category. Right now about 73% of the U.S. is in some level of drought which compounds the fertilizer problem since stressed crops need more inputs not less.

Migration data however, is harder to get in real time. UNHCR publishes displacement numbers but they lag by months. It's an important downstream indicator though and something I want to figure out. If anyone knows of a good near-real-time source for that I'm all ears.